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Message
re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:42 am to Chad504boy
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:42 am to Chad504boy
quote:
bingo. i can't stress enough that over the next 24-36 hours are super important in learning the path of this storm.
36 hours? You're really going out on a limb there.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:42 am to PTLSU
In case my earlier post got buried (which it did), the center of the cone track now goes right across BR on a line from St. Gabriel to Central (Staring lane to Sherwood Forest).
As of now, just about worst case track for BR, but it is subject to change and will weaken a bit after landfall before getting to St. Gabriel.
Use weather.gov and put in your zip code for your official detailed local wind forecast (again subject to change).
As of now, just about worst case track for BR, but it is subject to change and will weaken a bit after landfall before getting to St. Gabriel.
Use weather.gov and put in your zip code for your official detailed local wind forecast (again subject to change).
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:43 am to tigafan4life
On the map is the timing showing when the eye of the storm will be in those areas?
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:43 am to tigafan4life
BR bitches and moans the most and these pussies are 150 miles inland and on some of the highest ground around.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:43 am to Smelder
That sounds made up, did you make that up?
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:44 am to Thib-a-doe Tiger
5 out of 12 spaghetti models show exactly what I said. I guess their computer models are shite. I’ll see what their next guess is in next update. LOL
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:45 am to Smelder
quote:
Your property line goes 300ft into the air. If a tree is hanging over into your property you can cut that portion down without asking anyone questions .
not if you live in an hoa. they govern all things known to mankind.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:45 am to Double Oh
NWS wind estimates tomorrow for my area looks to be right at hurricane strength. Hope we don't see anything crazy here. The sheer should keep it from gaining more strength which is a blessing.
I'd bet that the predicted track doesn't move quite as much from here on out. Maybe a slight shift east. So look out for the weather reports tonight if you are in Livingston, Ascension, Tangi etc.
Any mandatory evacuations on the coast yet?
I'd bet that the predicted track doesn't move quite as much from here on out. Maybe a slight shift east. So look out for the weather reports tonight if you are in Livingston, Ascension, Tangi etc.
Any mandatory evacuations on the coast yet?
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 10:46 am
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:46 am to goofball
quote:
Francine has about 24-30 h to strengthen over warm water before it
encounters strong shear near the Louisiana coast. While there is a
possibility that dry air entrainment could reduce the
intensification rate, the intensity continues to call for steady to
rapid strengthening during this time based on the otherwise
favorable conditions. While it is not explicitly shown in the
latest forecast, the cyclone could reach a peak intensity near 85 kt
between the 24 h point and landfall. Intensification is expected to
stop before landfall, and rapid weakening is expected after
landfall. The global models show the remnants of Francine
dissipating after 96 h, and the intensity forecast follows that
scenario. Overall, the intensity forecast is at the upper edge of
the intensity guidance.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:46 am to BigPerm30
quote:
150 miles inland and on some of the highest ground around.
Maps are hard?
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:46 am to BilbeauTBaggins
I believe this is the 10am update.


Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:46 am to whiskey over ice
No kidding!
Has Punta Cana been mentioned already? I missed it
Has Punta Cana been mentioned already? I missed it
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:47 am to BilbeauTBaggins
it is. here is the new experimental one that shows inland warnings too


Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:47 am to TH03
quote:
Intensification is expected to
stop before landfall, and rapid weakening is expected after
landfall.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:47 am to BigPerm30
quote:
BR bitches and moans the most and these pussies are 150 miles inland and on some of the highest ground around.
BR is like 60-70 miles inland I believe, but yeah, not as hurricane prone as Nola, Lake Charles etc.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:48 am to MrFelixx
This is bullshite.
With as much as I pay for premium around here, why do we not have our own TD Weather Computer and meteorologist on payroll?
With as much as I pay for premium around here, why do we not have our own TD Weather Computer and meteorologist on payroll?
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:48 am to rds dc
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:49 am to NorthEndZone
Oh my. Showing 90 mph wind gusts in 70810 at 9pm tomorrow.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:49 am to jaytothen
Peej is tOT chief meteorologist:
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:49 am to Oates Mustache
Yes if it’s true they poisoning linemen
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