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re: Hurricane Isaias - Heading Towards the Central Gulf Coast
Posted on 10/7/26 at 7:48 am to Craft
Posted on 10/7/26 at 7:48 am to Craft
quote:
you would think with with the advancements in AI this would be solved. i’m not impressed that’s all i’m saying, looks like we’re still just guessing
Another reminder that AI is not some "magic oracle" despite all the marketing suggesting such.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 7:49 am to rt3
The Google Deepmind model has had it by Alabama/Florida since Monday. It hasn't even had to adjust the ensembles much after each run and has been showing it as a hurricane since yesterday. Seems it may have been the most accurate again.
This post was edited on 10/7/26 at 7:51 am
Posted on 10/7/26 at 7:51 am to Macintosh
quote:
So I guess it’s safe to say New Orleans won’t get the brunt of this
Euro says Nola is still very much in play although it is further west than most guidance
Posted on 10/7/26 at 7:51 am to lesthemadhatter
I wouldn’t start praising AI. The original NOAA track basically had mobile bay dead center of the cone once this was a TD.
Google AI had it around Destin. It has since shifted a bit west.
It’s definitely very accurate but it’s important to remember the Google AI is 1000 runs using the same assumptions. The NOAA cone incorporates more models and is tweaked by humans.
Google AI had it around Destin. It has since shifted a bit west.
It’s definitely very accurate but it’s important to remember the Google AI is 1000 runs using the same assumptions. The NOAA cone incorporates more models and is tweaked by humans.
This post was edited on 10/7/26 at 7:52 am
Posted on 10/7/26 at 7:51 am to pwejr88
We are scheduled to be in Fairhope Saturday-Tuesday, and Mexico Beach after that. Have already told our AirBnB person we aren’t likely to make it on time, if at all. Rode out Nate a few years ago in PCB, pool filled up with sand, power was out for hours, generally NOT a fun time. Surely not going to drive into a mess.
Nothing brings on an October Hurricane quite like me planning a trip months in advance.
Nothing brings on an October Hurricane quite like me planning a trip months in advance.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 7:53 am to JS87
quote:
She’s nudging east
I suppose it might be too early to get rid of those extra cases of Spam, Vienna sausages, and Costco toilet paper.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 7:53 am to trussthetruzz
Yeah i just looked at the Euro and its first landfall is in Plaquemines parish then goes to Mississippi
Posted on 10/7/26 at 7:55 am to jdd48
quote:
Another reminder that AI is not some "magic oracle" despite all the marketing suggesting such.
Pretty ironic statement when the AI model predicted this storm track and rough intensity a week ago.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 7:57 am to HighRoller
quote:
Yay something else for the meteorologists to get wrong.
Yeah watch everyone cancel games then the storm changes path. Always happens
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:00 am to lesthemadhatter
quote:
Google Deepmind model
Is there a link to check that out or do you need to signup/pay for that. Haven't checked it out before...
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:00 am to Icansee4miles
quote:
We are scheduled to be in Fairhope Saturday-Tuesday, and Mexico Beach after that. Have already told our AirBnB person we aren’t likely to make it on time, if at all. Rode out Nate a few years ago in PCB, pool filled up with sand, power was out for hours, generally NOT a fun time. Surely not going to drive into a mess.
scheduled to be in Fort Walton tonight through saturday, tryin to get our money back, but in a "non-refundable" Airbnb. hoping since its a state of emergency it falls under their event policy. we will see.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:01 am to lsuman25
quote:
Yeah i just looked at the Euro and its first landfall is in Plaquemines parish then goes to Mississippi
It’s gonna tickle my titty as it passes by plaquemines parish
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:01 am to trussthetruzz
quote:
trussthetruzz
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:02 am to bdavids09
quote:
Yeah watch everyone cancel games then the storm changes path. Always happens
You guys that bitch about this are absolute morons
If you can’t understand why it happens then I’m not sure it can be explained to you
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:05 am to bdavids09
quote:
Yeah watch everyone cancel games then the storm changes path. Always happens
Some of you say the most outrageous things and make it clear that you have no idea what you’re talking about. The NHC forecasts have never been better than they are now. Yes, sometimes there are changes in the forecast, but show me one time in recent history where a tropical system turned and went the opposite direction of what was forecast.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:05 am to NOLAGT
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:07 am to LSU=Champions
The doomers on storm2k are seething. Lots of “well DESPITE THE IR APPEARANCE it’s not that strong”.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:08 am to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
Some of you say the most outrageous things and make it clear that you have no idea what you’re talking about.
When people say shite like this on an anonymous forum, I can only assume they’re 15 and have never had to make decisions that take other people’s safety into consideration
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:08 am to gsvar2004
quote:
scheduled to be in Fort Walton tonight through saturday, tryin to get our money back, but in a "non-refundable" Airbnb. hoping since its a state of emergency it falls under their event policy. we will see.
They’re gonna fight you until the hurricane warnings hit which will trigger evacuation orders.
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