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McNeeseLSU
McNeese State Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2007
401 posts

re: Hurricane Jerry, Imelda, More Areas to Watch but No Serious Gulf Threats
Isn't the 06z GFS not as reliable as 00z and 12z?


Tarps99
New Orleans Saints Fan
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
915 posts

re: Hurricane Jerry, Imelda, More Areas to Watch but No Serious Gulf Threats
With a map like that, it may be time to stock up on the water, ice, milk, bread, Vienna sausages, and powdered meat.

Oh wait, that is 15 days out. Scratch the bread, ice, and milk, they don’t last that long.


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11
deltaland
Mississippi St. Fan
Member since Mar 2011
50923 posts

re: Hurricane Jerry, Imelda, More Areas to Watch but No Serious Gulf Threats
quote:

obviously a more southern track would give any potential system more time over the Gulf and less land interaction.


The development of this will depend on where the LLC forms, if one forms at all


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deltaland
Mississippi St. Fan
Member since Mar 2011
50923 posts

re: Hurricane Jerry, Imelda, More Areas to Watch but No Serious Gulf Threats
The frick is that shit


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40
sp22
LSU Fan
Member since Jan 2019
137 posts

re: Hurricane Jerry, Imelda, More Areas to Watch but No Serious Gulf Threats
That is projecting 2 weeks from now, and not even the same system


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20
deltaland
Mississippi St. Fan
Member since Mar 2011
50923 posts

re: Hurricane Jerry, Imelda, More Areas to Watch but No Serious Gulf Threats
Latest Euro has a TS forming from 95L and hitting around Destin.

Then has 94L going just north of Cuba heading to the gulf as a hurricane

I’m not liking the trends of the models here


razorbackfan4life
Chicago Cubs Fan
Northwest Arkansas
Member since Apr 2011
6496 posts

re: Hurricane Jerry, Imelda, More Areas to Watch but No Serious Gulf Threats
Just looked at the GFS this morning. Interesting change of events.


iron banks
LSU Fan
Destrehan
Member since Jul 2014
2144 posts

re: Hurricane Jerry, Imelda, More Areas to Watch but No Serious Gulf Threats
Too soon to glean much info on the 2 wk GFS. I have watched the GFS move that system around like a ping pong ball. The one this weekend probably give us some rain and cooler temps.


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DeCat ODahouse
LSU Fan
Member since Jan 2017
233 posts

re: Hurricane Jerry, Imelda, More Areas to Watch but No Serious Gulf Threats
Right.
Looks like 94L Back up to 60% per cent chance in five days and forecast to track into the gulf.



Midtiger farm
Member since Nov 2014
1687 posts

re: Hurricane Jerry, Imelda, More Areas to Watch but No Serious Gulf Threats
quote:

Then has 94L going just north of Cuba heading to the gulf as a hurricane


That's not 94L, its the one behind it


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30
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USA
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McNeeseLSU
McNeese State Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2007
401 posts

re: Hurricane Jerry, Imelda, More Areas to Watch but No Serious Gulf Threats
95L is 60% not 94L.


CypressTrout10
Lamar Fan
Member since Jun 2016
2020 posts

re: Hurricane Jerry, Imelda, More Areas to Watch but No Serious Gulf Threats
Interesting on this mornings GFS is how that cat4/5 hurricane from the gulf rides up into canada and becomes a blizzard.


fishfighter
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2008
34018 posts

re: Hurricane Jerry, Imelda, More Areas to Watch but No Serious Gulf Threats
Was hoping for some rain from 95L.


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02
deuce985
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2008
17370 posts

re: Hurricane Jerry, Imelda, More Areas to Watch but No Serious Gulf Threats
GFS



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31
biggsc
USA Fan
30.321484, -87.534052
Member since Mar 2009
29521 posts

re: Hurricane Jerry, Imelda, More Areas to Watch but No Serious Gulf Threats
Looks like that system from Tropical Tidbits shows beneficial rain to come this weekend through Wednesday then another possible system coming to the Gulf after that


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00
Chad504boy
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Feb 2005
133310 posts

re: Hurricane Jerry, Imelda, More Areas to Watch but No Serious Gulf Threats
quote:







biggsc
USA Fan
30.321484, -87.534052
Member since Mar 2009
29521 posts

re: Hurricane Jerry, Imelda, More Areas to Watch but No Serious Gulf Threats
Keep it out!


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10
deuce985
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2008
17370 posts

re: Hurricane Jerry, Imelda, More Areas to Watch but No Serious Gulf Threats
What it doesn't show on that graphic is it curves into Florida then heads NE right up the east coast.

The one behind it gets slingshot out to sea on GFS and then another is coming off Africa behind that one.

This post was edited on 9/11 at 10:09 am


Duke
USA Fan
Gonzales, La
Member since Jan 2008
28256 posts

re: Hurricane Jerry, Imelda, More Areas to Watch but No Serious Gulf Threats
quote:

What it doesn't show on that graphic is it curves into Florida then heads N.


Yes.

Look at the red lines. Those are the thickness of the 1000-500 mb layer. Looks like a trough right there and would send it north. It's way out on the GFS, so you know, grains of salt.


deuce985
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2008
17370 posts

re: Hurricane Jerry, Imelda, More Areas to Watch but No Serious Gulf Threats
GFS snorting cocaine we all know it.


In comparison the Euro seems to want to turn it N sooner as it goes straight through Hispaniola and Cuba.
This post was edited on 9/11 at 10:17 am


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