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re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph

Posted on 9/5/24 at 11:46 am to
Posted by Mr Roboto
Seattle
Member since Jan 2023
8153 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 11:46 am to
It is, but the GFS also painting high totals shows just how much potential is there
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5136 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 12:10 pm to
Graf seems to have a good handle similar to the HRRR for rain events within 48 hours. It’s seems to keep the heaviest rains offshore thankfully
Posted by BOSCEAUX
Where the Down Boys go.
Member since Mar 2008
52969 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 12:42 pm to
Those totals for SW LA and SE TX are already way off. Been pissing rain here all day. Probably already got over 3 inches.
Posted by Midtiger farm
Member since Nov 2014
6370 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 12:49 pm to
quote:

Graf seems to have a good handle similar to the HRRR for rain events within 48 hours. It’s seems to keep the heaviest rains offshore thankfully


For the last few rain events graf has outperformed hrrr - for Beryl also it was better
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
51528 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 1:07 pm to
Over 5” for me this morning.



Rain, that is. 5” of rain since this morning.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43310 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 1:58 pm to
Now have invest 90L off the Texas coast
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5136 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 2:10 pm to
12z Euro coming in hot all of a sudden. Widespread 8 inches from the TX/LA border to the Basin. 20+ inches off the Vermillion/Cameron coast
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
116952 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 2:32 pm to
90L just pissing rain
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
40719 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 3:22 pm to
i slandered the ICON during beryl calling it the boost mobile of weather models, then it turned out to be spot on with it. I am now inclined to pay a little more attention to it.

i am not a fan of the last few runs
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5136 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 3:25 pm to
Yep it feels like every year one model shines more than the others. This year it seems like ICON has shined the best. It’s been showing this scenario for atleast 5 days. Then not til the last 24 hours did the other models start showing this scenario
Posted by Zephyrius
Wharton, La.
Member since Dec 2004
9636 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 3:35 pm to
quote:

i am not a fan of the last few runs

Yeah, seems Bay of Campeche is going to screw us(Northern Gulf Coast)
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5136 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 3:43 pm to
It’s going to be all about timing. Shear might set in and keep the gulf unsettled. Fronts should start coming down and hopefully cleaning anything that would form for the next couple months.
Posted by GruntbyAssociation
Member since Jul 2013
10048 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 3:46 pm to
Fat frustration
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26632 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 3:49 pm to
quote:

Over 5” for me this morning.



Rain, that is. 5” of rain since this morning.


And your wife just got 2". She also received some rain as well.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
51528 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 4:46 pm to
quote:

And your wife just got 2". She also received some rain as well.

I do what I can with what I have.
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
13347 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 5:14 pm to
quote:

And your wife just got 2". She also received some rain as well.



I also chipped in and got her this:
Posted by LSUEnvy
Hou via Lake Chas
Member since May 2011
12687 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 5:35 pm to
quote:

ICON



Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75903 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:30 pm to
Posted by Legion of Doom
Old Metry
Member since Jan 2018
5769 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 8:25 pm to
Where do you go to see the ICON?
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75903 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 8:29 pm to
quote:

Where do you go to see the ICON?

Tropical Tidbits > Forecast Models > Global > ICON
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