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re: Homebuyers are now spending 40% of their gross income on mortgage and interest costs

Posted on 7/22/23 at 12:15 pm to
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
53541 posts
Posted on 7/22/23 at 12:15 pm to
quote:

Been in the house six years and would like to cash out and move into forever home but the market is still insane and interest rates are what they are

We want to sell ours in 2-3 years but a lot can change by then I guess. We plan on downsizing though because all of the kids will be gone.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
41095 posts
Posted on 7/22/23 at 12:21 pm to
How are mortgages even getting approved at 40% DTI?
Posted by SirWinston
Say NO to War
Member since Jul 2014
104464 posts
Posted on 7/22/23 at 12:23 pm to
I spend like 65% of my income on me mortgage terrible investment but at least it's nice. Might be here until I die unless left wing politics force me to move. And I can't take the weather in most places.
This post was edited on 7/22/23 at 12:24 pm
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
182577 posts
Posted on 7/22/23 at 12:24 pm to
quote:

How are mortgages even getting approved at 40% DTI?




As mentioned in my OP


quote:

The government continues to try to make it easier and easier for people with lower credit scores and without much money to buy houses.

With the FHA Homebuyer DTI increasing from 35% in 1997 all the way up to 44% in 2022.


Posted by Norbert
Member since Oct 2018
3702 posts
Posted on 7/22/23 at 12:25 pm to
quote:

I think it has to do with people not wanting to make their towns desirable. Aka… not caring about local politics, moving to the area more covenant, and sometimes not taking pride. Its easier to move than to fix the issues


Hmm… to try to fix Alexandria or just move away?

Decisions. Decisions.
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15770 posts
Posted on 7/22/23 at 12:25 pm to
Writing this sitting comfortably in my house that i put (mortgage + insurance + taxes) 11% of my gross income towards

was around 19% when i first bought the house in 2017 in my mid 20s a few years out of college, but income grew, but still nowhere's close to 40%, that's just fricking insane, when i eventually move to a bigger house i will make the down payment necessary to keep that monthly payment less than 25%, even going well above 20% down if i have to
Posted by sosaysmorvant
River Parishes, LA
Member since Feb 2008
1497 posts
Posted on 7/22/23 at 12:26 pm to
Clearly unsustainable. The high interest rates have to be killing folks trying to buy a home right now.
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
53541 posts
Posted on 7/22/23 at 12:27 pm to
quote:

I spend like 65% of my income on me mortgage

I wouldn't be able to sleep at night.
Posted by SirWinston
Say NO to War
Member since Jul 2014
104464 posts
Posted on 7/22/23 at 12:27 pm to
For me I switched careers which brought it from 40% to 65%. Hopefully it's temporary as I get more proficient in my new line o' work. Could always get a roommate (or two) if needed to stay afloat
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
41095 posts
Posted on 7/22/23 at 12:28 pm to
quote:

With the FHA Homebuyer DTI increasing from 35% in 1997 all the way up to 44% in 2022.


I must have missed that. I thought the rule was no more than 36 house / 42 total debt
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11959 posts
Posted on 7/22/23 at 12:28 pm to
quote:

How are mortgages even getting approved at 40% DTI?


Do you know how desperate originators are right now?
Posted by Artificial Intel
Member since Jan 2023
210 posts
Posted on 7/22/23 at 12:29 pm to
While I don’t agree with your position, I think it would be better received if it the informative to narrative ratio was 90/10. As in, the stats you provide are highly informative but they aren’t definitive enough to support a collapse. I know you just said your stance has always been “correction” but I don’t know what you mean by that given that we are in an inflation correction right now. A real estate correction? Both commercial and housing? Debt correction? Car market correction? All of it? To what levels? What do you believe normal is?
Posted by weadjust
Member since Aug 2012
15752 posts
Posted on 7/22/23 at 12:29 pm to
quote:

I have so many friends wish casting a downturn, and while prices will go down, it's not going to be a full blown 2008.


In 2008 nobody wanted to buy the foreclosures. Now due to lack of inventory and prices. 1st time buyers, people wanting to upsize, investors, and flippers are ready and waiting to buy those foreclosures if there is a downturn.
Posted by SirWinston
Say NO to War
Member since Jul 2014
104464 posts
Posted on 7/22/23 at 12:29 pm to
My lender was creative af - she was amazing
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
41095 posts
Posted on 7/22/23 at 12:29 pm to
We are just under 10%.

I’d be comfortable going to 20% on a nicer house but can’t find anything for that
Posted by Wally Sparks
Atlanta
Member since Feb 2013
32739 posts
Posted on 7/22/23 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

Commuter transit systems are pretty poor in the South, but I think there’s opportunity to improve.


Especially in Atlanta and Miami with their heavy rail systems.
Posted by LAwolf
Member since Oct 2020
138 posts
Posted on 7/22/23 at 12:35 pm to
Beware of the Black Swans.
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
182577 posts
Posted on 7/22/23 at 12:36 pm to
quote:

Both commercial and housing?


Commercial correction is already happening in large metros. Tons of empty commercial buildings. Defaults are happening too.

Housing is coming.

quote:

Debt correction? Car market correction?


Both already happening. I already posted links in this thread with the info. People are defaulting on consumer debt and the auto market correction started a few months ago. Lenders know this and are tightening on loans for car purchases.

quote:

To what levels?


If I had the answer to that, I would be Elon Musk wealthy.

This post was edited on 7/22/23 at 12:39 pm
Posted by grsharky
Member since Dec 2019
302 posts
Posted on 7/22/23 at 1:06 pm to
We're in year 8 of a 20 year mortgage on our house, and it is about 12.5% (principal, interest, and escrow) of our take home pay and our rate is 3.62%. I don't love our house, but I can live with it because I don't want to pay almost double the interest. Plus there hasn't been much out there that we really love and it's not worth the hassle of paying too much and trying to sell this house.

We've had to do some remodeling and other mixups to the house since we lived here, but because we bought below our means it has allowed us to sock away almost 20% of our gross for retirement, fund kids college accounts, and do pretty much what we want. We don't live in a hot market, so this may be easier for us. Even so, the costs here have jumped as well and it makes it easier to stay put.
Posted by LSU fan 246
Member since Oct 2005
90567 posts
Posted on 7/22/23 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

And again, wages* go further than what it did prior to covid, accounting for inflation and all.


Any link to this?
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