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Started By
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re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***
Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:15 pm to bobbyleewilliams
Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:15 pm to bobbyleewilliams
It looks to have slowed according to latest advisory and seems to sit for a little longer at landfall. Corpus going to take a beating.
2
Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:16 pm to tiger91
quote:
Considering I'm in the south of that parish, I don't like it either!
Yea I'm in the same boat as you. Gonna get the boat ready and some beer and wait it out.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:16 pm to StinkBait72
Can y'all tell me which of the models tends to be the most reliable? Thanks.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:17 pm to rds dc
Allison was wild
Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:17 pm to the shocker2010
Gotta get my sons kayaks from the farm and bring them here .. that was our way out of our neighborhood last time ... to the rice truck that we parked at our neighbors so we could get through town! 
Was really no laughing matter but you gotta get through it somehow.
Was really no laughing matter but you gotta get through it somehow. Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:21 pm to tiger91
quote:
Can y'all tell me which of the models tends to be the most reliable?
The Euro has typically been the "best" but the reality is most of the time the true path is some mix of the GFS and Euro. Those are the big two global models and typically you can watch those along with the NHC paths and have a pretty damn good idea where things are heading.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:21 pm to LSUJuice
Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:24 pm to Duke
quote:lots of computing power for sure.
The Euro has
Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:25 pm to ShaneTheLegLechler
quote:
I live in town so it's obviously dependent on the bayous (Buffalo)
The dams should slow down some of the flow down Buffalo Bayou, but you could have backup if water reverse flows in the Houston Ship Channel. Good news is that it's much wider the closer you get to Galveston Bay. You might get some pretty impressive fill-ups of the Bayou in town, though.
quote:
I'm just trying to reconcile what I'm reading here with *potential* for 33-50 inches of rain and the advisory like the one posted with the *potential* for 15-20
The model maps show absolute worst case scenerio, whereas the NHS is more nuanced and reasoned. If the NHC put out 35 inch rain total this far out, the panic would be insane.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:25 pm to Duke
Thanks Duke ... now in rds post on page 1, I can't even find the two models labeled in the mumbo jumbo ... what color are they???
Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:29 pm to slackster
NHC forecasting Harvey to move 56 miles to the northeast between 1PM Saturday and 1PM Monday.
This post was edited on 8/23/17 at 4:30 pm
Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:30 pm to slackster
Not good for SE LA
Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:33 pm to Paul Allen
quote:
Not good for SE LA
Really more of a SW LA problem right now.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:33 pm to Paul Allen
I think this is going to be more and more a Louisiana problem as Harvey intensifies.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:34 pm to rds dc
In the woodlands.....exactly how bad is this looking?
Downtown shut down for a while?
Downtown shut down for a while?
Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:36 pm to Paul Allen
quote:
Not good for SE LA
This post was edited on 8/23/17 at 4:36 pm
Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:36 pm to slackster
Sure, but I would say SE LA is going to be greatly impacted as well.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:36 pm to tiger91
Bob Breck posted on his FB that none of the models how Harvey moving NE into Louisiana. My friend commented the 12z Euro, and Bob deleted the comment. Busted.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:38 pm to Paul Allen
quote:
Sure, but I would say SE LA is going to be greatly impacted as well.
A possibility, sure.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 4:39 pm to tiger91
quote:
now in rds post on page 1, I can't even find the two models labeled in the mumbo jumbo ... what color are they???
You won't. They don't typically show up on the speghetti Plots. Those are just a bunch of other models that show a possible spread of results.
Remember, it's all a probably game until the low is on top of you.
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