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Started By
Message
re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***
Posted on 8/25/17 at 7:33 am to TDsngumbo
Posted on 8/25/17 at 7:33 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
It appears that the models started backing down on this thing moving into southwest Louisiana next week. Is that the case?
I'm not sure where/how this keeps getting repeated, but it is simply not the case. The global models have suggested this will be a major issue for SWLA, at a minimum. The GFS is tons of rain, the Euro is rain and perhaps wind damage.
Posted on 8/25/17 at 7:34 am to tLSU
quote:
You're talking about a 958mb storm and evacuations. Houston will not experience that pressure, nor a Category 4 wind speed. No reason to evacuate millions over something like this.
This isn't about the winds. This is about the rainfall.
This post was edited on 8/25/17 at 7:35 am
Posted on 8/25/17 at 7:34 am to tLSU
quote:
You're talking about a 958mb storm and evacuations. Houston will not experience that pressure, nor a Category 4 wind speed. No reason to evacuate millions over something like this.
Okay so what about the ~2ft of water?
OT Houston folks says it floods down there pretty easily.
Posted on 8/25/17 at 7:36 am to GEAUXmedic
Houston is not going to evacuate millions of people over rainfall and tropical storm force winds.
Posted on 8/25/17 at 7:36 am to tLSU
You're an ignorant fool
Speaking in certainties during an event like this is mindlessly ignorant
Speaking in certainties during an event like this is mindlessly ignorant
This post was edited on 8/25/17 at 7:38 am
Posted on 8/25/17 at 7:37 am to tLSU
FWIW, this is the 7-day accumulated rainfall for the 6z GFS:
Nearly 11 inches north of Lake Charles, and 9 inches in Kenner.
Nearly 11 inches north of Lake Charles, and 9 inches in Kenner.
Posted on 8/25/17 at 7:37 am to 50_Tiger
It floods in some of the burbs, the interstates, but mostly, as usual everywhere, the poor folk.
Posted on 8/25/17 at 7:39 am to tLSU
Houston ain't got no Cajun navy baw.
Posted on 8/25/17 at 7:39 am to 50_Tiger
quote:
OT Houston folks says it floods down there pretty easily.
And that it drains well. Someone said the burbs are probably fine. Road floods, but nothing in the houses.
Looks like a few models has this shite heading to us later
This post was edited on 8/25/17 at 7:44 am
Posted on 8/25/17 at 7:39 am to cwill
quote:
the poor folk.
This is mostly what I was alluding too.
Posted on 8/25/17 at 7:40 am to BigHoss
quote:
You're an ignorant fool
I know we have wishcasters/doomcasters and amateur meteorologists coming out of the woodwork in these threads, but there's not a single expert calling for any conditions which would require the evacuation of a city of millions of people. The only people shocked are... Well, people like the derps in here. And I get that, but that's why people like you don't make those judgment calls.
They evacuate to avoid mass injury and/or loss of life in an area.
I'll say it again, tropical storm force winds and rainfall, in an area not subject to storm surge, will not prompt evacuations.
This post was edited on 8/25/17 at 7:41 am
Posted on 8/25/17 at 7:40 am to tke857
Haven't posted yet but here it is. Resident of Galveston, TX and made the decision to leave when models started bringing Harvey back to the coast. Made it from Galveston to Dallas yesterday in 4.5 hours. With voluntary evacuations of surrounding areas north, feel confident in my decision.
Thank you to everyone in this thread. I was able to stay two days ahead of the storm because of your hard work. My wife and I are very grateful.
Hopefully things are okay.
Thank you to everyone in this thread. I was able to stay two days ahead of the storm because of your hard work. My wife and I are very grateful.
Hopefully things are okay.
This post was edited on 8/25/17 at 7:41 am
Posted on 8/25/17 at 7:41 am to tLSU
Bookmarking this post.
Sure hope you are right.
Sure hope you are right.
Posted on 8/25/17 at 7:42 am to slackster
I can live with those rain totals... hopefully it holds true.
Posted on 8/25/17 at 7:42 am to BigHoss
quote:
Speaking in certainties during an event like this is mindlessly ignorant
Maybe all of Texas should evacuate. We wouldn't want to rely upon experts (who disagree with your absurd evacuation demand).
Posted on 8/25/17 at 7:42 am to tLSU
Anyone know the historical rainfall totals in Houston?
Posted on 8/25/17 at 7:42 am to tLSU
I'm not saying evacuate, I was just clarifying that rainfall is the biggest threat.
Posted on 8/25/17 at 7:43 am to LordoftheManor
Damn lord, when did you get married? Congrats 
Posted on 8/25/17 at 7:44 am to LordoftheManor
Can anyone in Houston give me some intel?
I have some family members headed to the medical center area on Monday. They are staying near the hospitals but right on Brays Bayou. How does that area handle rain?
I have some family members headed to the medical center area on Monday. They are staying near the hospitals but right on Brays Bayou. How does that area handle rain?
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