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1
Posted on 9/10/24 at 11:18 pm to lsuman25
Where can u see the HH fly info at?
Posted on 9/10/24 at 11:19 pm to lsufishnhunt
quote:
You’ll be much better off if you stop referring to single model runs as forecasts
Not talking about that. I'm talking about local NWS forecast for the Northshore which has changed significantly for no apparent reasin.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 11:19 pm to LSUDUCKMAN67
Recon
Click on link take you to Tropical Tidbits and usually refreshes every ten minutes although might have to refresh it yourself
Click on link take you to Tropical Tidbits and usually refreshes every ten minutes although might have to refresh it yourself
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 11:21 pm
Posted on 9/10/24 at 11:20 pm to Jake88
quote:
I'm looking at where it crosses the I-12 and the 10 pm path crosses the 12 about 2-3 miles west of the 4pm update. I know not to look exactly at the center line but the overall cone shifted 2 miles west as well.
My main question is, why? Most models I see suggested it should have moved to just barely west if Hammond. Not trying to be difficult. Just wondering if they see something in the models that suggests they are too far east.
I can't tell if this is a serious post or not, but I'll give you the benefit of the doubt.
Not all models carry the same weight. The NHC forecasters give alot of credence to the big global models for steering (GFS/Euro), plus they'll consider the ancillary models like the hurricane models that seem to be doing a good job with the storm previously. Then they will adjust accordingly based on their own methodology.
Hell, they probably even let a little gut feeling get in there too. Seriously.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 11:20 pm to Jim Rockford
quote:
Winds ~20 miles higher than a few hours ago.
So you’re telling me I picked up all the pool deck for nothing.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 11:20 pm to slackster
Baton Rouge, how we feeling after the 10pm update?
Posted on 9/10/24 at 11:21 pm to slackster
Been shitposting my arse off on the poliboard. Seems like Francy is doing pretty much as expected tonight.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 11:22 pm to tigerskin
quote:
pine trees
This mother fricker just said pine trees
Posted on 9/10/24 at 11:22 pm to King of New Orleans
Well as an adult, I watched the local weather and know to expect strong tropical storm sustained winds with a small possibility of hurricane gusts.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 11:22 pm to TH03
I'm not expecting it to be exact. I was pointing out that the NHC moved west when it seems the models move it east, like 30 miles east.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 11:22 pm to The Boat
Its a hot mess over there right now.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 11:26 pm to lsuman25
00z GFS right up the Atchafalaya River at 7PM, which is about 13,482 feet west of where it was on the 18z run.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 11:26 pm to slackster
quote:
00z GFS right up the Atchafalaya River at 7PM, which is about 13,482 feet west of where it was on the 18z run
What does that translate to in H's?
Posted on 9/10/24 at 11:28 pm to lsuman25
Link didn’t work
Posted on 9/10/24 at 11:28 pm to slackster
quote:
13,482 feet
How many parsecs west of the last projection is that?
Posted on 9/10/24 at 11:29 pm to tgrbaitn08
quote:
I don’t apologize for paying attention to details. It’s one of my blessings and a curse at the same time
Your troll schtick is nothing compared to what plagued this thread in earlier pages.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 11:30 pm to Bourre
Well dang. go to tropicaltidbits.com then click on aircraft recon and that should show you the data
Posted on 9/10/24 at 11:31 pm to kc8876
quote:I was asking an honest question. I don't know.
What’s amazing is that they keep responding to you
Posted on 9/10/24 at 11:31 pm to lsuman25
I think it's fair to say NOLA will not get a direct hit based solely on the fact that the weather channel has transitioned from gargling their own jizz over the idea of hurricane force winds there to talking about rainfall flooding there 
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