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1
Posted on 1/19/16 at 6:17 pm to Topwater Trout
Posted on 1/19/16 at 6:32 pm to Nado Jenkins83
Ok people so tell me. How much snow does it take to shut down airports?? Son is in DC for the pro life March on Friday and flying home on Saturday.
Posted on 1/19/16 at 6:36 pm to tiger91
Several feet of snow and he's not getting anywhere fast out of DC on saturday. It usually takes airlines a few days to catch up with crews after cancelled flights
Posted on 1/19/16 at 6:42 pm to AbitaFan08
quote:
Happy to give advice if needed regarding neighborhoods and such
thanks
I've spent some time up there already, kinda have idea of where I want to be vs what I want to pay - working with a realtor, should have something narrowed down by EOD thursday
Posted on 1/19/16 at 6:45 pm to Uncle Stu
Posted on 1/19/16 at 7:01 pm to Uncle Stu
apt hunting in boston? your poor wallet 
Posted on 1/19/16 at 7:03 pm to tiger91
quote:
Ok people so tell me. How much snow does it take to shut down airports?? Son is in DC for the pro life March on Friday and flying home on Saturday.
it depends less on snow amount and more on visibility/ceilings. heavy snow (1/4 mi vis) and/or 400 ft base cloud layer will shut down most any airport.
I imagine IAD is perfectly capable of clearing out just about any amount of snow after it falls
Posted on 1/19/16 at 7:08 pm to baytiger
quote:
apt hunting in boston? your poor wallet
oh yeah, I am fully prepared for what is about to happen. But while familiar with the city, it's not the easiest for relocating, plus my office is right @ Faneuil Hall, so driving/parking is out of the question for now. Proximity to the T for the 1st year is very important while I get better acclimated.
cost of living was a major sticking point in my salary negotiations
Posted on 1/19/16 at 7:12 pm to baytiger
Thanks. How about DCA?? They flew Southwest from MSY.
Posted on 1/19/16 at 7:20 pm to tiger91
They'll shut the airports down. The airlines don't want planes stranded here. Flights will be doubtful on Friday once it starts and no planes in or out if we get what they're calling for on Saturday.
Posted on 1/19/16 at 7:52 pm to VABuckeye
Thanks. Appreciate the info.
Posted on 1/19/16 at 9:49 pm to BigB0882
quote:
The GFS has been abysmal beyond 3 days. That is 11 days away. Good luck with that verifying.
That was a 10 day map but most of the snow falls in the first 120 hrs or so. All the models have been struggling lately with this frantic split flow, I mean the AAM has been off the chart. But yea, the GFS has been pretty much crap here lately.
Posted on 1/19/16 at 9:58 pm to baytiger
quote:
and the more I forecast snow up here the more I realize that all the models are worthless. Snowfall totals have so many variables that they're basically impossible to forecast, and it's pretty easy to get snow in the first place while none of the models are forecasting it.
There is a reason some of the biggest bust in weather forecasting history are snow storm forecast
This upcoming system is going to be so dynamic that its going to be nearly impossible to forecast the northern edge, the deform band, the areas that might mix or switch over, etc etc etc quote:
it's not real until the HRRR says it's real and even then I have my doubts. Good thing I only forecast 36 hours max.
I pretty much hate the HRRR! That dryline is going to go off! Oh wait, no it's not, my bad. But the good thing about the HRRR, if you don't like what it spits out then you can get something different in an hour.
Posted on 1/19/16 at 10:01 pm to rds dc
What can we expect around the raleigh-durham area?
Posted on 1/19/16 at 10:13 pm to BigB0882
quote:
I honestly feel that the models have done worse than they did a few years ago. Maybe the upgrades are to blame?
There were some NWP sessions at the AMS conference that touched on this. I haven't looked into the associated papers but the gist of it is that there appear to be some drawbacks of running the globals at a higher resolution out to 240 hrs or so. They are preforming better at 500mb and with the overall synoptic setup but are having issues with smaller scale surface features and the role they play as things grow upscale. This has been pretty obvious on the Para Euro, it has spit out some crazy solutions for D6 - D10.
Posted on 1/19/16 at 10:18 pm to baytiger
quote:
18Z GFS is backing off of the Boston snow too. Still has it in for DC though... check out that 37 inch maximum
00z trying to get y'all back in the game, but seriously, y'all don't need anymore after last year. Absolute crushing for NOVA/DC, it looks like my old house scores 30+ this run.
Posted on 1/19/16 at 10:31 pm to rds dc
The predictions for my area have been everything from 10" to 22".
I'm flying into PIT on Thursday night, leaving again on Sunday. Looks like most of the weather will be east of us though.
I'm flying into PIT on Thursday night, leaving again on Sunday. Looks like most of the weather will be east of us though.
Posted on 1/20/16 at 8:04 am to dewster
Things get kicked off tomorrow in Louisiana
And then near blizzard conditions later across the Memphis area
And then near blizzard conditions later across the Memphis area
Posted on 1/20/16 at 8:13 am to dawgfan24348
quote:
As long as I don't have to drive in that shite. Last time I had to the roads were completely white. frick that shite
I have to drive from South Carolina to Louisiana between Thursday and Friday.
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