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Started By
Message
re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:07 pm to TheFonz
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:07 pm to TheFonz
quote:
Are we entering the time where we start to see smaller alternating east-west shifts each update until it comes in for the final run?
We refer to those as H moves on TD baw.
0
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:08 pm to TheFonz
quote:
Are we entering the time where we start to see smaller alternating east-west shifts each update until it comes in for the final run?
yep - graf model had Cat 2 a little east of new NHC track and current timing earlier today. latest graf model moved landfall east to St Mary parish
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:08 pm to Splackavellie
quote:
Capital One building will be spread all over Lake Chuck.
Just tarp it
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:08 pm to Splackavellie
quote:
Capital One building will be spread all over Lake Chuck.
Hopefully they can get it all picked up before then. If not, it is going to be a mess.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:08 pm to deltaland
quote:
deltaland
Rain for the delta on the latest update. So there’s a silver lining.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:09 pm to burdman
Are crawfish prices more or less stacked with this move?
Who am I kidding, they are stacked no matter what
Who am I kidding, they are stacked no matter what
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:10 pm to Meauxjeaux
quote:
Capital One building will be spread all over Lake Chuck.
Good decision to wait 4 years and bring it down in the height of Hurricane season. I love Louisiana and insurance companies
This post was edited on 9/9/24 at 5:21 pm
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:10 pm to slackster
quote:
Given the low vertical wind shear, ample moisture, and very warm sea-surface temperatures, a faster rate of intensification is shown over the next 36 h, and Francine is now forecast to become a hurricane tonight or tomorrow morning, and a Category 2 hurricane by Wednesday. In the final 12-18 h before landfall, shear is expected to increase markedly, which will likely halt the intensification, though Francine is expected to be a Category 2 hurricane at landfall. Rapid weakening is expected after the system moves inland. The NHC intensity forecast is on the upper-end of the overall intensity guidance, but still is lower than some of the hurricane-regional model guidance (HAFS-B, HMON).
frick, this thing is going to be an overachiever
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:10 pm to thadcastle
quote:
Hopefully they can get it all picked up before then. If not, it is going to be a mess.
Not a chance. There was a massive pile when I passed this morning.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:11 pm to rds dc
4pm center of cone track is
Rockefeller wildlife Refuge to
Between Gueydan and Kaplan to
Rayne to
Opelousas.
Remember that is only the center, and depending on the size of the eye at landfall and just after, the strongest winds could be 10 to 25 miles on either side of that line.
At this point every small shift could make a big difference in exactly where the worst damage will occur. But somewhere in the warning area will get the eyewall.
Rockefeller wildlife Refuge to
Between Gueydan and Kaplan to
Rayne to
Opelousas.
Remember that is only the center, and depending on the size of the eye at landfall and just after, the strongest winds could be 10 to 25 miles on either side of that line.
At this point every small shift could make a big difference in exactly where the worst damage will occur. But somewhere in the warning area will get the eyewall.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:11 pm to burdman
quote:
Rain for the delta on the latest update. So there’s a silver lining.
Rain for me in north AL keeps going down. Less than an inch now.
We could use it.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:12 pm to ApisMellifera
Yeah that’s gonna take a month to pick up completely.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:12 pm to LaBR4
Nothing like having a giant pile of rubble & debris right before a giant storm with high winds is about to pass over.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:12 pm to Midtiger farm
Visible looks like an eye is clearing out. Now we can watch instant wobbles on satellite and radar for another 48 hours.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:13 pm to burdman
quote:
Rain for the delta on the latest update. So there’s a silver lining.
They're harvesting our soybeans
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:13 pm to TheFonz
Yes. Once there’s one decided center of circulation.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:13 pm to tiger91
Agreed! The night ones are creepy.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:14 pm to nugget
quote:
Lake Charles gonna get fricked like usual
Lafayette about to get the brunt. Looks fairly locked in for us at this point.
Lake Chuck won't be fun but hoping western side makes life a little easier
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:14 pm to berrycajun
gonna wait for the 10 pm inevitable huge shift east with an M cameo.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:14 pm to Jim Rockford
Well shite. Just know it’s dry as frick up there. Thought the rain would be good.
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