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re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins

Posted on 10/7/20 at 3:58 pm to
Posted by iliveinabox
in a box
Member since Aug 2011
24145 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 3:58 pm to
Jbe thinks this bitch gunna hit Morgan city




(Not factual information)
Posted by tigafan4life
Member since Dec 2006
50977 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 3:59 pm to
So that is a tad bit more east?
Posted by Ignignot
Member since Mar 2009
18823 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 3:59 pm to
Why are these lazy asses not putting out the 4PM update until 5PM??

fyi...not directed at rds or other posters, directed at the weather establishment
This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 4:03 pm
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15737 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 3:59 pm to
quote:

It moved a wee bit east.


'bout 0.350 of an H
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21504 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 4:00 pm to
quote:

Models show favorable conditions ahead but Delta has to rebuild an inner core to take advantage of those conditions. Land interaction and sneaky shear could prevent this from really getting going in the Gulf, if those factors can delay core organization today.


Certainly not bouncing back as fast as the HWRF & HMON showed. In addition to the core trying to reorganize the circulation is now very large, which will combine to slow things down a bit.







Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75066 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 4:00 pm to
quote:

NHC forecasting that Delta will NOT be a major at landfall


Yep. Pulled that M back a bit, too. That is the first time they have walked back the Major. Every update before had it creeping closer to the coast.
This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 4:01 pm
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 4:00 pm to
Bigger storm, more widespread impacts. Trade-off for the less intense max winds.
Posted by PillageUrVillage
Mordor
Member since Mar 2011
15993 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 4:00 pm to
quote:

They dropped it about 15 mph along the path.


Yeah, I’m still boarding up. In fact I’m doing that right now. Took a little break to check out the 4 pm update. I just hope it ends up weaker than expected.
Posted by Jimmy2shoes
The South
Member since Mar 2014
11004 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 4:00 pm to
MF! I dont like this crap one bit!!
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75066 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 4:02 pm to
quote:

Bigger storm, more widespread impacts. Trade-off for the less intense max winds.

This has been my biggest concern since the beginning. Delta has an expected life cycle that could make it a weakening major at landfall, or just under major. It will move a lot of water.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
134822 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 4:02 pm to
quote:

I was on Great Abaco during Dorian.
Pfffttt!!!

I was on Percocet during Gustav...
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14276 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 4:02 pm to
quote:

quote:

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mike Seidel from The Weather Channel is in Morgan City.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------



May have to make a cameo.


Do it. With a TD.com OTL sign

Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 4:02 pm to
quote:

is it possible that this storm gets hit with some shear in a northeastern motion from the front moving in from the west that off-centers the worst of it farther east which would make things worse in baton rouge?




It’s actually pretty likely that the SW quadrant looks pretty ragged at landfall. It won’t likely move stuff away from the center as much as it will just deteriorate that quadrant though.

Look at the radar or simulated IR images for the HMON or HWRF.

Posted by bnmathm
Member since Nov 2007
69 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 4:03 pm to
Forecast overlaid



Images overlaid to allow H scale comparison.

Greyed out image is 10am.

Slower..weaker...slightly east.
This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 4:11 pm
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40226 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 4:03 pm to
quote:

On the cool side or the PooDoo side?


lol I asked the carhop one day about this and she was like wtf are you talking about.
Posted by LSUWoodworker
St George "God's Country "
Member since Dec 2007
18832 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 4:04 pm to
Perhaps if we offer up JBE as a sacrifice the hurricanes will end.... Throw in Cantrell and SWB as a bonus?
Posted by lsu777
Lake Charles
Member since Jan 2004
37964 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 4:04 pm to
quote:

Images overlaid to allow H scale comparison.

Greyed image out is 10am.




well we are waiting!!!
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131491 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 4:06 pm to
quote:

6 miles East


So no change
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
134822 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 4:06 pm to
quote:

What are the time intervals for updates?

BINGO!!!
Posted by LSUfanNkaty
LC, Louisiana
Member since Jan 2015
11959 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 4:07 pm to
quote:

Must be from LC typical


You’re a piece of shite
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