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Posted on 9/9/18 at 7:23 pm to deltaland
quote:
Something to consider too if it stalls out with the eye over water it won’t weaken very fast.
Thats if it weakens at all... this this would be stalled out over a constant flow of very warm water called the gulf stream.
Posted on 9/9/18 at 7:24 pm to rds dc
Is it gaining any latitude? I know that has been the concern for a while among folks south of the current forecast track.
Posted on 9/9/18 at 7:30 pm to otowntiger
thankful my business trip to Myrtle Beach next week was postponed (not due to the storm)
Posted on 9/9/18 at 7:30 pm to rt3
I'm sorry for your loss, rt3.
Prayers for those in the path of Florence - still praying for it and all other storms to dissipate or head out to unpopulated areas.
Prayers for those in the path of Florence - still praying for it and all other storms to dissipate or head out to unpopulated areas.
Posted on 9/9/18 at 7:44 pm to Pettifogger
quote:
Anyone familiar with the flood issues and topography for the area in question? I don't think anywhere can handle that type of rain without major issues, but I'm guessing some can better than others, obviously?
Yes this would be very bad. The area from Fayetteville up to Greenville and east to New Bern are very susceptible to flooding as we saw with Matthew. Shut down of many roads, interestates, etc...
Posted on 9/9/18 at 7:47 pm to AubieALUMdvm
feel bad for the area, looks like a large threat. Used to live out there where its about to hit.
Posted on 9/9/18 at 8:01 pm to momentoftruth87
Just moved to the triangle area from BR... this is some bullshite
Posted on 9/9/18 at 8:05 pm to gmrkr5
Selfish me really wants UNC to try to play their football game vs UCF in this on Saturday. Intense rain games are amazing.
This post was edited on 9/9/18 at 8:06 pm
Posted on 9/9/18 at 8:08 pm to AubieALUMdvm
Damn, that model looks horrible. Selfishly, since I live in Charlotte, I really hope there’s no southerly movement. But this is awful
Posted on 9/9/18 at 8:09 pm to momentoftruth87
Damn. That area will be crippled for a long time. I hope people are packing their shite and heading out. No need to be macho in the predicted path of that thing.
Posted on 9/9/18 at 8:10 pm to WylieTiger
It really will be. I was at Lejeune and damn, if this sucker hits Wilmington to Myrtle Beach, it will be bad. Ppl out there freak the f out over small storms. I can't remember how many times Walmart was a shite show over smaller storms.
Posted on 9/9/18 at 8:12 pm to momentoftruth87
Hugo is the benchmark in this area?
Posted on 9/9/18 at 8:15 pm to fightin tigers
quote:
Hugo is the benchmark in this area?
Hugo was Charleston->east of Columbia->Charlotte.
And it moved fast.
I think Hurricane Floyd is a decent comp for this storm. And with Floyd, the forecasters completely whiffed when the storm suddenly weakened and made a northern turn late. Maybe we will luck out and have that happen here.
This post was edited on 9/9/18 at 8:17 pm
Posted on 9/9/18 at 8:20 pm to GetCocky11
Models are lot better now, although imperfect. Even if the storm weakens before landfall, the accumulated rain is going to do damage. Look at Harvey.
Hell, initally Katrina did not affect New Orleans as thought; then the levees failed and holy shite, 1800+ died.
Hell, initally Katrina did not affect New Orleans as thought; then the levees failed and holy shite, 1800+ died.
This post was edited on 9/9/18 at 8:33 pm
Posted on 9/9/18 at 8:25 pm to WylieTiger
0z early guidance impressively clustered around Wilmington. Strong agreement five + days out.
Posted on 9/9/18 at 8:27 pm to WylieTiger
quote:
Models are lot better now, although imperfect. Even if the storm weakens before landfall, the accumulated rain is going to do damage. Look at Harvey.
or Lane in Hawaii just a few weeks ago
that didn't even make any kind of landfall... nor was it a hurricane anymore when it got there... just got close enough and let the volcanoes/mountains do all the work of dumping gallon after gallon of rain
Posted on 9/9/18 at 8:28 pm to AubieALUMdvm
I’m a flood adjuster and I’m trying to plan ahead.....The uncertainty of the whole thing has me hesitant, but Knoxville TN should be a good/safe staging area untill the aftermath correct? Thinking about heading that way Sunday.
Posted on 9/9/18 at 8:30 pm to Duke
Does anybody have any idea about Isaac? Is it going to be a problem for the central gulf coast?
Posted on 9/9/18 at 8:31 pm to Dlab2013
Maybe if you have a helicopter. I'm betting a lot of those mountain roads will wash out.
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