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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:13 pm to
Posted by UAinSOUTHAL
Mobile,AL
Member since Dec 2012
5298 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:13 pm to
quote:

12z Euro is SW of 00z, it might go into the Everglades vs. Miami
quote:

12z Euro is SW of 00z, it might go into the Everglades vs. Miami


This would be best case as that is largely uninhabited land. It would mean Miami gets the NE quadrant but it might be far enough away to not get the worst. 20-40 miles in landfall will make a huge difference.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:13 pm to
quote:

Still room to trend farther west over the next couple of days.

is this Euro trying to put the Gulf back in play?

(ducks for numerous downvotes)
Posted by FairhopeTider
Fairhope, Alabama
Member since May 2012
22765 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:13 pm to
quote:

miami taking full brunt of NW eye wall... not good..



This might be a dumb question, but when was the last time a Cat 4 or 5 hurricane hit a major city head on like that?
Posted by MrSmith
Member since Sep 2009
8319 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:14 pm to
quote:

I am not trying to say I told you so, but I told you so. This MF'er is going more west than WNW and this model update looks to confirm that.

"I told you so" doesn't work when it's based off of a feeling
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43444 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:14 pm to
quote:


This might be a dumb question, but when was the last time a Cat 4 or 5 hurricane hit a major city head on like that?


katrina was a 3 but was a 6 in our hearts
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:14 pm to
quote:

rds should Tampa be concerned by this new model run?


Not rds, but Tampa should have stayed concern considering they're in the cone. This is the reason Levi and other mets have been so adamant that the specific spaghetti models can be deceiving when it comes to the uncertainty.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43444 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:15 pm to
You are still pretty good slackster!

Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
178782 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:15 pm to
quote:

but when was the last time a Cat 4 or 5 hurricane hit a major city head on like that?


well katrina hitting n.o. is closest that comes to mind and i think it can be argued A) N.O. isn't major and B) Katrina wasn't a 4 or 5 hitting city.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:15 pm to
quote:

katrina was a 3 but was a 6 in our hearts

that bitch has no place in my heart
Posted by Rox
Member since Oct 2010
33333 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:16 pm to
Wow. This run annihilates the entire state of Florida.

ETA: def further West than previous runs.



This post was edited on 9/7/17 at 1:17 pm
Posted by PhillipJFry
Member since Sep 2016
1056 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:16 pm to
Gd, that is not what I wanted to see. My guess is that they are make us evacuate here in Tampa soon after that model track.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43444 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

that bitch has no place in my heart


That count displaced my entire Dad's side of the family.

Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

B) Katrina wasn't a 4 or 5 hitting city.

this point can NOT be argued

it was a 3 at landfall... but was still toting 4-5 level storm surge
Posted by FairhopeTider
Fairhope, Alabama
Member since May 2012
22765 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

katrina was a 3 but was a 6 in our hearts


But New Orleans didn't get the eyewall, right?
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
110855 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:17 pm to
Is there anything in this picture indicating the atmospheric condition that's supposed to pull this thing straight northward at this point in time?

quote:


Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43444 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:17 pm to
No Buras did.
Posted by UAinSOUTHAL
Mobile,AL
Member since Dec 2012
5298 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:17 pm to
Euro @ 84z

Posted by OldSouth
Folsom, LA
Member since Oct 2011
11005 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:17 pm to
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51674 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:17 pm to
Plows right through the heart of Gainsville.
Posted by cubsfinger
On The Road
Member since Mar 2017
1878 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:18 pm to
Buras got the initial eye but then it came right over Pearl River .
This post was edited on 9/7/17 at 1:25 pm
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