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re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph

Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:42 am to
Posted by Saintsisit
Member since Jan 2013
5256 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:42 am to
quote:

bingo. i can't stress enough that over the next 24-36 hours are super important in learning the path of this storm.


36 hours? You're really going out on a limb there.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14298 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:42 am to
In case my earlier post got buried (which it did), the center of the cone track now goes right across BR on a line from St. Gabriel to Central (Staring lane to Sherwood Forest).

As of now, just about worst case track for BR, but it is subject to change and will weaken a bit after landfall before getting to St. Gabriel.

Use weather.gov and put in your zip code for your official detailed local wind forecast (again subject to change).
Posted by TigerMan327
Elsewhere
Member since Feb 2011
6201 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:43 am to
On the map is the timing showing when the eye of the storm will be in those areas?
Posted by BigPerm30
Member since Aug 2011
32061 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:43 am to
BR bitches and moans the most and these pussies are 150 miles inland and on some of the highest ground around.
Posted by cdhorn28
Member since Sep 2016
776 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:43 am to
That sounds made up, did you make that up?
Posted by shadyone2
Member since Oct 2017
1110 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:44 am to
5 out of 12 spaghetti models show exactly what I said. I guess their computer models are shite. I’ll see what their next guess is in next update. LOL
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
179007 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:45 am to
quote:

Your property line goes 300ft into the air. If a tree is hanging over into your property you can cut that portion down without asking anyone questions .


not if you live in an hoa. they govern all things known to mankind.
Posted by goofball
Member since Mar 2015
17353 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:45 am to
NWS wind estimates tomorrow for my area looks to be right at hurricane strength. Hope we don't see anything crazy here. The sheer should keep it from gaining more strength which is a blessing.

I'd bet that the predicted track doesn't move quite as much from here on out. Maybe a slight shift east. So look out for the weather reports tonight if you are in Livingston, Ascension, Tangi etc.

Any mandatory evacuations on the coast yet?
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 10:46 am
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
172004 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:46 am to
quote:

Francine has about 24-30 h to strengthen over warm water before it
encounters strong shear near the Louisiana coast. While there is a
possibility that dry air entrainment could reduce the
intensification rate, the intensity continues to call for steady to
rapid strengthening during this time based on the otherwise
favorable conditions. While it is not explicitly shown in the
latest forecast, the cyclone could reach a peak intensity near 85 kt
between the 24 h point and landfall. Intensification is expected to
stop before landfall, and rapid weakening is expected after
landfall. The global models show the remnants of Francine
dissipating after 96 h, and the intensity forecast follows that
scenario. Overall, the intensity forecast is at the upper edge of
the intensity guidance.
Posted by X123F45
Member since Apr 2015
29829 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:46 am to
quote:

150 miles inland and on some of the highest ground around.


Maps are hard?
Posted by BilbeauTBaggins
Member since May 2021
7669 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:46 am to
I believe this is the 10am update.
Posted by MrFelixx
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2017
164 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:46 am to
No kidding!

Has Punta Cana been mentioned already? I missed it
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
172004 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:47 am to
it is. here is the new experimental one that shows inland warnings too

Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
179007 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:47 am to
quote:

Intensification is expected to
stop before landfall, and rapid weakening is expected after
landfall.



Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
53535 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:47 am to
quote:

BR bitches and moans the most and these pussies are 150 miles inland and on some of the highest ground around.

BR is like 60-70 miles inland I believe, but yeah, not as hurricane prone as Nola, Lake Charles etc.
Posted by jaytothen
Member since Jan 2020
8685 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:48 am to
This is bullshite.

With as much as I pay for premium around here, why do we not have our own TD Weather Computer and meteorologist on payroll?
Posted by TrigSwig
Member since May 2024
331 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:48 am to
Noon GFS run. Basically a direct hit on Northshore/Nola.


LINK
Posted by whoa
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
5922 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:49 am to
Oh my. Showing 90 mph wind gusts in 70810 at 9pm tomorrow.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
105303 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:49 am to
Peej is tOT chief meteorologist:
Posted by berrycajun
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2016
7223 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:49 am to
Yes if it’s true they poisoning linemen
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