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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/4/17 at 7:52 pm to saint tiger225
Posted on 9/4/17 at 7:52 pm to saint tiger225
Peej, how many alters do you have? Just 1? On the last page, I noticed everyone who said something about you or disagreed with you, had 2 downvotes within a couple of minutes of their post. 
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 7:53 pm
0
Posted on 9/4/17 at 7:52 pm to dukke v
quote:Because you're like William H. Macy in the movie, The Cooler. You jinx everything.
Why??????
Posted on 9/4/17 at 7:53 pm to saint tiger225
AF305 is back on its way to the eyewall and eye
Posted on 9/4/17 at 7:53 pm to tgrbaitn08
I hope Shep makes a return for this hurricane season for Florida. It was awesome hearing him say this while hunkering in my closet last time.
LINK
LINK
Posted on 9/4/17 at 7:53 pm to JackieTreehorn
quote:
Honest question, who is Peej?
Peej's user name is Dukke V.
He makes predictions from weather to sports on a routine basis, and has not gotten one single prediction correct since he predicted LSU would beat Auburn in 2007, or something like that.
I'm not sure he has ever got a weather prediction even close to correct.
So, he's considered a jinx to predicting who will win or who will not get a hurricane, flood, or tornado.
Otherwise, he is just another poster on this board.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 7:54 pm to JackieTreehorn
Dukke v = Peej.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 7:54 pm to Deactived
It was mainly bar tenders who were pretty calm about it. Uber driver was worried tho, said he is making a decision tomorrow.
Wilma wrecked Key West 11 years ago and it wasn't even a direct hit.
Wilma wrecked Key West 11 years ago and it wasn't even a direct hit.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 7:55 pm to lsuman25
quote:
can go right over Florida, or he even said it can get into the Gulf.
Just to clear this up, a lot of the reliable models ARE showing that it reaches the gulf, but primarily in the Big Bend area of FL, and thats just because it makes it there before the swing to the N-NE.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 7:57 pm to East Coast Band
quote:What's sad, is this isn't even an exaggeration.
He makes predictions from weather to sports on a routine basis, and has not gotten one single prediction correct since he predicted LSU would beat Auburn in 2007, or something like that.
I'm not sure he has ever got a weather prediction even close to correct.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 7:58 pm to rds dc
00z early cycle tracks
Notice the HWRF and HMON sticking out. The HWRF has done well this season and the HMON is new. Those tracks and the 18z GEFS cluster off of western Florida is a bit of a wonder. Not saying it means anything but hopefully the 00z runs with all the extra data clear things up a bit.
Notice the HWRF and HMON sticking out. The HWRF has done well this season and the HMON is new. Those tracks and the 18z GEFS cluster off of western Florida is a bit of a wonder. Not saying it means anything but hopefully the 00z runs with all the extra data clear things up a bit.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 7:59 pm to RazorBroncs
quote:
Just to clear this up, a lot of the reliable models ARE showing that it reaches the gulf, but primarily in the Big Bend area of FL, and thats just because it makes it there before the swing to the N-NE.
:sigh:
yes, all storms eventually move out to the N-NE.
the problem is the models keep moving this one WEST.
i.e., into the Gulf.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 7:59 pm to saint tiger225
Just for "fun", we can look at the HMON again. Pressure at 869mb and upper level winds of about 240mph.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 8:00 pm to East Coast Band
According to PeeJ, Harvey was supposed to head straight to Mexico and not even come close to the US Mainland.
Instead Harvey made 2 US landfalls and is going to end up being the most costliest natural disaster ever to hit the US at a price tag of $200 billion.
Good job PeeJ. You sure nailed that one.
Instead Harvey made 2 US landfalls and is going to end up being the most costliest natural disaster ever to hit the US at a price tag of $200 billion.
Good job PeeJ. You sure nailed that one.
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 8:01 pm
Posted on 9/4/17 at 8:01 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
This is a live stream from a weather forum I read (SouthernWx.com), they are going to be chatting with Levi Cowan from Tropical Tidbits in a few mintutes.
Live Stream
Live Stream
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 8:02 pm
Posted on 9/4/17 at 8:01 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
That can't actually happen, right?
Posted on 9/4/17 at 8:02 pm to tgrbaitn08
Peej has just made his calls too early off models with incomplete data. Honestly anyone trying to nail a landfall currently isn't any different than him.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 8:03 pm to Kcoyote
quote:
That can't actually happen, right?
No, this solution won't happen. I just posted because it is interesting. HMON goes a little overboard.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 8:04 pm to Kcoyote
The HMON is uncoupled (ie doesn't have ocean conditions tied into the atmospheric conditions) from what I've read. Assuming that is the case, you can ignore the ridiculous pressures it's throwing out.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 8:04 pm to Kcoyote
quote:
That can't actually happen, right?
the lowest mslp ever recorded was 870 in typhoon tip
so I'm gonna go with no
Posted on 9/4/17 at 8:04 pm to Kcoyote
quote:
That can't actually happen, right?
not unless FL suddenly got moved to the Pacific.
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