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Message
re: Hurricane Milton - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted on 10/6/24 at 7:09 pm to LegendInMyMind
Posted on 10/6/24 at 7:09 pm to LegendInMyMind
I didn’t think about Helene path blocking evacuation routes north. What a mess
Heading south to Ft Myers or Miami is probably the better option.
Heading south to Ft Myers or Miami is probably the better option.
1
Posted on 10/6/24 at 7:11 pm to LanierSpots
quote:
LanierSpots
As we said in the last hurricane thread, we are about the same distance from the water as you, just a couple roads up.
We are putting up the shutters tomorrow for sure, hoping for the best, but we are definitely going to be prepared.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 7:11 pm to NorthEndZone
Summary of 18Z Hurricane models max winds and lowest pressure and near landfall winds and pressure
HWRF - 128 kts and 928 mb; 85 / 950
HMON - 134 kts and 915 mb; 75 / 961
HAFS-A - 144 kts and 918 mb; 82 / 954
HAFS-B - 143 kts and 925 mb; 93 / 957
Average - 137 kts and 921 mb; 84 kts / 955 mb
Big decrease in maximum winds and big increase in pressure prior to landfall are possible, but as has been pointed out by NHC, the strong winds will cover a larger area over time prior to landfall even though pressure may increase and maximum winds may decrease.
HWRF - 128 kts and 928 mb; 85 / 950
HMON - 134 kts and 915 mb; 75 / 961
HAFS-A - 144 kts and 918 mb; 82 / 954
HAFS-B - 143 kts and 925 mb; 93 / 957
Average - 137 kts and 921 mb; 84 kts / 955 mb
Big decrease in maximum winds and big increase in pressure prior to landfall are possible, but as has been pointed out by NHC, the strong winds will cover a larger area over time prior to landfall even though pressure may increase and maximum winds may decrease.
This post was edited on 10/6/24 at 7:20 pm
Posted on 10/6/24 at 7:13 pm to deltaland
Since we can’t fly into Orlando Wednesday, we are looking into going halfway Wednesday and finishing the drive Thursday. But there’s almost nothing at all around Tallahassee. Between hurricane response personnel (linemen) and people evacuating there already, it looks like I might be driving all the way to Jacksonville before heading to Disney.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 7:13 pm to LegendInMyMind
Thanks, Legend - had to add it as a link, as the OP exceeded characters...
Posted on 10/6/24 at 7:15 pm to DrewDawg13
quote:
As we said in the last hurricane thread, we are about the same distance from the water as you, just a couple roads up.
We are putting up the shutters tomorrow for sure, hoping for the best, but we are definitely going to be prepared.
Same. I took my shutters out today and put one window up just to make sure I knew what the hell I was doing. Mine are fairly easy to install. Should not take me more than a hour to hour and a half. All one floor. I got some sand bags today because we had some local flooding with Debbie after our ponds filled up and the roads started to back up with the storm drains. I think that is overkill with this but who knows. They were simple and quick to get
Keep in touch and let me know if I can help you.
Thanks
Posted on 10/6/24 at 7:15 pm to NorthEndZone
Friday I interviewed somebody who was in Tampa for Helene. Left shortly after Helene. Said it was mostly smooth sailing getting out of Florida but then a bit troublesome in South Georgia. I imagine south Georgia has clear roads and most power back (gas stations) now.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 7:17 pm to NorthEndZone
Recon fixed center at 22.5N 93.4W and 982 mb
Eye is 24 nm (~28 miles) wide but still open on northwest to northeast
Eye is 24 nm (~28 miles) wide but still open on northwest to northeast
quote:
564
URNT12 KNHC 062356
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL142024
A. 06/23:23:00Z
B. 22.53 deg N 093.45 deg W
C. 700 mb 2939 m
D. 982 mb
E. 090 deg 7 kt
F. OPEN NW-NE
G. C24
H. 59 kt
I. 277 deg 10 nm 23:20:00Z
J. 006 deg 52 kt
K. 287 deg 17 nm 23:18:00Z
L. 55 kt
M. 123 deg 12 nm 23:27:00Z
N. 225 deg 73 kt
O. 126 deg 16 nm 23:28:00Z
P. 11 C / 3050 m
Q. 17 C / 3043 m
R. 10 C / NA
S. 12345 / 07
T. 0.02 / 1 nm
U. AF302 0514A MILTON OB 06
MAX FL WIND 73 KT 126 / 16 NM 23:28:00Z
FL CNTR EMBEDDED ON EASTERN EDGE OF EYEWALL IN 3 NM POCKET.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 7:26 pm to VABuckeye
quote:
Stay safe. We got the hell out of Naples after Ian. That was enough for us. We have a friend on what I call the fingers on Naples Bay. He's taken 4' or more of water in his house 4 times since Ian and it looks like he's in for it again possibly.
He needs to do a teardown and put his house on stilts but he's stubborn. He has the money to do it.
Irma was way worse, in terms of flooding, for me, personally.
I never thought these storms would cause anxiety, because to see God's might is something to behold. But the older I get, the more they just bring a general sense of...tiredness. Not because of fear for myself, but knowing that people will lose their possessions and possibly their lives. I am not expressing properly how I feel for those in the line of sight. I am one of those.Godspeed Florida.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 7:27 pm to ColoradoTiger1987
quote:
8 stories and covered. Just have to worry about power outages, but we are on the same grid as John Hopkins.
Any idea where your building’s utility boxes and control panels are? If in the basement or ground floor that can really, really suck
Posted on 10/6/24 at 7:31 pm to DrewDawg13
quote:
we are about the same distance from the water as you, just a couple roads up.
The last update shows the eye crossing I-75 about 1/2 mile above Hwy. 64.
Let's be careful down there.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 7:33 pm to RummelTiger
quote:
Any issues with me adding this to the OP for folks?
No problem
Posted on 10/6/24 at 7:34 pm to Hangit
quote:
The last update shows the eye crossing I-75 about 1/2 mile above Hwy. 64.
Parish area. Very populated. I know its 3 days away but that is a bad place. I think that is where The Ocean lives
Posted on 10/6/24 at 7:38 pm to Hangit
quote:
The last update shows the eye crossing I-75 about 1/2 mile above Hwy. 64.
Do the updates keep moving further south?
I'm in Punta Gorda. Just have to put the shudders up tomorrow, going to fill up trucks and boats.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 7:51 pm to LanierSpots
Right now, it is crossing the lower part of Longboat key, then going across and hitting land about 1 mile due south of IMG Academy.
This jog pulled it 20+ miles S. of my house when it runs through Polk county. For me, that is better than 3 miles N. For you, not so much. It also pulls it a long way from Disney. Earlier it was going through Epcot Lagoon.
This jog pulled it 20+ miles S. of my house when it runs through Polk county. For me, that is better than 3 miles N. For you, not so much. It also pulls it a long way from Disney. Earlier it was going through Epcot Lagoon.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 7:54 pm to Hangit
quote:
For you, not so much.
yea, my shop is about a mile from IMG
I have not seen any models that work out for us. Just going to wait till tomorrow and see whats going to happen. Its going to be bad, no matter where it lands.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 7:55 pm to stuntman
quote:
Do the updates keep moving further south?
The last movement knocked it South about 20 miles.It can still move a little, but they are narrowing it down pretty quickly.
Some of the models show it 50 miles north.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 7:57 pm to tiger91
quote:
Should we make a list of posters in the areas that are potentially going to be affected???
If we do, throw my in-laws on the list (they live near Venice which may get a direct hit, though they are inland).
Posted on 10/6/24 at 7:58 pm to Rebel
quote:
Mrs. Rebel and oldest child are going to ride this one out in Venice, FL. House is supposedly "hurricane proof". But that really means it's just hurricane resistant.
If you make it through, make sure the Venetian Gardens facility off of Center near Jacaranda is OK (that's where my in-laws live)
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