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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 8/29/19 at 1:37 pm to TIGERBAIT84
quote:
At what hour marks are the major models released?
All times are EASTERN and approximate
GFS (out to 384 hours)
0z: 10:30pm
6z: 4:30am
12z: 10:30am
18z: 4:30pm
NAM (out to 84 hours)
0z: 8:35pm
6z: 2:35am
12z: 8:35am
18z: 2:35pm
CMC (out to 180 hours)
0z: 12:00am
12z : 12:00pm
UKMET (out to 72 hours)
0z: 12:30am
12z: 12:30pm
ECMWF (EURO) (out to 240 hours)
0z: 1:30am
12z: 1:30pm
Posted on 8/29/19 at 1:38 pm to Rhino5
quote:
Looks like a possible Miami hit now..? Earlier it was more like Melbourne, 200 miles north of Miami.
Its still like 5 days away. Things will change. Just stay tuned and be prepared wherever you are.
Posted on 8/29/19 at 1:38 pm to deuce985
quote:
wish people would stop being so hardheaded on climate change. I'm not saying this is happening here but there's absolutely no denying that climate changing is happening around the world. Anyone who says otherwise is absolutely ignorant. What you CAN'T say is humans are solely responsible for climate change because there's not enough scientific evidence to back that claim up.
Shut up
A hurricane on Labor Day weekend is as common each year as a tornado outbreak around Easter
Posted on 8/29/19 at 1:41 pm to LSUvegasbombed
quote:
both. I was blown away the shed never was flattened but watching Adair's feed and his death wish was pretty epic. It will be hard to top that IMO.
Getting swept up in the surge was awesome. Watching the dash cam as the car floated out to sea
Posted on 8/29/19 at 1:44 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
12z HWRF valid at 2am CDT Monday. Pressure at 933 mb
the good ole HWRF doing HWRF things
Posted on 8/29/19 at 1:44 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Thank you a lot!!
Posted on 8/29/19 at 1:45 pm to deltaland
The Everglades are a natural Hurricane Diminisher. But heck yeah, it could reform over the gulf in that Euro model scenario . Just stay away from Ft Pierce/Vero.
*I know nothing about weather FTR.
*I know nothing about weather FTR.
Posted on 8/29/19 at 1:47 pm to Lsupimp
quote:
But heck yeah, it could reform over the gulf in that Euro model scenario .
You might want to actually watch the complete run.
Posted on 8/29/19 at 1:48 pm to Centinel
Euro going with a hard right?
Strong enough storm to feel the little push south off the upper ridge, finds the weakness and goes N hard. Basically the scenario?
Strong enough storm to feel the little push south off the upper ridge, finds the weakness and goes N hard. Basically the scenario?
Posted on 8/29/19 at 1:49 pm to Centinel
FTR I know LESS than nothing about the weather. Factor that in.
Posted on 8/29/19 at 1:50 pm to Duke
quote:
Strong enough storm to feel the little push south off the upper ridge, finds the weakness and goes N hard. Basically the scenario?
That's what it looks like. North along the coast, in to Georgia, then over SC.
Looks like I need to get the umbrellas ready.
ETA:
This post was edited on 8/29/19 at 1:52 pm
Posted on 8/29/19 at 1:50 pm to deuce985
quote:The US has actually been in a down period for hurricanes the past 15 years or so.
I wish people would stop being so hardheaded on climate change. I'm not saying this is happening here but there's absolutely no denying that climate changing is happening around the world. Anyone who says otherwise is absolutely ignorant. What you CAN'T say is humans are solely responsible for climate change because there's not enough scientific evidence to back that claim up.
You sound like Ol Bernie right now. A natural weather event =/ climate change.
Posted on 8/29/19 at 1:53 pm to rds dc
Euro almost pulls it out, trends have been encouraging over the past 24hrs. It wouldn't take much to get this to miss Florida. It will be interesting to see if the Euro EPS has any members that slow to the point of missing the trough and then are forced back west.
This post was edited on 8/29/19 at 1:55 pm
Posted on 8/29/19 at 1:53 pm to Centinel
This is my bet too
It will keep turning north and make a parallel graze up along the east coast
Wasn’t there a storm last year that did this?
It will keep turning north and make a parallel graze up along the east coast
Wasn’t there a storm last year that did this?
Posted on 8/29/19 at 1:55 pm to Centinel
Just saw the update showing two models. Forgot names one was European though showing it hitting Brevard and moving up second was GMT(I think) showing hitting the middle East and moving up.
This thing is far away and that turn is going to obviously determine everything...hoping it turns very hard and ends up going south and dying. Not sure how likely that is...probably isn't but oh well I don't know shite about these things... I just know usually they end up changing dramatically from initial forecast
This thing is far away and that turn is going to obviously determine everything...hoping it turns very hard and ends up going south and dying. Not sure how likely that is...probably isn't but oh well I don't know shite about these things... I just know usually they end up changing dramatically from initial forecast
Posted on 8/29/19 at 1:56 pm to Delacroix22
quote:
Wasn’t there a storm last year that did this?
Matthew did it in 2016. First time St. Augustine had gotten the goods from a hurricane in a loooooooong time.
A repeat wouldn't be fun, but I guess better than a direct hit or partying in the northern part of that shite while it hits central Florida.
Posted on 8/29/19 at 1:58 pm to GEAUXmedic
shite that new Euro one is not what I wanted to see
Posted on 8/29/19 at 2:00 pm to Fun Bunch
Welcome to 5 day out hurricane projections
Posted on 8/29/19 at 2:02 pm to rds dc
quote:
It wouldn't take much to get this to miss Florida. It will be interesting to see if the Euro EPS has any members that slow to the point of missing the trough and then are forced back west.
Waiting for that EPS myself.
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