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Posted on 10/8/20 at 7:24 pm to LegendInMyMind
This is the graphic and the tweet from the guy who coded it:
@burgwx
@burgwx
quote:
Hovmoller for azimuthally-averaged flight level wind - Delta can be split into 3 regimes:
- RI on 10/6 with a tiny eye & RMW contracting to nearly 12 km
- Quick pre-landfall weakening
- Re-intensification over water with a much larger eye. RMW starting to contract again. LINK
Posted on 10/8/20 at 7:25 pm to cleetus
quote:
Whats up with everyone leaving LC for Houston area. Everyone knows this not turning and coming right over Houston. First time I'm ever hearing of people evacuating TO the hurricane.
You are the weakest link!! Good bye...
Posted on 10/8/20 at 7:25 pm to SW2SCLA
quote:
One of my friends left his house in South LC at 1pm. Took him 2 hours to get on I-10 and he's between Orange and Beaumont now
Hour and a half at noon to get from south LC to i10. 7 hours total to Katy per the wife
Posted on 10/8/20 at 7:26 pm to LSUfanNkaty
I fly in to MSY tommorow at 1:40 pm. What's the chances it gets cancelled?
Posted on 10/8/20 at 7:27 pm to LSUfanNkaty
quote:
Hour and a half at noon to get from south LC to i10. 7 hours total to Katy per the wife
Left before 10a and took us a hair under 5 hours.
Posted on 10/8/20 at 7:27 pm to LEASTBAY
Ehh I think you’d be fine but who knows there
Posted on 10/8/20 at 7:27 pm to LSUfanNkaty
Why not head East to the north shore? Seems like you would beat traffic leaving and going back.
Posted on 10/8/20 at 7:28 pm to rds dc
So let me make sure I am following the track here:
4pm- 24.8N by 93.4W
7pm- 25.3N by 93.5W
The projection for 1am from NHC is 26.3N and 93.9W
Based on the 3 hour trend this thing will be on the east side of the cone. If it stayed the same bearing the next 6 hours we would be looking at 26.6N but only 93.7W. Assuming it holds the same trajectory which it may not. The difference in 0.2 degrees west at this spot on the map is equivalent to 20 kilometers or roughly 12 miles. I project a slightly East landfall and shift in the trajectory.
But who the frick knows... could just be a wobble.
4pm- 24.8N by 93.4W
7pm- 25.3N by 93.5W
The projection for 1am from NHC is 26.3N and 93.9W
Based on the 3 hour trend this thing will be on the east side of the cone. If it stayed the same bearing the next 6 hours we would be looking at 26.6N but only 93.7W. Assuming it holds the same trajectory which it may not. The difference in 0.2 degrees west at this spot on the map is equivalent to 20 kilometers or roughly 12 miles. I project a slightly East landfall and shift in the trajectory.
But who the frick knows... could just be a wobble.
Posted on 10/8/20 at 7:29 pm to LegendInMyMind
Pressure steady from pass two to three. 957 mb. Eyewall open on the S. Eye is about 30 miles across.
Posted on 10/8/20 at 7:31 pm to cleetus
quote:
Whats up with everyone leaving LC for Houston area. Everyone knows this not turning and coming right over Houston. First time I'm ever hearing of people evacuating TO the hurricane.
Rummy, you're the worst of the mods, and it ain't close, but ban this fool please. Thanks.
Posted on 10/8/20 at 7:31 pm to slackster
Cleetus seems like a good name for his TD handle.
Posted on 10/8/20 at 7:32 pm to LEASTBAY
quote:
I fly in to MSY tommorow at 1:40 pm. What's the chances it gets cancelled?
Non existent. Thanks for posting.
Posted on 10/8/20 at 7:32 pm to slackster
quote:
Rummy, you're the worst of the mods, and it ain't close, but ban this fool please. Thanks.
See if you can sucker him into an obvious ban bet.
Posted on 10/8/20 at 7:32 pm to cleetus
quote:
Whats up with everyone leaving LC for Houston area. Everyone knows this not turning and coming right over Houston. First time I'm ever hearing of people evacuating TO the hurricane.
Not sure why you’re getting all the downvotes. It may not make it to Houston but I can see landfall being near Port Arthur. The eye is between LC and Orange right now. I don’t see a hard northeast turn happening.
Posted on 10/8/20 at 7:32 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Are you asking for a breakdown of what all that means?
Preferably, in Swedish
Posted on 10/8/20 at 7:32 pm to CaptainJ47
quote:
could just be a wobble.
Posted on 10/8/20 at 7:33 pm to CaptainJ47
quote:
Based on the 3 hour trend this thing will be on the east side of the cone.
You and I can eat dinner at JoJo's any time you want.
Posted on 10/8/20 at 7:34 pm to GRIZZ
Nobody cares what your opinion is. You just made the boldest claim over paid experts who spend hours upon hours examining data to make forecasts on top of all the computer models. You just defied them all in 1 comment. Stupid.
Posted on 10/8/20 at 7:35 pm to slackster
Their crab cakes were good!
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