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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 1/27/20 at 8:52 pm to slackster
quote:
So 30 seconds of plugging numbers into an exponential regression calculator predicted 4,555 cases by today. I'll be damned.
Fwiw, that same formula would predict around 6,800 cases by tomorrow.
Use a different calculator and run the same numbers and then tell us if those figures are correct or not.
Posted on 1/27/20 at 9:06 pm to MrLSU
Or... you can listen to it in English by clicking the link?
Posted on 1/27/20 at 9:09 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Do you happen to have a link or recall where you read that?
Long article, but worth reading in its entirety. The part about vaccines, specifically the measles vaccine, is near the end.
LINK
Posted on 1/27/20 at 9:29 pm to Asharad
This is ancient.
Posted on 1/27/20 at 9:29 pm to rds dc
I’m surprised the death curve is as close to SARS as it is.
Posted on 1/27/20 at 9:32 pm to BallsEleven
quote:
I’m surprised the death curve is as close to SARS as it is.
If that's based on reported numbers...
Wasn't a big deal with SARS that death rate was seriously underreported/skewed in the first couple of weeks?
Obviously the same could occur here, or it could explain why it doesn't seem to align with what we know about SARS today
Posted on 1/27/20 at 9:39 pm to Pettifogger
WHO came back later and revised the SARS rate to 14-15% fatality because the information initially released was underreported. Chinese were lying about it then, and they're DEFINITELY lying about it now.
For every one that died in a hospital there might be a hundred rotting in their apartments right now. The smell is supposedly permeating some of these high rises and nobody is going to find out for fear of contracting it. And nobody from the government is there yet looking for victims in their homes. We're two weeks out from finding out we should be freaking the hell out right now.
For every one that died in a hospital there might be a hundred rotting in their apartments right now. The smell is supposedly permeating some of these high rises and nobody is going to find out for fear of contracting it. And nobody from the government is there yet looking for victims in their homes. We're two weeks out from finding out we should be freaking the hell out right now.
Posted on 1/27/20 at 9:40 pm to rds dc
That’s the first I’ve heard of anything in India.
Posted on 1/27/20 at 9:42 pm to Captain Rumbeard
quote:
For every one that died in a hospital there might be a hundred rotting in their apartments right now. The smell is supposedly permeating some of these high rises and nobody is going to find out for fear of contracting it. And nobody from the government is there yet looking for victims in their homes. We're two weeks out from finding out we should be freaking the hell out right now.
Is this your thought or has this been said?
Posted on 1/27/20 at 9:43 pm to Captain Rumbeard
quote:
For every one that died in a hospital there might be a hundred rotting in their apartments right now. The smell is supposedly permeating some of these high rises and nobody is going to find out for fear of contracting it. And nobody from the government is there yet looking for victims in their homes. We're two weeks out from finding out we should be freaking the hell out right now.
Posted on 1/27/20 at 9:44 pm to BallsEleven
quote:
That’s the first I’ve heard of anything in India.
They used "Coronavirus Like" virus, so not confirmed. There might be more of this currently going on in countries that don't have the resources of China.
ETA: the fact that we are not really seeing this expand in the US, Canada and other modern more transparent countries is a good sign, at this point.
This post was edited on 1/27/20 at 9:48 pm
Posted on 1/27/20 at 9:47 pm to rds dc
How is the traffic between China and India? Light?
I’m just surprised a case hasn’t been confirmed there yet. 2 massive populations sharing a border.
I’m just surprised a case hasn’t been confirmed there yet. 2 massive populations sharing a border.
Posted on 1/27/20 at 9:49 pm to BallsEleven
quote:
How is the traffic between China and India? Light?
I have no clue
However, I'm sure there is expert on this somewhere on tRant
Posted on 1/27/20 at 9:50 pm to Captain Rumbeard
I think you could be right.
Or it could explain why the graphs put this on the same mortality level as SARS when most seem to believe it’s a far less deadly virus.
Or it could explain why the graphs put this on the same mortality level as SARS when most seem to believe it’s a far less deadly virus.
Posted on 1/27/20 at 9:50 pm to rds dc
quote:
However, I'm sure there is expert on this somewhere on tRant
Always
Posted on 1/27/20 at 9:55 pm to BallsEleven
quote:
How is the traffic between China and India? Light?
Don't you be doin no jinxing.....I am in India right now for few more days and don't need this shite here before I come back :facepalm:
If I had to venture a guess though, ya traffic is usually light. And shared border is prolly at high elevation and not huge population density on either side....that is if I were to guess
This post was edited on 1/27/20 at 9:58 pm
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