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re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential

Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:52 am to
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
104021 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:52 am to
quote:

WTF is the disturbance behind Florence???


Tropical flatulence. Florence is a nasty lady.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:53 am to
Isaac slams right into panhandle


Posted by S
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
172169 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:55 am to
How much of isaac will be left after it gets Guantanamo Bay prison raped?
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147074 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:56 am to
quote:

Isaac slams right into panhandle

pressures getting 980-970... that's hurricane strength, no?
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:58 am to
That forecast shows it not getting sheared like the other models are showing and it eventually finds a weakness to turn north.

Thing to watch would be if other models are agreeing with less shear and a more northward forecast over next few days. Right now it's fantasy land forecast.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:59 am to


Huh. A little north of the track currently. Recon pass upcoming will get a proper fix at least.
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 12:00 pm to




ISS Twitter
This post was edited on 9/12/18 at 12:02 pm
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102613 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 12:01 pm to
quote:

the hurricane hunter trying to send us a message



Posted by LanierSpots
Sarasota, Florida
Member since Sep 2010
71050 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 12:01 pm to
That is a awesome picture
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 12:02 pm to
Yup potential Cat 1.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147074 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 12:02 pm to
quote:

Huh. A little north of the track currently. Recon pass upcoming will get a proper fix at least.

there should be a 4th drop in the eye on the current HH mission

but between drops 1 & 3 (~ 3 1/2 hrs between)... it's moved 0.5 N, 0.8 W
Posted by LSU fan 246
Member since Oct 2005
90567 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 12:03 pm to
Looks like you can dive right in it
Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
109173 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 12:03 pm to
quote:

Do you have a generator? Can your house sustain the projected winds?


Got a generator, house has hurricane clips, windows are hurricane glass. No pine trees near my house, just some oaks in the neighbor's yard.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21505 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 12:03 pm to
quote:

Looks like GFS has Isaac gaining strength in caribbean, turns northwest and drifts into the gulf. Kinda interesting it's doing that. Others showed a lot of shear then a ridge that parks over the top preventing it turning north. I'll be curious to see what GFS does with it when this run is over.


The ensembles have been picking up on the possibility of Isaac bouncing back to life in the Caribbean. There are some signs of conditions improving but still too far out to try and tease any details, esp. with the ongoing uncertainty associated with what happens to Florence.

00z Euro EPS


Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
41010 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 12:07 pm to
quote:

I also remember the tracking maps they'd print in the newspaper. You'd cut it out, stick it to the refrigerator and if a storm was coming in, you'd get the latest position every day and mark a little dot on the map.


The release of the "hurricane tracking map" was a big thing in my household, growing up. Each tv station would link up with a business to distribute them. So maybe WWL's would be available at Wendy's, etc.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102613 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 12:07 pm to
quote:

for anyone in a mandatory evac area, most homeowner's insurances cover up to 2 weeks of cost. SAVE ALL RECEIPTS




Hopefully but I doubt they ever do it. I had a wreck on the coast once and no rental cars available. Truck could be fixed to drive but would take a day or two. Insurance said get a hotel and they’d cover the cost and all food during repair time.

Never saw that money. frickers
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21764 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 12:08 pm to
Myrtle Beach is forecast to get it on the chin.



weather.gov



Yikes.

Also look at that outflow on all but the SW side.

This post was edited on 9/12/18 at 12:11 pm
Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
109173 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

I'd put 100 bucks on TABS.


TABS can go frick itself.
Posted by Purple Spoon
Hoth
Member since Feb 2005
20861 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 12:11 pm to
Why does every single storm have at least one model that takes the storm right up New Orleans arse?
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147074 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 12:12 pm to
quote:

Why does every single storm have at least one model that takes the storm right up New Orleans arse?

that's the 'frick Mitch' model
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