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re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential

Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:08 am to
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147074 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:08 am to
quote:

Let me find a pic of my girl IRMA

she sounds hott... y'all bang?
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147074 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:09 am to
quote:

Models mostly show it getting shredded into the caribbean but this current run on GFS looks like it has it actually intensifying in the caribbean instead. Could just be an outlier or the start of a trend.

we've shite on the GFS a lot in this thread... but I'm fairly certain it was the 1st to pick up a potential stall along the coast for Flo... so maybe we shouldn't just write it off
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21764 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:09 am to
50 years ago the GOAT Nash Roberts was still with us. Dont know what people did prior to that. Nash started broadcasting in 1951.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:10 am to
It has Isaac intensifying and turning north near cuba.
Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
109173 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:11 am to
quote:

We’re holding down in Wagener Terrace for the time being. This side of the peninsula is fairly lively right now, all things considered. Possibly heading to Jacksonville tomorrow.


Think I'm riding it out on Johns Island, as our elevation should help us. For my house the elevation is 14m / 46feet.
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
104021 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:11 am to
quote:

I'm not riding it out on the 30-whatever-th floor... I tell you that

I'm getting down to at least the 4th, 5th, or 6th


I'm not saying that I'd want to either... but it's not like those buildings are going to come down. I wouldn't be hanging out on the balcony, that's for damn sure.
Posted by Costanza
Member since May 2011
3273 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:13 am to
quote:

those beach cams just remind you of how people died back before weather forecasting was a thing. Beautiful day out there today. In 2 days all hell will probably break loose. No one would have had a clue 50 to 100 years ago of what was coming.



I think of this every time there's a major storm. Some old timer standing on his porch saying, "looks like rain"
Posted by S
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
172171 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:13 am to
Lol at these morons Kaylee just interviewed

“Ohh, we’re not leaving because we aren’t scared.”

“If we leave we won’t be able to come back for a month or longer.”


Uh, yea exactly. That’s a month you’ll stay there (if you survive) WITHOUT electricity, running water, plumbing, etc.

But hey, at least you weren’t scared! It’s about survival not fear or lack thereof.
This post was edited on 9/12/18 at 11:14 am
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40226 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:15 am to
quote:

yeah... first responders will always say once winds hit tropical storm force... they're done... they hunker down until the winds die back down under TS force


As they should. I remember for Rita, our poor neighbors had JUST moved in. We walked over to tell her about the mandatory evac and she said "oh my husband said it'll be fine .. he went to Port Arranas to see about the boat". I was like "lady, you will have no water (had a water well), they're NOT coming if you need" etc. She said "well I guess I could go to my sons about 20 miles north.

We really had to talk her into leaving.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53879 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:17 am to
Where is Kaylee stationed?
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:17 am to
Looks like GFS has Isaac gaining strength in caribbean, turns northwest and drifts into the gulf. Kinda interesting it's doing that. Others showed a lot of shear then a ridge that parks over the top preventing it turning north. I'll be curious to see what GFS does with it when this run is over.
This post was edited on 9/12/18 at 11:19 am
Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
36223 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:17 am to
quote:


Think I'm riding it out on Johns Island, as our elevation should help us. For my house the elevation is 14m / 46feet.
Do you have a generator? Can your house sustain the projected winds?
Posted by S
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
172171 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:17 am to
Carolina Beach, NC
Posted by Ignignot
Member since Mar 2009
18823 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:17 am to
quote:

Ohh, we’re not leaving because we aren’t


Wow they're definitely not from the gulf south
Posted by dawgfan24348
Member since Oct 2011
51733 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:18 am to
Not sure if posted yet but got this from Reddit

Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21764 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:19 am to
quote:

For my house the elevation is 14m / 46feet.


Edit, read that as ft, not m.
This post was edited on 9/12/18 at 11:21 am
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147074 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:21 am to
quote:

Wow they're definitely not from the gulf south

if they're from the midwest... just tell to be prepared to be inside the worst of a tornado for like 8-10 hours... if not more
Posted by Drunken Crawfish
Member since Apr 2017
3883 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:22 am to
quote:

those beach cams just remind you of how people died back before weather forecasting was a thing. Beautiful day out there today. In 2 days all hell will probably break loose. No one would have had a clue 50 to 100 years ago of what was coming.


Check this out: Last Island Hurricane
This post was edited on 9/12/18 at 11:28 am
Posted by jefffan
Florence- Sumter- Columbia, SC
Member since Sep 2013
4971 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:22 am to
Either TWC or CNN was saying last night said there's double the number of people now than Hugo in 89.

A lot of people haven't been through this.
Posted by FairhopeTider
Fairhope, Alabama
Member since May 2012
22768 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:25 am to
quote:

those beach cams just remind you of how people died back before weather forecasting was a thing. Beautiful day out there today. In 2 days all hell will probably break loose. No one would have had a clue 50 to 100 years ago of what was coming.


I've always wondered about that too. Nice day and then suddenly there's a hurricane. Seems impossible to prepare for and scary to think about considering the way they change direction and intensify rapidly. Especially scary to think that the eye could fool people into thinking the storm was over. Outside of some boat captain saying he saw a thunderstorm, how would anyone know Florence was heading that way 100+ years ago?

The Galveston Hurricane is probably an example of what we're talking about. There was some warning from Cuba about a storm but nobody knew which direction the storm was heading.

This post was edited on 9/12/18 at 11:35 am
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