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re: Fertility rate: 'Jaw-dropping' global crash in children being born

Posted on 7/14/20 at 10:16 pm to
Posted by YF12
Ottobaan
Member since Nov 2019
4451 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 10:16 pm to
quote:

Earth isnt overpopulated. Huge myth that needs to die.



The resources that society expends to fund welfare babies is absolutely overpopulated

Or have you not seen the debt countries are in?
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
39151 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 10:19 pm to
quote:

Difficult but not imposible.

Tax and cultural incentives could fix this within a generation, setting aside the abortion issue which would flip this statistic on its head within a few years (600k+ babies lost in 2016 alone...).


Name a country where they were able to incentivize their way to a TFR above 2.1. Again Sweden is the best example, and they’ve stalled at just below replacement. This method has been tried repeatedly in different forms, and none have seen replacement rates reached.
Posted by LSUA 75
Colfax,La.
Member since Jan 2019
4616 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 10:20 pm to
What I’ve read about this is that Muslims will diominate the world by year 2100 or shortly thereafter.Their birth rate is about 5 per woman.
Posted by HempHead
Big Sky Country
Member since Mar 2011
56504 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 10:20 pm to
quote:

Name a country where they were able to incentivize their way to a TFR above 2.1. Again Sweden is the best example, and they’ve stalled at just below replacement. This method has been tried repeatedly in different forms, and none have seen replacement rates reached.



How long have these efforts been in place?

I imagine it occurs over a 25 to 40 year window instead of 5 to 10, if it can be done.
Posted by Sidicous
NELA
Member since Aug 2015
19296 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 10:22 pm to
quote:



That's the attitude to have in order to wind up in a nursing home lonely and bitter without kids or with kids who hate you.
I think that's the reason for booze and pills in a persons early 80's. Go out drooling wasted, skip waiting on the grim reaper.
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
39151 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 10:24 pm to
quote:

Their birth rate is about 5 per woman


No it isn’t. It might have been more true towards the middle of the last century, but like every country that reaches a measure of development, they’ve seen precipitous drops in TFR. Even in places in Africa with high TFRs are at rates below what the TFRs were for places like Iran and Saudi Arabia in the 1950s, where it was upwards of 7. Now the TFR of both of those countries hovers around 2.2.
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66663 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 10:25 pm to
shiit trump be payin cash fo erry liitle kid you got fr 100 gucci my man
Posted by red sox fan 13
Valley Park
Member since Aug 2018
18152 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 10:26 pm to
It used to be 8 not long ago. They will catch up to the rest of us. And they won’t dominate the world, there are virtually no Muslims in the Americas, east Asia and Australia, and they are single digits in Europe. They seem to have gotten a grip on the whole refugee thing thank goodness.
Posted by tiggerthetooth
Big Momma's House
Member since Oct 2010
63824 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 10:26 pm to
quote:

The resources that society expends to fund welfare babies is absolutely overpopulated

Or have you not seen the debt countries are in?


Do you realize how disorganized and underdeveloped a majority of the world is? There's huge room for improvement. I think the world could fit like 18 billion or something, maybe more.
Posted by bayoudude
Member since Dec 2007
25814 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 10:26 pm to
Cost too damn much to have kids these days. Back in the day all you had to do was frick and then you make those mongrels work the farm.
Posted by tigergirl10
Member since Jul 2019
10659 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 10:28 pm to
quote:

Smart people realized having little cuunts running around was a waste of all kinds of time and resources.
Too bad your mom didn’t think that way.
Posted by red sox fan 13
Valley Park
Member since Aug 2018
18152 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 10:28 pm to
quote:

I think the world could fit like 18 billion or something, maybe more.
If you want to live in a city hellscape with tons of pollution and trash, sure. Have you seen Indian or Chinese cities? Why the hell would you want more people?
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
39151 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 10:31 pm to
quote:

How long have these efforts been in place?

I imagine it occurs over a 25 to 40 year window instead of 5 to 10, if it can be done


Japan started a program in 1994. Sweden started one in the late 90s or early noughties. The Japanese method hasn’t produced results, while Sweden has seen its rates raise from 1.5 to 1.85. Hungary started a measure around 2011 to increase births, and they’ve successfully gotten to 1.6, by 2018 if I recall, from a low of 1.2 in the late 90s. If the rate of the increase of births held steady between 2012 and 2018, they would require another 40 years of births outpacing deaths to reach replacement. I did the math in a thread once, but I calculated that they would need 40% births per month to reach replacement. That is an incredibly difficult task to undertake.
This post was edited on 7/14/20 at 10:35 pm
Posted by LoveThatMoney
Who knows where?
Member since Jan 2008
12351 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 10:32 pm to
Didn’t Jack Ma and Elon Musk day that the biggest problem future generations will face is a contracting populace?
Posted by RLDSC FAN
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Member since Nov 2008
58518 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 10:33 pm to
quote:

crazy4lsu


Good stuff
Posted by CheEngineer
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2019
4234 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 10:34 pm to
Posted by PrivatePublic
Member since Nov 2012
17848 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 10:36 pm to
quote:

've always thought it strange about so many DINKs speaking about not being able to afford kids, wanting to save up enough,etc. while single mom in the government housing is having all the babies she can


What's so strange about paid-for votes?
Posted by TheFlyingTiger
Member since Oct 2009
4119 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 10:36 pm to
rona/bill gates/WHO/bilderburg tin foil hat


[on] off
This post was edited on 7/14/20 at 10:42 pm
Posted by jcaz
Laffy
Member since Aug 2014
18629 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 10:42 pm to
It’s pretty simple really....
1. Raising children is getting more and more expensive while the cost of living is skyrocketing while pay is not keeping up
2. We are not a labor rich society anymore. Don’t need masses of people in the corn fields or factories anymore.
3. Fewer and fewer women want to have sex because “headaches”.

Posted by RLDSC FAN
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Member since Nov 2008
58518 posts
Posted on 7/14/20 at 10:42 pm to
Musk replied to this on Twitter

quote:

Elon Musk

Population collapse is 2nd biggest danger to civilization after AI imo

quote:

Elon Musk

This thing we call “money” is just a (slow, lossy & unsecure) database for labor allocation. Investing is meaningless without people, at least until AGI happens, which will obviate need for labor & necessitate UBI.
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