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Posted on 8/25/17 at 4:05 pm to ForeverLSU02
quote:
The NHC has really shifted the projected path to the west with this advisory
Seems odd since it seemed to be moving almost due North earlier.
Posted on 8/25/17 at 4:05 pm to ForeverLSU02
Responding to the Euro coming into consensus with the other models. Won't find the weakness to the NE.
Posted on 8/25/17 at 4:06 pm to LaBR4
Anyone see the video with car surrounded by water in Corpus Christie ?
Posted on 8/25/17 at 4:07 pm to Duke
Louisiana is safe.
Godspeed Texas
Godspeed Texas
Posted on 8/25/17 at 4:07 pm to Rakim
quote:yeah but they're looking for surface winds when determining intensity. sometimes it takes time for the winds to mix all the way down.
This is Cat 4 level
same with that oil rig observation someone posted earlier. oil rigs usually have pretty tall anemometers so they're not considered surface obs.
Posted on 8/25/17 at 4:07 pm to Kingpenm3
quote:
Seems odd since it seemed to be moving almost due North earlier.
Is this the part where it suddenly circles back into the gulf and everyone collectively shits their pants?
Posted on 8/25/17 at 4:07 pm to Rakim
double post
This post was edited on 8/25/17 at 4:08 pm
Posted on 8/25/17 at 4:08 pm to Duke
quote:
Harvey looks like he's going to be intensifying right into landfall. Rockport or whoever catch the right front eyewall are going be for a hell of a ride. Could very well have a strengthening Cat 4 on top of them
Just crazy but atmospheric conditions have been nearly perfect for intensification. Luckily, Harvey had to battle that intense outer convective band yesterday and the subsidence from it. Took 12 to 18 hours to mix that out. Otherwise, Harvey would probably be a Cat 5 on approach.
Posted on 8/25/17 at 4:08 pm to baytiger
quote:
yeah but they're looking for surface winds when determining intensity. sometimes it takes time for the winds to mix all the way down.
same with that oil rig observation someone posted earlier. oil rigs usually have pretty tall anemometers so they're not considered surface obs.
Thanks for clearing up
Posted on 8/25/17 at 4:10 pm to rds dc
quote:
Just crazy but atmospheric conditions have been nearly perfect for intensification. Luckily, Harvey had to battle that intense outer convective band yesterday and the subsidence from it. Took 12 to 18 hours to mix that out. Otherwise, Harvey would probably be a Cat 5 on approach.
Usually storms weaken before landfall. Why is this different?
Posted on 8/25/17 at 4:10 pm to CharlesLSU
quote:
CharlesLSU
All good. I lived in Shore Acres when Ike hit. As an engineering professional in Houston I'm sure you're familiar with effects.
Posted on 8/25/17 at 4:11 pm to rds dc
quote:
Just crazy but atmospheric conditions have been nearly perfect for intensification. Luckily, Harvey had to battle that intense outer convective band yesterday and the subsidence from it. Took 12 to 18 hours to mix that out. Otherwise, Harvey would probably be a Cat 5 on approach.
Was thinking the same thing. Hope they have recon in there until landfall (suspect they will).
It's amazing what little features like that outer band can do to impact the system. Seeing such organization in such a complex system is rather awe inspiring.
Posted on 8/25/17 at 4:12 pm to kcon70
Very....we were heavily involved in repairing SA as well as Taylor Lake, La Porte, etc.
Posted on 8/25/17 at 4:14 pm to Krokodil
quote:
Is this the part where it suddenly circles back into the gulf and everyone collectively shits their pants?
Not sure, but they pretty much just took LA out of the mix with this last update.
Posted on 8/25/17 at 4:15 pm to Krokodil
quote:I've been wearing a diaper 24/7 since this thing was a TS a week ago
Is this the part where it suddenly circles back into the gulf and everyone collectively shits their pants?
Posted on 8/25/17 at 4:16 pm to Kingpenm3
quote:
Not sure, but they pretty much just took LA out of the mix with this last update.
Where?
Posted on 8/25/17 at 4:17 pm to Kingpenm3
quote:
Not sure, but they pretty much just took LA out of the mix with this last update.
Then I made the right call changing my connection in Houston on Thursday.
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