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re: Hurricane Isaias - Heading Towards the Central Gulf Coast
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:08 am to Hateradedrink
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:08 am to Hateradedrink
6z Euro keeps it over the mouth of Miss. Spaghetti from Hammond to Gulfport
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:12 am to Lsut81
We have a condo reserved starting the 10th through the 17th on Okaloosa Island. We haven't modified plans yet, but this will probably result in a delay of a day. We have insurance, so less of an impact than some others I have seen on here. I hope and pray for the whole gulf coast that it isn't a disaster.
This post was edited on 10/7/26 at 8:14 am
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:14 am to Lsut81
quote:
Spaghetti from Hammond to Gulfport
It is strange seeing that and the western edge of the nhc cone at BSL, with how good the euro has been in the past. I guess it's struggling with this setup
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:15 am to Lsut81
Where’s the wind shear? I don’t like the way this thing looks. Especially now that we are in October.
Structure looks great on satellite.
Structure looks great on satellite.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:16 am to trussthetruzz
Woah, the far eastern ensemble from the EURO is where the NHC forecast track is. That's a bit of an eyebrow raiser in my opinion. The EURO being so far off from the NHC is odd, but the NHC knows what the frick they're doing so I don't know how much I'd doubt them.
Also, I find it interesting that the far western ensemble does a loopty loop near Lafayette. I wonder what it's seeing in the atmosphere to want to stall like that. Obviously that's a single outlier, but still interesting.
Also, I find it interesting that the far western ensemble does a loopty loop near Lafayette. I wonder what it's seeing in the atmosphere to want to stall like that. Obviously that's a single outlier, but still interesting.
This post was edited on 10/7/26 at 8:18 am
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:17 am to TDsngumbo
This is very odd for sure. It’s almost like the euro is forecasting a completely different storm.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:17 am to TheRouxGuru
quote:
You guys that bitch about this are absolute morons
There are likely also insurance considerations which drive decision making.
If you can’t insure it you are exposing the university to a lot of liability.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:17 am to trussthetruzz
That green outlier model going back to Mexico?
Let's go with that one.
Let's go with that one.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:18 am to Hateradedrink
quote:
This is very odd for sure. It’s almost like the euro is forecasting a completely different storm.
Before the AI models two years ago, we'd all be in panic mode with the EURO showing that.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:19 am to jaytothen
I was promised a cool front this week. Louisiana weather says " Sorry, best I can do is a Cat 2 Hurricane"
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:19 am to LSU=Champions
Never proclaim RI in a developing system based on satellite alone.
Also, it looks like the 06z Euro/ICON did better than the American models on the short-term forecast.
Also, it looks like the 06z Euro/ICON did better than the American models on the short-term forecast.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:21 am to trussthetruzz
Whered you get that plot baw?
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:21 am to rds dc
quote:
Also, it looks like the 06z Euro/ICON did better than the American models on the short-term forecast.
Let's hope the EURO isn't doing a better job with the long-term forecast and the winner is instead the German ICON.
Holy shite... did I really just say I'm hoping the ICON is right?
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:22 am to TDsngumbo
Looks like the Euro has the straigh N turn a couple hundred miles to the west of other ensembles. Guess we will know in next 12-18 hrs if the track continues ene or goes more ne and/or slows from 8mph
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:23 am to TDsngumbo
We should never hope the germans are right
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:23 am to TDsngumbo
The germans did it i had too lol
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:24 am to Cosmo
quote:
We should never hope the germans are right
Where's my fricking drink at?
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:25 am to PGAOLDBAWNevahBroke
Posted on 10/7/26 at 8:27 am to BrianKellysRealtor
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