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re: Hurricane Dorian - Headed to Canada

Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:17 pm to
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100249 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

Looks like my trip to Destin next week may be shot.


I’m going this Friday and leaving Monday. Getting out just in time
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
39430 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:18 pm to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:18 pm to
quote:

Nuances like this and the motion of ULL are hard for models to resolve and could help to keep Dorian from going off.


This is important for everyone to remember.

ULL ends up in a helpful spot, helps Dorian get stronger faster. If it's not, it provides shear to keep it in check. Especially as the fight with dry air prevents significant organization.
Posted by shallowminded
Member since Nov 2012
3111 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:19 pm to
I’m in between Jacksonville and St Augustine. I’m noticing that I’m getting pounded by this thing for almost 24 hours according to the newest tidbits models.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
129076 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:20 pm to
A single model is not something to plan on
Posted by shallowminded
Member since Nov 2012
3111 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:21 pm to
I agree, and I know it’s super early. Just something to think about..
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:24 pm to
When does Florida cancel their home game this weekend?

Posted by shallowminded
Member since Nov 2012
3111 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:27 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 8/28/19 at 12:28 pm
Posted by LSU82BILL
Fort Lauderdale, FL
Member since Sep 2006
10847 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:30 pm to
quote:

I think they are off. Just think if the game was scheduled this Saturday?


Well it depends on the health of their team and who the opponent is. If it's Chareleston Southern, nothing will stop that game from being played.
This post was edited on 8/28/19 at 1:05 pm
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1934 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:30 pm to


12z GFS Ensembles - Westward they go. Some very strong
This post was edited on 8/28/19 at 12:31 pm
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
39430 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:32 pm to

That's gonna cause a stir.

Stalls over LA
This post was edited on 8/28/19 at 12:33 pm
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
175612 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:32 pm to
Hurricane Andrew
Posted by Bedhog
Denham Springs
Member since Apr 2019
3741 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

When does Florida cancel their home game this weekend?

bye week
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21024 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:36 pm to
12z HMON is way weaker

Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21024 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:38 pm to
But of course, the HWRF finds a way...

Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
13754 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:42 pm to
Here's the next HWRF image at 99 hours - 120 knots.

Vero Beach to Fort Pierce gets hammered by a Cat 4 on this run.

This post was edited on 8/28/19 at 12:48 pm
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
127761 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:44 pm to
Every time I think this thing will shift more north models come out showing it not.
Posted by SEClint
New Orleans, LA/Portland, OR
Member since Nov 2006
49476 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:44 pm to
Florida does take the first hit for the rest of us a lot of the time.
Posted by biggsc
Member since Mar 2009
34654 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:44 pm to
Everyone be safe
This post was edited on 8/28/19 at 12:53 pm
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100249 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

looking like Dorian is going to miss PR to the right and there may be little disruption to the system. We might only see a slowing in the strengthening process vs degradation of the circulation.



Wishcasters right now be like

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