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re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential

Posted on 9/3/18 at 12:55 pm to
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102521 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 12:55 pm to
quote:

Anyone post the doomsday HMON yet?

What did that thing do to Irma last year? I think it had it at a 890mb pressure hurricane. Irma was beastly but goddamn.



It was way lower like 857mb or something ridiculous like that
Posted by urinetrouble
Member since Oct 2007
20639 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 12:57 pm to
The latest radar has me a little concerned.

Posted by jlc05
Member since Nov 2005
33409 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 12:57 pm to
quote:

I guess the potential for rapid intensification is there now?


From Stormcast board

“I think the only thing hampering him from rapid intensification right now is the upper level low to the southwest. Other than that, I expect intensification all the way up to landfall.”
Posted by SeeeeK
some where
Member since Sep 2012
30763 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

The JW Marriott on Marco Island has webcams, so you can check it out.


Checking it out now, i thought i saw a line out there for people waiting to reserve Palapas for 2morrow
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
102067 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 12:58 pm to
Posted by BigB0882
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2014
5422 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 12:59 pm to
Looks like recon may have found a sub 1000mb reading. I assume the 2pm update from NHC was released before the recon that was running. I think it is safe to say they are a bit behind Gordon.
This post was edited on 9/3/18 at 1:00 pm
Posted by jlc05
Member since Nov 2005
33409 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 12:59 pm to
Already up to 50 mph on next advisory
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 12:59 pm to
Levi Cowan
?

@TropicalTidbits
Following Following @TropicalTidbits
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It's hard to perfectly sample a core this small, but the plane found a pressure at least 6mb lower than 3 hours ago, and probably a little lower than that in reality. Confirmation that #Gordon is intensifying quickly at this moment.
Posted by geauxtigers87
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2011
27412 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 12:59 pm to
Grand Isle doing a voluntary evacuation
Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
36223 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 1:00 pm to
Admins y u no sticky thread?
Posted by geauxtigers87
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2011
27412 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 1:02 pm to
70 mph winds by tom 7pm according to latest, but seems like it's going to strengthen faster than that?
Posted by tLSU
Member since Oct 2007
8683 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 1:02 pm to
48

Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 1:03 pm to
Looking at the NWS radar out of Miami, the last very frames show it heading a bit west and shows a eye.
Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
16122 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 1:04 pm to
What is the wind field looking like?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 1:04 pm to
East of last run, might be east of all the other majors now. UKmet, Canadian, and GFS had Louisiana landfall. Leads me to start leaning into a Hancock County type solution.
Posted by BigB0882
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2014
5422 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 1:05 pm to
It seems final landfall on Euro didn't budge by much.
This post was edited on 9/3/18 at 1:05 pm
Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
36223 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 1:06 pm to
When would the northshore start feeling effects of the storm, if it continues on the expected path?
Posted by Mac
Member since Nov 2007
14803 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 1:08 pm to
So I guess I should plan on going to work in Lafayette on Wednesday?
This post was edited on 9/3/18 at 1:08 pm
Posted by TigeRoots
Member since Oct 2008
8556 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

When would the northshore start feeling effects of the storm, if it continues on the expected path?


Are you incapable of reading and interpreting an arrival time map that is posted on the first page and is updated as it becomes available?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 1:09 pm to
Tuesday night into Wednesday. Thinking would be, taking the Euro path and/or NHC path that the farther east and north in the Northshore would yield bigger wind impacts.
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