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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:38 am to HubbaBubba
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:38 am to HubbaBubba
2nd Florida landfall it appears on this Euro... on the FL gulf coast by Fich Creek or Horseshoe Creek
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:41 am to GEAUXmedic
closer view , Cat 2/3 between Tampa and Orlando. Looks like Tampa takes the brunt inland, but Fort Meyers gets blasted by Irma as a Cat 4.


Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:42 am to Jim Rockford
quote:
My GF in Covington is ready to leave right fricking now. If this thing gets any closer she wont stop until she sees the Omaha skyline.
I now live in Alexandria/Pineville... I'm guessing my family... or at least my parents... would come to my place to evacuate if a major storm started heading for NOLA
my sister and her family... I have no idea
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:45 am to HubbaBubba
Maybe the Scientologists in Clearwater can set up a force field.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:45 am to HubbaBubba
That's scary because no part of Florida is spared
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:45 am to rt3
My brother and his family is in Alex, wife is due within the next two weeks. Hoping this thing stays clear but seems the shift is more western with every model run. South Florida looks inevitable.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:48 am to Rakim
Just a voice of reason from what I've seen. Doesn't the turn seem more abrupt in the euro than the gfs because it's updated every 12 hours and not 6? They seem to be in decently close agreement to me. Unless I'm missing something in the comparison.
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 1:49 am
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:50 am to TigerStripes06
Euro has it further south I believe?
Also 81 W as opposed to 80 W on last model before moving north.
Also 81 W as opposed to 80 W on last model before moving north.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:51 am to Rakim
should potential Jose doing a big giant loop in the Atlantic be concerning?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:52 am to Rakim
I have a real bad feeling that its not done with the westward jumps.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:53 am to Jim Rockford
My faith in her turning is shaken every 6 hours.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:54 am to TigerStripes06
quote:
Just a voice of reason from what I've seen. Doesn't the turn seem more abrupt in the euro than the gfs because it's updated every 12 hours and not 6? They seem to be in decently close agreement to me. Unless I'm missing something in the comparison.
yesterday's 00z Euro had Irma in the Bahamas on 9/11
tonight's has it now on the FL west coast
for 9/12
yesterday's 00z Euro said Irma would be in the Atlantic prepping for a run at SC
tonight's has it making the 2nd landfall on FL's west coast
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:55 am to rt3
The trend is not Louisiana's friend.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:57 am to rt3
I looked at the comparison between the newest gfs and euro. I didn't analyze that closely. I just saw rough agreement between the two.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:58 am to Jim Rockford
quote:
The trend is not Louisiana's friend.
it is a worrisome trend... but it's still way too far out
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:59 am to TigerStripes06
quote:
I looked at the comparison between the newest gfs and euro. I didn't analyze that closely. I just saw rough agreement between the two.
the agreement is nice... I do agree
but the westward slide needs to stop
ETA: unless Irma wants to slide all the way to Mexico
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 2:00 am
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:01 am to rt3
They agreed pretty well about 2 days ago on a Charleston to obx landfall. I understand the concern.
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 2:02 am
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