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Posted on 9/8/24 at 8:30 pm to Impotent Waffle
quote:
They are all through the thread
No shite but I don't feel like going through 50 pages
Just went find thr 18z on the first page. Doesn't look like it shifted that much
Posted on 9/8/24 at 8:30 pm to PapaPogey
CuseTiger said he’d post on the travel board about airlines and waivers. Maybe check there. Wish I could help more.
This post was edited on 9/8/24 at 8:31 pm
Posted on 9/8/24 at 8:31 pm to maisweh
quote:
Doesn't look like it shifted that much
Maybe a quarter - H.
I kid, I kid.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 8:35 pm to Swagga
quote:
Maybe a quarter - H.
Now it's a hurricane thread.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 8:36 pm to stout
Here we go. Just like a few have been saying.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 8:36 pm to stout
quote:
I never blame anyone for evacuating. For me personally its a hassle.
Never have, never will
Posted on 9/8/24 at 8:37 pm to Swagga
Well shite
Posted on 9/8/24 at 8:37 pm to rds dc
im in the mode in the BR area of light preparations and staying vigilant, im really just waiting to get a picture of the models before noon tomorrow to see if i need to do more
Posted on 9/8/24 at 8:37 pm to DVinBR
Texted a baw I know who is an operations manager for a GOM boat company. I asked him what their private forecasters are saying. He replied that they are saying High Island to Intercoastal City as a Cat 1, but they have some some uncertainties at this time.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 8:40 pm to Uncle JackD
I don’t understand how some meteorologist live and die by the Euro. Perillo is the same way. Not saying the Euro is not going to be right but I think you have to take a blend of all of them. The truth lies in the middle.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 8:43 pm to maisweh
quote:
I can't find previous runs to compare
Of course you can’t, because you’d actually have to look
This post was edited on 9/8/24 at 8:44 pm
Posted on 9/8/24 at 8:45 pm to SWLA92
quote:
I don’t understand how some meteorologist live and die by the Euro. Perillo is the same way. Not saying the Euro is not going to be right but I think you have to take a blend of all of them. The truth lies in the middle.
The other models will follow.
Zack and a few others have been saying don't be surprised this thing trends East with every run. The models are just showing they were right.
Climatology and experience is hard to substitute.
The models are only as good as the data fed to them.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 8:47 pm to SWLA92
quote:
The truth lies in the middle.
It doesnt.
but
quote:
you have to take a blend of all of them.
Look averaging them out makes for a great base case, but part of what I try to do anyway, is figure out which models seem most realistic and have handled similar storms well.
Might give some insights to fade one side of the track or of intensity might be low.
I honestly use the Euro/GFS more for the big picture steering and upper levels than O do for where they put a storm into land.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 8:48 pm to Duke
quote:Anyone familiar with Storm Geo? I think that is the one my company uses
The plants typically contract with a private company. Yeah, they have access to good forecasts.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 8:50 pm to Duke
Good explanation. So you’re expecting all the models to cave towards the Euro the next day or so?
Posted on 9/8/24 at 8:51 pm to loogaroo
This is mainly what you need to know right now
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If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 9/8/24 at 8:51 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
We never did - back to the days of Betsy - probably had much to do with Dad's parents never evacuating [Orleans/Jefferson Parish line off the River Road].
Once we were gone from home and Dad's parents passed, Mom and Dad would go to Zachary and remain with my little sister
Once we were gone from home and Dad's parents passed, Mom and Dad would go to Zachary and remain with my little sister
Posted on 9/8/24 at 8:53 pm to Uncle JackD
Fradella has a tendency toward hysteria sometimes.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 8:54 pm to DVinBR
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