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re: TS Jerry, TS Karen & More Areas to Watch - Peak Season

Posted on 9/6/19 at 3:45 pm to
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 9/6/19 at 3:45 pm to
I prefer the "heat maps" that are released. Gives a good idea on track and confidence.
Posted by scott8811
Ratchet City, LA
Member since Oct 2014
11307 posts
Posted on 9/6/19 at 3:47 pm to
Ok, but it seems like this shows it dissappatting ..or do I just not know how these are supposed to look?
This post was edited on 9/6/19 at 3:52 pm
Posted by Lsuhoohoo
Member since Sep 2007
94370 posts
Posted on 9/6/19 at 3:53 pm to







Ready the nukes Mr. President
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
145077 posts
Posted on 9/6/19 at 3:57 pm to
who needs the nukes when we have alabama
Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 9/6/19 at 4:02 pm to
quote:

Ok, but it seems like this shows it dissappatting ..or do I just not know how these are supposed to look?

A little of that second thing, I believe.

I think it's a heat map of where the individual model runs are taking this thing over the next "X" number of hours. I don't know how many hours the map covers, though. Orange and red are places where lots of models say the storm will pass at some point over the next few days. Blues and greens are places where fewer runs are predicting the storm will pass at some point in the next few days.

So, that wispy tail of blues and greens isn't the storm going away, it's just that not many models predict it'll be there over the next few days. It could be an artifact of some model runs that may run out longer into the future than others or model runs that have the storm moving faster than other models. The oranges and reds, though, are places that the models agree well that the system will pass.

Also, it's gonna be like a WEEK before it gets anywhere near the Lesser Antilles. THEY'RE 2000 miles from Louisiana and it takes a storm moving 10 mph about a week to cover that distance. I'm gonna watch two LSU football games before I start worrying about what this thing's doing.
This post was edited on 9/6/19 at 4:10 pm
Posted by scott8811
Ratchet City, LA
Member since Oct 2014
11307 posts
Posted on 9/6/19 at 4:14 pm to
That's the problem.... as mentioned above, the timing on this thing lines up perfectly for when I'm taking a cruise out of NOLA
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
120174 posts
Posted on 9/6/19 at 4:19 pm to
Are you trolling?

You are mentioning your cruise nonstop like the Punta Cana guy
Posted by scott8811
Ratchet City, LA
Member since Oct 2014
11307 posts
Posted on 9/6/19 at 4:20 pm to
frick man...sorry for being concerned about my vacation me and my wife have been looking forward to for awhile
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 9/6/19 at 4:37 pm to
quote:

Ok, but it seems like this shows it dissappatting ..or do I just not know how these are supposed to look?



It shows confidence in track over time. So where it fades out is so far in the future,there's no confidence in where it'll go.
Posted by Champagne
Already Conquered USA.
Member since Oct 2007
48270 posts
Posted on 9/6/19 at 4:47 pm to
At least one model predicts this thing to dissipate.

I'm looking forward to that.
Posted by FLObserver
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
14439 posts
Posted on 9/6/19 at 4:51 pm to
In before anyone mentioned Florida cancelling a Game. Suck it Baws
This post was edited on 9/6/19 at 4:53 pm
Posted by iliveinabox
in a box
Member since Aug 2011
24115 posts
Posted on 9/6/19 at 5:24 pm to
Another one
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
58107 posts
Posted on 9/6/19 at 5:27 pm to
quote:

In before anyone mentioned Florida cancelling a Game.


If this thing forms and rolls towards the US, the UF stuff will get posted about 37 times in this thread. And each guy will think they are the first one with the cool hot take.
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
145077 posts
Posted on 9/6/19 at 5:27 pm to
So true
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
11271 posts
Posted on 9/6/19 at 5:34 pm to
GFS of this afternoon in 10 days...

This post was edited on 9/6/19 at 5:36 pm
Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 9/6/19 at 5:50 pm to
quote:

In before anyone mentioned Florida cancelling a Game. Suck it Baws

This game's in Tiger Stadium and our new AD is just itching to skullfrick anyone who ever wore a jort.

Your pussy team is playing in that stadium even if it's raining sideways. I guess you could not show up and take the forfeit if you're scared, though.
This post was edited on 9/6/19 at 5:52 pm
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
39058 posts
Posted on 9/6/19 at 6:00 pm to
quote:

In before anyone mentioned Florida cancelling a Game.


I was first in the last thread.
Posted by FLObserver
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
14439 posts
Posted on 9/6/19 at 6:22 pm to
quote:

Your pussy team is playing in that stadium even if it's raining sideways. I guess you could not show up and take the forfeit if you're scared, though.

My Team as in My LSU tigers!!! I aint ever been no gaytors fan BAW! Born and raised an LSU tiger Sorry if i hijacked hurricane topic. If things heat up i will be buried 100 pages deep anyway.
This post was edited on 9/6/19 at 6:26 pm
Posted by TidenUP
Dauphin Island
Member since Apr 2011
14414 posts
Posted on 9/6/19 at 6:27 pm to
quote:

In before anyone mentioned Florida cancelling a Game. Suck it Baws


The game wasn't cancelled. It was postponed and everyone knows what happened when it was actually played...
Posted by Athis
Member since Aug 2016
11523 posts
Posted on 9/6/19 at 6:36 pm to
I just ran the GFS..Still way too early to tell...
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