re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

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Cases will skyrocket due to volume of testing alone

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????

Nobody is getting COVID-19 as a result of getting the test. When access to testing is freely available, anyone with a fever can get tested and get the results the same day. If it's positive, his family and coworkers can immediately get tested. The barber who cut his hair the day before can get tested. And if any of them are positive, then the virus can be stopped before any of them spread it to anyone.

When we have that capability, people don't have to work from home and avoid the barbershop, which is what we have to do now. That's because now, by the time someone can get tested and get the results, they have likely passed the virus on to several people -- if they get tested at all.

South Korea proved that you can control COVID-19 with enough testing. Iceland is in the process of doing the same thing -- a lot of people don't realize that Iceland's outbreak is worse than Italy's, on a per capita basis.

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You think that after 2 weeks we’ll just call it quits on this?

I sincerely hope you are right.

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I'm right there with you Scruffy. Hoping for the best, but definitely planning and expecting the worst. There is nothing that is going to change with this epidemic that is going to cause these restrictions to be lifted in two weeks. Pressure from the population might do it though. No leader will give a straight answer when asked about how long things will be in place. This isn't because they don't have an idea; it is the same reason why they gradually implemented the restrictions in the first place. Better to break bad news slowly rather than all at once. They obviously have some data they are looking at when making the decision to add restrictions (at least I sure as hell hope they do) so it would stand to reason this same data has given them some idea of when the restrictions can be eased back.

I would not be surprised at all if we are talking about months, which would of course be catastrophic to many families and businesses. Just because some on here are in position to weather this financially, doesn't change the fact that many are not. It doesn't make them irresponsible either. Some were gradually clawing there way to financial security; others just don't make enough money for that to even be a thought. Personally, I'll be OK as long as this doesn't drag on for 6 months or longer. At that point projects will dry up and customers just aren't going to have money to spend, even if they need to.

This article in the paper talked about this very subject and here is a telling quote.

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Mark Cameron of the Department of Population and Quantitative Health Sciences at Case Western Reserve University said public health experts are looking for signs that coronavirus cases are on the other side of the peak. That puts us months away, Cameron said.

During the SARS outbreak in Toronto, Cameron said, there were two waves of infection -- the second of which came after social distancing measures were too quickly eased.


“Letting down guard too early is part of the equation,” Cameron said.

The idea, he said, is to keep measures in place long enough for scientists and doctors to roll out potential therapies and a vaccine for COVID-19. Both approaches are months away. A flatter curve is also a longer curve.

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LINK

I have attempted to remain optimistic through this, but it is getting increasingly difficult.

That sounds bad but I would like a comparison to how many are out on a typical day.

Gov Cuomo said it’s going to be 4-9 months.

I’m sticking with my prediction that they will relax the restrictions starting around June/July and then slap them back on in September through end of winter. We come out on the other side a different country, a country with millions on hard economic times who weren’t before, but our healthcare system will still be operating and the core pillars of our country will remain standing and provide the foundation that will allow us to rebuild. We will rebuild and by the end of Trump’s second term we will be back on track and more prepared for the next pandemic at every level, from the individual on up. We’ve been blessed as individuals and a country to have never dealt with anything like this for over 100 years, and it has been a rude awakening that we were not adequately prepared and we are paying the price.

I pray to God my prediction is wrong. I pray this turns into a relative dud and we are close to back to normalcy in the next few months.

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The stock market was tanking well before we started shutting everything down.

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Coming in with the hot, yet completely inaccurate take. Shocker.

What’s your prediction?

GOP do you see people who aren’t sick getting tested at some point or the need for it? Or who cares? Just curious if they would do this if tests were readily available.

If I would happen to have it, I’d love to know due to where I work and older parents. But negative today doesn’t mean negative in tomororw, in a week or longer.

Just curious.

You would need an antibody test to see if you had ever been exposed to it.

LOL. Trump will not get a second term in your scenario.

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Gov Cuomo said it’s going to be 4-9 months. I’m sticking with my prediction that they will relax the restrictions starting around June/July and then slap them back on in September through end of winter. We come out on the other side a different country, a country with millions on hard economic times who weren’t before, but our healthcare system will still be operating and the core pillars of our country will remain standing and provide the foundation that will allow us to rebuild. We will rebuild and by the end of Trump’s second term we will be back on track and more prepared for the next pandemic at every level, from the individual on up. We’ve been blessed as individuals and a country to have never dealt with anything like this for over 100 years, and it has been a rude awakening that we were not adequately prepared and we are paying the price.

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There’s no second term for Trump if this happens