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re: Hurricane Dorian - Headed to Canada

Posted on 8/29/19 at 5:08 pm to
Posted by roadGator
DeBoar’s dome
Member since Feb 2009
157548 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 5:08 pm to
I would guess some of both.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 5:09 pm to
Slipping under the ridge heading westward?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 5:10 pm to
quote:

What is the reason why there is a 36 hour delay between when the Euro model makes landfall and the rest of the models? The speed and general location aren’t too different but the Euro has Wednesday early morning while the rest are saying Monday.


I'm not sure, but the 18z GFS is trending toward a slower storm too. Through Monday at 11PM, the storm is roughly 100 miles SE (Jupiter, FL) of where it was on the 12z GFS (about 35 miles SSE of Orlando. .
Posted by Draconian Sanctions
Markey's bar
Member since Oct 2008
88509 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 5:14 pm to
quote:

I'm surprised you were let back in after that rant with Biden calling everyone all kinds of shite when in fact Biden did make the Obama assassination statement.


You completely missed the point
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131395 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 5:15 pm to
You never have a point
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
45871 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 5:15 pm to
quote:

Draconian Sanctions


You're a world class piece of shite, you know that right?


Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51674 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 5:15 pm to
WTF? A second low in the GOM there?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 5:18 pm to
quote:

Are people downvoting his post because that model is unreliable or they don’t like the result the model projected? That’s where I get confoozed.




I think the biggest thing is when people post one image of a model that is terrifying to this board (something in the GOM), but also from a model that stops at 120 hours at 6z and 18z.

The proper context for that model is that both the 0z and 12z models, which go to 180 hours, show the storm moving north through Florida. Leaving that picture with a cliffhanger about getting into the GOM is unnecessary IMO.
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33450 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 5:19 pm to
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 5:20 pm to
That's just a rainmaker on the other models.

Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131395 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 5:21 pm to
Rainmaker upper level low moving to texas
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 5:21 pm to
I think the more disturbing trend is you're seeing them showing a lack of steering and someone is going to take it on the chin for several days if this holds up. Also, looks like some are pushing more south in the models than before.
Posted by Dantheman504
N/A
Member since Jun 2013
6451 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 5:24 pm to
This will be a very large system. If its keeps dipping southwest....
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53871 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 5:30 pm to
Just passed 4 power trucks I-49 south of Shreveport. RES Power, TX and Missouri tags
This post was edited on 8/29/19 at 5:30 pm
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40226 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 5:31 pm to
Electric companies don’t play. My aunt is the marketing/pr person for slemco. She’s in charge of lining things up from manpower to housing them to feeding them when they come to help our area after a storm.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131395 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 5:34 pm to
quote:

Are people downvoting his post because that model is unreliable or they don’t like the result the model projected?


When you go through dozens of models and pick the one thats worst for LA just to scare people you get downvoted
Posted by Klingler7
Houston
Member since Nov 2009
12620 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 5:35 pm to
Rds dc ....what time tonight does the 00 z run of the GFS come online ?
Posted by Draconian Sanctions
Markey's bar
Member since Oct 2008
88509 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 5:38 pm to
quote:

You're a world class piece of shite, you know that right?


Yet you never see me tossing around personal attacks
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15722 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 5:43 pm to
are we going to see anything out of the convection emerging from africa?

Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 5:43 pm to
quote:

what time tonight does the 00 z run of the GFS come online ?


I can typically pull it off tropical tidbits about 11.
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