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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:05 am to
Posted by Kcoyote
Member since Jan 2012
12050 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:05 am to
Posted by Rakim
Member since Nov 2015
9954 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:09 am to
ECMWF 00z model output. Max wind gusts thru 72-hrs or Thursday evening for Hurricane Irma over 160 mph



This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 2:09 am
Posted by AU24
Toomers Corner
Member since Dec 2014
4523 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:10 am to
quote:

Kcoyote


I wonder if there is model agreement with this run
Posted by Rakim
Member since Nov 2015
9954 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:10 am to
This is right about where I think it's landing. Panhandle
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 2:12 am
Posted by otowntiger
O-Town
Member since Jan 2004
16919 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:12 am to
quote:

closer view , Cat 2/3 between Tampa and Orlando. Looks like Tampa takes the brunt inland, but Fort Meyers gets blasted by Irma as a Cat 4.


uhh yeah Tampa getting hit pretty good but Orlando is on the dirty side. Won't be pretty here either. In that scenario we could be getting 120 mph gusts. Worse than Charley.
Posted by TigerGrad2011
Member since Aug 2016
1592 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:15 am to
That trip to 30A next week isn't looking great right now.
Posted by Rakim
Member since Nov 2015
9954 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:23 am to
00z Euro run. 144 hours out. 939mb at Florida Keys.GFS and Euro mostly agree. GFS has Irma tracking slightly faster at 144 hours out.



Posted by TigerStripes06
SWLA
Member since Sep 2006
30032 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:29 am to
I said that like an hour ago and you disagreed with me.
Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
38435 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:30 am to
If this thing jumps anymore west tomorrow, should South Louisiana begin puckering?
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
105207 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:32 am to
Why wait?
Posted by TigerStripes06
SWLA
Member since Sep 2006
30032 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:35 am to
I'll leave that for a poster that is qualified to answer.

But I've been puckered for 4 or 5 days. And that trend won't shift until this thing is gone.
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 2:37 am
Posted by heatom2
At the plant, baw.
Member since Nov 2010
13090 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:40 am to
quote:

Why wait?


For sure S. Louisiana and the entire Gulf Coast should be paying attention, but we're getting to the point where the models seem to be very accurate.

Be prepared, but calm down.
Posted by Dalosaqy
I can't quite re
Member since Dec 2007
13452 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 3:36 am to
RA'd for a sticky. Its time.
Posted by heatom2
At the plant, baw.
Member since Nov 2010
13090 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 3:46 am to
quote:

RA'd for a sticky. Its time.


Yeah I did too. Although it may have to wait til morning. Our illustrious admins need their beauty rest.
Posted by LSUneaux
Metairie and MAGA AF
Member since Mar 2014
4957 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 4:07 am to
With how strong these storms can be, it is absolutely stunning how civilization has sustained over centuries in these small islands. Humans are resilient to say the least. God bless the leeward islands.
Posted by Aussietigerfan
Sydney, Australia
Member since May 2015
2570 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 4:54 am to
Devastating news! Wishing you all the best and hope you all stay safe!
Posted by jdd48
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2012
23706 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 4:57 am to
5 AM update out. Max sustained at 150. It's looking like she's going to be a cat 5 again soon.
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 4:59 am
Posted by CajunSoldier225
Member since Aug 2011
8990 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 4:59 am to


Looks like those fronts may turn it straight up Florida now.

Has a Cat 5 ever done that to Florida?
Posted by FelicianaTigerfan
Comanche County
Member since Aug 2009
26059 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:03 am to
That's a lot more strings on the west side of Fla than previously
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 5:07 am to
Just hope the cold front stays around in the gulf long enough to push it out to the east.
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