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Started By
Message
re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:02 pm to LSUfanNkaty
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:02 pm to LSUfanNkaty
Timing moved way up but maybe that’s a good thing. Doesn’t have as long to strengthen
1
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:02 pm to maisweh
quote:
Aren't you in thibodaux? I don't see us in the eyewall unless I'm not looking at the same thing
Was an earlier run that showed it heading NE at St Mary/T-Bonne line
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:02 pm to Splackavellie
She's really gotten her act together today.
ETA: Sorry for the huge gif.
ETA: Sorry for the huge gif.
This post was edited on 9/9/24 at 4:03 pm
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:03 pm to LSUfanNkaty
Are we entering the time where we start to see smaller alternating east-west shifts each update until it comes in for the final run?
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:03 pm to Newc
Good. Daytime better for landfall.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:03 pm to Allthatfades
quote:
Timing moved way up but maybe that’s a good thing. Doesn’t have as long to strengthen
both the timing and the forecast intensity at landfall increased in this advisory
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:03 pm to TH03
Rainfall totals dropped which is good
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:03 pm to AnthonyJenningsPrais
quote:
Lake Charles is gone, send the casinos east
I'd recommend all the folks with offices in the Capital One building to pack their shite now!
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:04 pm to AnthonyJenningsPrais
quote:
Lake Charles is gone
Capital One building will be spread all over Lake Chuck.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:04 pm to TheFonz
quote:
Are we entering the time where we start to see smaller alternating east-west shifts each update until it comes in for the final run?
You would think so. This shift west and quicker was due to the center consolidating nearly 60 miles NW of where they original had it at the 10a update. Wouldn’t expect that to happen again, so now it’s down to the steering.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:05 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
That’s the GRAF model I th ul. Rob Perillo on KATC shared that .. someone posted his info here a page or two ago.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:05 pm to maisweh
The West shift is 
Somehow I feel like it will shift east again...
Although now they are bumping it up to officially a 2
Somehow I feel like it will shift east again...
Although now they are bumping it up to officially a 2
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:06 pm to Mark Makers
quote:
I'd recommend all the folks with offices in the Capital One building to pack their shite now!
Not sure if serious. It was demolished a couple of days ago.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:06 pm to slackster
Fractional H movement watch commence!
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:06 pm to tiger91
quote:
GRAF model
Can the common folk access this model? Can't ever find it online.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:07 pm to burdman
Windshield wiper activated
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:07 pm to AverageJoe26
quote:
Can the common folk access this model?
No. Rob Perillo makes it up in his basement.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:07 pm to TheFonz
quote:
Are we entering the time where we start to see smaller alternating east-west shifts each update until it comes in for the final run?
I'm waiting until the 10pm update to really decide on how to prepare. I don't think we should see any big shifts after that although it is always on the table.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:07 pm to Mark Makers
quote:
I'd recommend all the folks with offices in the Capital One building to pack their shite now!
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:07 pm to rds dc
quote:
it's getting buttfricked by dry air it appears.
quote:
wouldn't read too much into the current sat depiction. It is common for convection to pulse down during this organizing phase.
Also a chick named Francine likely is the type who says that hole is exit only so I doubt any buttfricking is occurring
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