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re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential
Posted on 9/10/18 at 9:29 am to Pettifogger
Posted on 9/10/18 at 9:29 am to Pettifogger
So there are no memes with Flo from the progressive commercials as the hurricane barreling down on the carolinas
0
Posted on 9/10/18 at 9:30 am to rt3
quote:
biggest thing I see in that gif is the storm is still moving in a very westerly pattern
seems like everyone's still waiting for that northward lift to start
The drift is subtle but a later N. turn probably shuts off the one last chance at a N. Atlantic feature opening an escape hatch that allows Florence to move out to sea sooner vs. stalling and drifting south. At this point, missing land seems basically off the table, now we look for options that move it back out to sea faster...
Posted on 9/10/18 at 9:30 am to slackster
Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit smoking
Posted on 9/10/18 at 9:30 am to AubieALUMdvm
quote:
quote:How would Raleigh fare in this scenario? Neighbors son just started School their and they are thinking of flying him home early next week.
quote:
Probably not necessary - that area and to the east of it did receive some major flooding with hurricane matthew in 2016
He has a flight out tomorrow. If it were my kid I would do the same. 100 miles in doesn't seem to be far enough to escape this storm.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 9:32 am to Duke
That eyewall tho. Yikes.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 9:46 am to NYNolaguy1
Any thoughts on that system that appears to be heading to the gulf?
Posted on 9/10/18 at 9:49 am to bigberg2000
quote:
Any thoughts on that system that appears to be heading to the gulf?
the hurricane or the wave?
ETA: I assume you mean the wave... but just making sure
This post was edited on 9/10/18 at 9:49 am
Posted on 9/10/18 at 9:50 am to rt3
David Bernard just posted update on the wave in gulf saying it has a 70 to 80% chance of becoming a depression
Posted on 9/10/18 at 9:52 am to East Coast Band
quote:
Raleigh is fairly far inland. I wouldn't expect anything major
If Florence stalls like the models are suggesting, wind will not be the big story with this storm. The story will be inland catastrophic flooding. As of now, Raleigh seems to be near the thick of the highest rainfall totals. Of course, that will get fine tuned over the next few days.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 9:52 am to geauxtigers87
quote:
...FLORENCE RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.0N 60.0W
ABOUT 580 MI...935 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 1240 MI...2000 KM ESE OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES
Posted on 9/10/18 at 9:54 am to geauxtigers87
I think the steering flow is pretty straight-forward for the wave entering the Gulf. It should head to TX, most likely the mid to lower TX coast. Maybe if something really strong suddenly formed then we would have to look at it heading in a different direction but I don't know that any models make it very strong. If it makes it into the BOC then watch out, that area is notorious for helping to spin up storms very quickly.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 9:54 am to rds dc
quote:
the outflow of Florence
Could you explain the word "outflow"? I've seen it used but, hurricanes seem to have "inflow" towards the eye. That's why the word "outflow" confuses me. Thanks.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 9:55 am to SippyCup
quote:
He has a flight out tomorrow. If it were my kid I would do the same. 100 miles in doesn't seem to be far enough to escape this storm.
Helicopter parent much?
Posted on 9/10/18 at 9:55 am to rds dc
First evacuation orders are starting to come out.
Dare County, NC. Hatteras Island today; entire county evac will go into effect by tomorrow.
Dare County, NC. Hatteras Island today; entire county evac will go into effect by tomorrow.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 9:55 am to cajunangelle
quote:
How far inland is this flooding expected?
Kentucky, from the looks of those rainfall totals.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 9:57 am to GetCocky11
I got elderly family in aiken. Anyone think the western part of this storm is going to be bad that far inland?
Posted on 9/10/18 at 9:58 am to Champagne
quote:
Could you explain the word "outflow"? I've seen it used but, hurricanes seem to have "inflow" towards the eye. That's why the word "outflow" confuses me. Thanks.
Wiki
quote:
While the most obvious motion of clouds is toward the center, tropical cyclones also develop an upper-level (high-altitude) outward flow of clouds. These originate from air that has released its moisture and is expelled at high altitude through the "chimney" of the storm engine.[7] This outflow produces high, thin cirrus clouds that spiral away from the center. The clouds are thin enough for the sun to be visible through them. These high cirrus clouds may be the first signs of an approaching tropical cyclone.[8] As air parcels are lifted within the eye of the storm the vorticity is reduced, causing the outflow from a tropical cyclone to have anticyclonic motion. If two tropical cyclones are in proximity to one another, the outflow from the system downstream (normally to the west) can hinder the development of the system upstream (normally to the east).[9]
Posted on 9/10/18 at 9:58 am to GetCocky11
Can someone post the lastest predicted track of Florence? When and where do they think it’s going to hit?
What does PeeJ say?
What does PeeJ say?
Posted on 9/10/18 at 9:59 am to tgrbaitn08
Looks like somewhere around Wrightsville Beach.
This post was edited on 9/10/18 at 10:01 am
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