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1
Posted on 9/19/22 at 5:21 pm to Oates Mustache
Fiona is gonna wreck Nova scotia and Newfoundland if she really is still at 934mb up there on top of being a large subtropical system
Posted on 9/19/22 at 5:48 pm to deltaland
Panhandle landfall on this gfs run
Posted on 9/19/22 at 5:53 pm to deltaland
Think the big takeaway is models are showing something next week and most likely will enter the gulf then who knows ultimately from there. Can't wait for it's going north, no west, how many H's to the left or right is that. Hopefully nothing forms at all though
Posted on 9/19/22 at 5:56 pm to lsuman25
quote:
Think the big takeaway is models are showing something next week and most likely will enter the gulf then who knows ultimately from there.
Has happened several times this year
There is no takeaway 10+ days out
As rds posted there are ensembles everywhere from central america to OTS
This post was edited on 9/19/22 at 5:57 pm
Posted on 9/19/22 at 6:00 pm to lsuman25
the alarm has been sounded on stormcast. fradella already pumping this one
Posted on 9/19/22 at 6:01 pm to trussthetruzz
quote:
fradella
laura really did a number on him, hasn't been the same. margaret orr like hysteria ever since
Posted on 9/19/22 at 6:07 pm to deltaland
quote:
Panhandle landfall on this gfs run
Ok, you’re golden again.
Posted on 9/19/22 at 6:22 pm to Cosmo
Only takeaway is models are coming into agreement that something will form in Caribbean in the next week
Posted on 9/19/22 at 6:40 pm to Cosmo
This is still the one to watch. Yeah, the models are still all over, but this isn't some phantom GFS system. Lots of time though, you're right baw. Now ban yourself!
Posted on 9/19/22 at 6:59 pm to Oates Mustache
This is supposedly a commercial aircraft. I'm assuming it went over and not through? I guess going around wasn't an option.
From Twitter:
From Twitter:
Posted on 9/19/22 at 7:07 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
This is supposedly a commercial aircraft. I'm assuming it went over and not through? I guess going around wasn't an option.
punta canta to Newark
based on speed graphs looks like they had fun in the plane before reaching cruising altitude.
Posted on 9/19/22 at 8:14 pm to gaetti15
18Z euro running.
at 78 hours out Euro has it underdeveloped and weaker (further south closer to South America) than GFS (996mb, more defined low).
at 90 hrs still weaker and further South and West than GFS
at 78 hours out Euro has it underdeveloped and weaker (further south closer to South America) than GFS (996mb, more defined low).
at 90 hrs still weaker and further South and West than GFS
This post was edited on 9/19/22 at 8:16 pm
Posted on 9/19/22 at 8:20 pm to LegendInMyMind
JetBlue pilot gives no fricks
But yeah, 30000+ feet gets you over it i guess
But yeah, 30000+ feet gets you over it i guess
Posted on 9/19/22 at 9:47 pm to deltaland
quote:
Panhandle landfall on this gfs run
Kind of wish models were showing Louisiana landfall because they never accurate this far out
Posted on 9/19/22 at 10:24 pm to purple18
quote:
Kind of wish models were showing Louisiana landfall because they never accurate this far out
Sort of true. This is what the gfs was showing 6 days ago for Fiona. Look at where it went
Posted on 9/19/22 at 10:40 pm to trussthetruzz
I wouldnt call the Canadian "models" but the point of not sweating model landfalls is a good one
Posted on 9/19/22 at 10:59 pm to trussthetruzz
That ain’t the GFS bud
Posted on 9/19/22 at 11:09 pm to trussthetruzz
quote:
the alarm has been sounded on stormcast. fradella already pumping this one
Nick Mikulas has picked up on it too... he's doing the 'I see it, I'm on it, I'll tell you when it's time to worry' type posts on FB
my question is... in a few months time when I leave CenLA for good to head back to SELA... do I keep following Nick Mik? I've come to respect his weather posts
Posted on 9/19/22 at 11:33 pm to rt3
Rds better get his thread creation fingers ready, these models are way too bullish on development of this thing to ignore. The GFS that's running now, so far, is very close to the previous run.
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