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Started By
Message
2
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:02 pm to Eurocat
The central pressure is dropping which usually indicates a storm getting stringer but not always. I think the storm might be going thru an EWRC. When the winds catch up to that pressure after the EWRC is over you might see a storm that is stronger then 185Mph. Doesn't mean it will but all the conditions are ripe.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:02 pm to markasaurus
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:02 pm to Y.A. Tittle
GFS kicking the storm north and east
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:03 pm to Y.A. Tittle
897 over the Bahamas on Sat 
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:03 pm to Duke
quote:
Confirmed strengthening. Wonder what the NE to SW pass is going to look like windspeed wise.
Kinda bummed they didn't take that pass the first time through.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:03 pm to slackster
basically right now,60 mile wide E4 tornado
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 5:04 pm
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:04 pm to rocket31
quote:
897 over the Bahamas on Sat
Has an entire island ever been stripped completely bare?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:04 pm to Telstra
For reference, that bitch named Camille at landfall was 909 mbar.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:05 pm to UAinSOUTHAL
quote:
When the winds catch up to that pressure after the EWRC is over you might see a storm that is stronger then 185Mph.
Typically a 185 mph Hurricane would have pressure lower than 916 mbar.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:05 pm to slackster
Untrained opinion, looks like GFS thinks that Atlantic ridge will weaken (I wonder if it thinks the storm itself will weaken it). This would allow the storm to sweep Northward sooner, and at hour 108 you end up with a touch and go off of Miami.
Go to Tropicaltidbits.com to look at models for yourself and make your own half-educated guesses!
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 5:07 pm
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:06 pm to HubbaBubba
GFS is turning her north quite a bit east of the FL coast.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:07 pm to slackster
quote:
GFS is turning her north quite a bit east of the FL coast.
WONDERFUL!
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:07 pm to kadillak
what happen to him?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:07 pm to slackster
ya the two models are splitting Miami - interesting
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:08 pm to crazyLSUstudent
What is the likely damage to Orlando at this point? I'm supposed to be there around Oct 1.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:08 pm to bigpapamac
quote:
He made that prediction quite some time ago and he seems hopeful that his prediction will be correct rather than see millions spared.
If my prediction is correct it would directly put immediate family of mine in the path. So I'm not wishing it. I just made a statement which is in no way false. Irma is supposed to skirt the lesser Antilles and its 120 miles from there. If it doesn't make the wnw turn soon it will change the projections.
I'm not going to sit here and say it's going to turn out to sea harmlessly just because that's what you want it to do, when the likelihood of that happening isn't very high. I'd love to be proven wrong, but I don't see it.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:10 pm to slackster
That GFS would release a lot of puckering.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:10 pm to slackster
Vortex notes two eyewalls, EWRC now in action.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:10 pm to slackster
quote:
GFS is turning her north quite a bit east of the FL coast.
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