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re: Don’t look at tropical tidbits

Posted on 9/17/24 at 11:17 am to
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
23777 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 11:17 am to
quote:

I’ll pretend I’m still not looking at tropical tidbits this morning. I’ll also pretend that most models don’t see something developing.

I will, however, not pretend that they have no clue whether it’ll go through Florida and out into the Atlantic or into the northern Gulf coast because that’s apparent. Yall don’t get your panties all in a wad because this is over a week out and the models have no clue what this hypothetical hurricane will do.


Thank goodness a TD expert came in and told us what to expect.
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
3763 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 11:26 am to
Every model is picking up on it in some way. The ICON was the last one and it’s showing some development now. I expect the NHC to put out a lemon by the end of the week
Posted by Tiger328
Member since Mar 2017
805 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 11:30 am to
Hold that tiger really has a hard on for TD Gumbo. What’s the beef?
Posted by Locoguan0
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Nov 2017
6261 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 11:34 am to
What's funny is that GFS predicted Louisiana landfall for Francine two weeks out.
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
3763 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 11:38 am to
2 weeks ago it was showing a LA landfall then the next run it would show buried in the Yucatan. It was consistently showing LA until about 4 days out I think.
Posted by elprez00
Hammond, LA
Member since Sep 2011
30682 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 11:45 am to
I fully expect this to be a thing because I’m supposed to be in Destin with my wife next weekend. She’s going for a work trip and I’m tagging along. It’s the first time we’ve had a trip to ourselves all year after having to scrap several. I’ll probably be stuck at work again instead of on vacation. I haven’t used a full week of PTO yet this year and it’s October.

And I started putting up Halloween decorations last weekend cause the kids couldn’t wait.

FML.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
45713 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

Hold that tiger really has a hard on for TD Gumbo. What’s the beef?

I believe he always mistakes my posts in weather threads as being made from a place of expert knowledge. In reality, I’m only an amateur weather watcher and he’s a tard who’s dumb enough to think I know what I’m talking about.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
172434 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

dumb enough to think I know what I’m talking about.


The difference between an amateur and a pro is 10% cone girth.
Posted by Wabbit7
Member since Aug 2018
1833 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 12:30 pm to
Is there anything worse than someone who thinks they're predicting the weather because they know how to find the GFS model runs?
Posted by Tiger Ryno
#WoF
Member since Feb 2007
105824 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 12:32 pm to
Thibadeaux gas compny already staging for throttling operations
Posted by The Mick
Member since Oct 2010
44472 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 12:43 pm to
Once on tropical tidbits, where do you go to see the models, or whatever y'all are talking about now?
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
66915 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

Once on tropical tidbits, where do you go to see the models, or whatever y'all are talking about now?

Forecast Models > Global > Whichever model you want to look at
Posted by The Mick
Member since Oct 2010
44472 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 12:50 pm to
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
45713 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 12:53 pm to
If you pay $9.99/month, you get much more detail on pivotalweather.com.
This post was edited on 9/17/24 at 12:54 pm
Posted by crazyLSUstudent
391 miles away from Tiger Stadium
Member since Mar 2012
5855 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 1:01 pm to
Gfs posts for 200+ hr hurricanes should be a perma ban
Posted by Pauvetibete
Member since Apr 2022
1016 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 1:06 pm to
Paging Coon
Posted by Tiger985
Member since Nov 2006
7211 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 1:10 pm to
Bruce Katz getting bowed up as we speak.
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
40828 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 1:12 pm to
quote:

She’s going for a work trip and I’m tagging along.


Way to cock block some baw.
Posted by friendlyobservation
Member since Mar 2024
1820 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 1:41 pm to
Location maybe but if all the models consistently are sniffing out something then it's going to be something I would think.
Posted by crazyLSUstudent
391 miles away from Tiger Stadium
Member since Mar 2012
5855 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 1:43 pm to
GFS is notorious for spinning up big hurricanes that far out that will vanish from run to run. I think it’s useless
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