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re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential

Posted on 9/3/18 at 11:06 am to
Posted by jmarto1
Houma, LA/ Las Vegas, NV
Member since Mar 2008
38675 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 11:06 am to
Iced over roads..
Posted by upgrayedd
Lifting at Tobin's house
Member since Mar 2013
138871 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 11:06 am to
quote:

Busses on icy bridges were the concern. If a bus wreck killed some children, the negative publicity (and impending lawsuits) would have been brutal.



IIRC, there was no precipitation, just cold temps
Posted by BigB0882
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2014
5422 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 11:08 am to
You recall incorrectly. There was precipitation and it stayed frozen on bridges and overpasses for days. You don’t remember the interstate being closed for, what, 2-3 days?
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53873 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 11:08 am to
quote:

The hurricane hunters are in the storm now, so we'll know the exact intensity.


Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131421 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 11:10 am to
quote:

There was precipitation and it stayed frozen on bridges and overpasses for days. You don’t remember the interstate being closed for, what, 2-3 days?


Yep

And dumbass baws thought they were invincible in their 4x4 trucks

Those things were sliding all over the place. Trucks are terrible in ice.
Posted by Mac
Member since Nov 2007
14803 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 11:12 am to
It’s September, right?
Posted by Cooter Davenport
Austin, TX
Member since Apr 2012
9006 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 11:14 am to
Not necessarily. You just have to know what you are doing and have good tires for it, which nobody down here does.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131421 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 11:17 am to
Backend of trucks is so light they will always be worse in ice than an AWD sedan.
Posted by Sun God
Member since Jul 2009
51878 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 11:20 am to
That's why I carry a full load of sand in icy conditions. Well, that and rescue ops
Posted by Zach Lee To Amp Hill
New Orleans
Member since Mar 2016
4942 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 11:22 am to
no one reading this thread cares about truck performance in icy conditions you idiots MY GOD
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 11:22 am to
Yes. A lot to consider on intensity levels though. Just because it has 70mph winds doesn't mean it extends very far outward. Looking at radar it doesn't look like a big storm at all where 200 miles people are still feeling TS wind impacts.

I think rds said this last year but the intensity forecasts are something the computer models really still struggle with as we saw with all the RI that happened last year with storms blowing up overnight.
This post was edited on 9/3/18 at 11:24 am
Posted by CypressTrout10
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2016
3136 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 11:24 am to
Tangi Parish School System Superintendent having conference call with emergency officials this afternoon.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131421 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 11:29 am to
Expect most schools in SE LA to be closed tues/wed

Posted by CypressTrout10
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2016
3136 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 11:31 am to
If I had to guess from past experience, tomorrow the Northshore will have school. Cancel after school activities and cancel school Wednesday.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21473 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 11:34 am to
12z GFS shows shear increasing over the system and then eventually the mid and low level circulations decoupling. The system falls apart as it approaches landfall near Fourchon, a westward shift from 06z.
Posted by jimmy the leg
Member since Aug 2007
44148 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 11:35 am to
quote:

IIRC, there was no precipitation, just cold temps



If Im not mistaken, you don't need precipitation for bridges to ice up in extremely cold weather. Evidently, you just need humidity. Supposedly it has something to do with cold air both above and below the bridge surface.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131421 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 11:35 am to
Posted by theOG
Member since Feb 2010
10830 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 11:36 am to
GFS is the oddball in this case though, right?
This post was edited on 9/3/18 at 11:37 am
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131421 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 11:37 am to
Wont know until its over
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61722 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 11:38 am to
quote:

12z GFS shows shear increasing over the system and then eventually the mid and low level circulations decoupling. The system falls apart as it approaches landfall near Fourchon, a westward shift from 06z.
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