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Message

re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph

Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:19 am to
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15751 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:19 am to
The link shows NO hurricane force wind not even with gusts
Posted by Ponchy Tiger
Ponchatoula
Member since Aug 2004
49682 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:19 am to
quote:

The NHC track has been essentially unchanged


They are always the very last ones to change a projected track.
Posted by AnAppleADay
Member since May 2016
137 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:23 am to
For whatever reason, all of my typical sources haven’t provided an updated track overnight and into this morning. Is the center line tracking closer to NO now compared to yesterday when it was tracking closer to BR?
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5053 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:23 am to
A hurricane doesn’t go in a straight line. It has wobbles. It will continue to wobble east and west. It’s right on the NHC track
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:24 am to
quote:

Not saying they are wrong but I wouldn't bet on that. This thing has been slowly shifting east a little with ever track, why would that change? Especially with the shear and now that it appears that dry air is being pumped in from Texas. This thing will try to hold together and the only way that can happen is find conditions suitable for that and that is to the east. So myself I expect when all is said and done the track will be over grand isle lower jefferson and to the Mississippi coast. Just a wild guess.


, dude, hurricanes haven’t evolved yet to search out their own warm water and low shear environments. You make it sound like they’re sentient beings trying to look out for their own survival.
Posted by Bayouboogaloocrew
Dixie
Member since Jul 2013
5728 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:24 am to
I have waited to pick up patio furniture in Hammond. Someone just tell me, do I need to start picking shite up or not?
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
130250 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:24 am to
quote:

The NHC track has been essentially unchanged


That’s fine and dandy. You’re missing my point. We have posters all of a sudden saying “New Orleans is getting slammed” and no one was saying that previously. That’s what I woke up to. The first posts. So obviously it would seem something had changed over night.

Has it? Or has it not? Is New Orleans getting “slammed” or were those posters full of shite?
Posted by elprez00
Hammond, LA
Member since Sep 2011
31554 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:25 am to
quote:

The proper coonass sees that pile of leaves and cracks a beer and waits anxiously to see it get blown all over the place and become not his problem anymore.

I know right? Not like the yard isn’t going to covered in leaves in about 12 hrs anyways.

I swear people are stupid.
Posted by DownshiftAndFloorIt
Here
Member since Jan 2011
72094 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:25 am to
Just read the first post on the first page every 4 hours. That's the best information you're going to get.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:26 am to
quote:

Absolutely not true. The previous two pages are saying a direct hit of New Orleans and it getting “slammed”. I didn’t see that previously.


Bunchie, whatever New Orleans gets is the same as what it was getting yesterday morning.
Posted by yaboidarrell
westbank
Member since Feb 2017
6455 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:26 am to
Yes, put anything that can be a projectile in the garage now
Posted by iron banks
Destrehan
Member since Jul 2014
4258 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:26 am to
Picking up your shite depends on whether you like or hate your neighbors.
Posted by ShoeBang
Member since May 2012
22271 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:27 am to


Who knew Mother Nature had it out for Oak Grove Primary school, sheesh

My house is about 1.5 miles from the line due east lol
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:27 am to
quote:

Not saying they are wrong but I wouldn't bet on that. This thing has been slowly shifting east a little with ever track, why would that change? Especially with the shear and now that it appears that dry air is being pumped in from Texas. This thing will try to hold together and the only way that can happen is find conditions suitable for that and that is to the east. So myself I expect when all is said and done the track will be over grand isle lower jefferson and to the Mississippi coast. Just a wild guess. ,


dude, hurricanes haven’t evolved yet to search out their own warm water and low shear environments. You make it sound like they’re sentient beings trying to look out for their own survival.


This would actually be a good plot to a low budget USA Network disaster movie. Sentient hurricanes.
Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
33312 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:27 am to
quote:

those posters full of shite
Posted by North Dallas Tiger
United States of America
Member since Mar 2024
13008 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:28 am to
Just dropping in to wish everyone the best today who is in the path of the storm. Stay safe. My thoughts are with y'all.

Posted by Sun God
Member since Jul 2009
51935 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:29 am to
Should I crack a beer open or wait a couple of hours
Posted by antibarner
Member since Oct 2009
26716 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:29 am to
quote:

get this, but Michael was a 1 in 100 storm. Storms historically just don't strengthen that fast and that close to landfall like ever. As far as I know this is the only time this has happened that anyone can remember.


This storm is not anywhere near Michael strength wise, but their encounter with shear is. The forecasters said that shear would weaken Michael, but it never did.

Intensity forecasting is not as good as track, so I am saying don't let your guard down.
Posted by Bayouboogaloocrew
Dixie
Member since Jul 2013
5728 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:29 am to
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50747 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 7:29 am to
quote:

My house is about 1.5 miles from the line due east lol

Wow man, prayers that the tiny block-sized track line ends up east of you so you can be on the west side.
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