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re: Global deaths 11,000......perspective

Posted on 3/21/20 at 8:13 am to
Posted by Chef Free Gold Bloom
Wherever I’m needed
Member since Dec 2019
1364 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 8:13 am to
quote:

All the data so far shows this is more deadly and more contagious than swine flu. It’s killing 3x faster


None of this is true
Posted by OceanMan
Member since Mar 2010
23419 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 8:17 am to
quote:

All the data so far shows this is more deadly and more contagious than swine flu. It’s killing 3x faster



Swine flue had virtually zero societal response. This one has much more than 3x that response. Until we see even comparable numbers people are going to wonder why we are going nuts over this one. The question is, was Swine flu an “acceptable” amount of deaths? Because we didn’t do much to stop it.

These comparisons will simply continue until people see that it’s a significantly worse event.
Posted by GeauxDoc
Highland Road
Member since Sep 2010
2827 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 8:19 am to
Let's try this another way. You can't compare how many people die from the flu to how many are dying from this. You can't because the flu is everywhere, every year. Many more people are exposed to the flu than to corona at this point. Of course there will be more people dead of the flu. If at this point the SARS-CoV-2 virus was equally prevalent it would kill WAY more people. Why is this so hard to understand?
Posted by MojoGuyPan
Intercession City, Florida
Member since Jun 2018
2797 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 8:19 am to
Posted by Chef Free Gold Bloom
Wherever I’m needed
Member since Dec 2019
1364 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 8:21 am to
quote:

You can't compare how many people die from the flu to how many are dying from this. You can't because the flu is everywhere, every year. Many more people are exposed to the flu than to corona at this point


Are you sure about that? We haven’t tested the population how do you know how many have been infected and recovered without needing medical help
Posted by OceanMan
Member since Mar 2010
23419 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 8:21 am to
quote:

Let me try to explain exponential transmission.


People understand this.
Posted by LSUA 75
Colfax,La.
Member since Jan 2019
5129 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 8:44 am to
According to American Heart Assoc.,in 2017 647,457 Americans died from heart disease.That’s average of 1,773/day and people continue to gorge on the crappy American diet that is in large part responsible.
If and when a vaccination is developed for the China virus large numbers of people won’t take it.
Posted by SabiDojo
Open to any suggestions.
Member since Nov 2010
84835 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 8:45 am to
It infected over 60 million Americans
Posted by LSUfan20005
Member since Sep 2012
9256 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 8:59 am to
Because it’s an incremental, potentially deadly disease, that’s all that matters. It’s not like it’s competing with the flu.
Posted by Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
4950 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 9:19 am to
I don’t think you realize what this is doing to the economy. Every week that we are shut down is effecting this nation exponentially. The economic fallout from this virus is going to become way worse than what this virus could do.
Posted by Dominate308
South Florida
Member since Jan 2013
2895 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:39 am to
The panic hasn’t even begun yet. We used to look at Italy and say we are 11 days behind them, but that’s not true. They don’t have guns.
Posted by Groundscrew85
Member since Oct 2018
685 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:55 am to
Swine flus death rate doesn’t have shite on this.
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
30079 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:57 am to
“Confirmed deaths” being the operative word. China and Iran aren’t reporting numbers
Posted by Warfarer
Dothan, AL
Member since May 2010
12437 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:58 am to
quote:

All the data so far shows this is more deadly and more contagious than swine flu. It’s killing 3x faster




The problem is this: you could have 20x more people infected now than are reported but the vast majority of deaths are reported in countries other than China. So it may not be killing at anywhere near the rate they are projecting.
Posted by Pettifogger
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Feb 2012
87748 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:58 am to
quote:

It’s not the current number. It’s the unknown number 3 months from now. Why is it hard for people to think a little forward?



Posted by DollaChoppa
I Simp for ACC
Member since May 2008
84774 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 11:00 am to
quote:

So it may not be killing at anywhere near the rate they are projecting.



Yea, but Im not talking about rate at all. Im talking about how quickly weve gotten to a threshold of daily total deaths. This has nothing to do with undercounting the denominator.

In fact, that argument supports that this virus is even more contagious and deadly (killing more people daily).
This post was edited on 3/21/20 at 11:01 am
Posted by UFownstSECsince1950
Member since Dec 2009
32817 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 11:00 am to
quote:

If you’re trying to picture the huge death toll, imagine everyone who went to an LSU basketball game for a whole season died


Is this season ticket holder part of the deal?

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