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re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential

Posted on 9/9/18 at 9:41 pm to
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 9/9/18 at 9:41 pm to
I have friends that live in Wilmington and have never dealt with a hurricane. Told them to gtfo on Wednesday morning and make sure that car had gas in it tomorrow.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
178833 posts
Posted on 9/9/18 at 9:42 pm to
TAKe tons of pics of house and belongings
Posted by AubieALUMdvm
Member since Oct 2011
11713 posts
Posted on 9/9/18 at 9:44 pm to
quote:

have friends that live in Wilmington and have never dealt with a hurricane. Told them to gtfo on Wednesday morning and make sure that car had gas in it tomorrow.




A major problem with many in the carolinas is that we havn't had a real zinger in a long time. They probably think Matthew was the real deal.

Since the last one we've also had of course many become adults and a ton of northerners move down here and do not know that they really do need to take this stuff seriously.
This post was edited on 9/9/18 at 9:47 pm
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 9/9/18 at 9:44 pm to
quote:


I just like to be within a few hours of where the most damage is so I can hit the ground running once roads start opening up and flood waters recede. Looking at the map, I was actually thinking Asheville, looks to be the same area. Thanks
.

Columbia is closer to Wilmington.
This post was edited on 9/9/18 at 9:45 pm
Posted by Bruco
Charlotte, NC
Member since Aug 2016
3025 posts
Posted on 9/9/18 at 9:44 pm to
Unless it moves back south, I’d just head to Charlotte.
Posted by wickowick
Head of Island
Member since Dec 2006
46359 posts
Posted on 9/9/18 at 9:45 pm to
quote:

I’m a flood adjuster and I’m trying to plan ahead.....The uncertainty of the whole thing has me hesitant, but Knoxville TN should be a good/safe staging area untill the aftermath correct? Thinking about heading that way Sunday.


I am gathering my gear together to head out also. Wind side.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
40978 posts
Posted on 9/9/18 at 9:46 pm to
quote:

A major problem with many in the carolinas is that we havn't had a real zinger in a long time. Since the last one we've also had of course many become adults and a ton of northerners move down here and do not know that they really do need to take this stuff seriously.


i hope they get educated quick. If this thing pops to a 4 soon. you could have Katrina like surges, even, as we saw with Katrina, if the wind speed drops just before landfall. This thing looks like it will have a large wind field as well.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21493 posts
Posted on 9/9/18 at 9:48 pm to
Deep convection continues to fire in the WCAB. There was a mid level vort earlier today but nothing in the lower levels. CIMSS analysis now shows the 700mb vort increasing this evening. If convection continues to fire overnight then the vort could mix down to the surface. Wouldn't be surprised to see NHC to bump this up from 30% later tonight.

Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53875 posts
Posted on 9/9/18 at 9:49 pm to
UNC-Wilmington Closing Noon Monday

This post was edited on 9/9/18 at 9:54 pm
Posted by Dlab2013
Pineville, Luzianna
Member since Jun 2013
9526 posts
Posted on 9/9/18 at 9:50 pm to
quote:


Columbia is closer to Wilmington.



Columbia might be too close for comfort depending on where it actually hits. Thinking about heading in that direction from Louisiana early Sunday morning.
Posted by AubieALUMdvm
Member since Oct 2011
11713 posts
Posted on 9/9/18 at 9:50 pm to
quote:

Columbia is closer to Wilmington.



Good point. Only 3 hours under normal conditions
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/9/18 at 9:53 pm to
quote:

Eye looks like it's about ready to peak out.




There it is.

Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21493 posts
Posted on 9/9/18 at 10:00 pm to
quote:

Eye looks like it's about ready to peak out.


Starting to really show up on the 1-min scans, really deep convection firing all around the center.

Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21493 posts
Posted on 9/9/18 at 10:02 pm to
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 9/9/18 at 10:04 pm to
Wondering how well the Carolina beaches fared with major hurricanes in the past?
Here is a photo of Garden City Beach, SC (near Myrtle Beach) after Hugo wrecked it in 1989 with a 14 foot storm surge.
FTR, Hugo's eyewall came ashore 50 miles away.

Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/9/18 at 10:05 pm to
Just a aide note, but while reading about massive rain totals, I can across an article talking about TC Gamede in 2007. It set the world record rainfall totals for 72 and 96 hours.

As the storm progressed, these were the totals.

24 hrs - 64"
48 hrs - 97"
72 hrs - 154"
96 hrs - 191"

Those are totals I can't even fathom. 5 feet of rain in one day, 8 feet over two days, nearly 13 feet over 3 days and almost 16 feet over 4 days. I mean, how in the hell?
This post was edited on 9/9/18 at 10:27 pm
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53875 posts
Posted on 9/9/18 at 10:05 pm to
I don't remember in the past a serious warning like this 4 days in advance
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/9/18 at 10:06 pm to
quote:

Starting to really show up on the 1-min scans, really deep convection firing all around the center.


It's about to be closed off completely and then who knows where the intensification stops.
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 9/9/18 at 10:08 pm to
quote:

Since the last one we've also had of course many become adults and a ton of northerners move down here and do not know that they really do need to take this stuff seriously.


I just laid it on them hard. That storm surge isn’t a joke and as the crow flies they have water (Atlantic and Cape Fear River)within 1/2 mile on the east and the west side of them.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53875 posts
Posted on 9/9/18 at 10:08 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 9/9/18 at 10:10 pm
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