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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

Posted on 3/17/20 at 3:11 pm to
Posted by tigerskin
Member since Nov 2004
46741 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 3:11 pm to
Edited. Thanks
Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11822 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 3:13 pm to
quote:

Hearing some really bad news about school closures. Don’t even want to repeat it yet although the source was bonafide and certain. I just want it to be wrong.


Posted by heatom2
At the plant, baw.
Member since Nov 2010
13093 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 3:13 pm to
quote:

Hearing some really bad news about school closures. Don’t even want to repeat it yet although the source was bonafide and certain. I just want it to be wrong


K. Keep us posted. Or not. Whatever.
Posted by RunningBlake
Member since Aug 2011
4123 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 3:14 pm to
Wut?
Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11822 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 3:14 pm to
Source: Next Door App

Posted by Stevo
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2004
12492 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 3:15 pm to
Since when has accuracy ever been the threshold for posting on here?
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
20975 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 3:15 pm to
quote:

If current percentages are a good indicator, we could expect roughly 149 positives from that.



Current percentages are based on LDH testing criteria, which means that patients basically need hospitalization. These testing criteria are much, much lower -- basically, just that a doctor ordered the test. I'd personally put the betting line at 45.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50809 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 3:17 pm to
quote:

Hearing some really bad news about school closures. Don’t even want to repeat it yet although the source was bonafide and certain. I just want it to be wrong.


You can't come here and say that without giving details. Either you're comfortable enough with bringing it up to us or you're not. You can't have it both ways.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50809 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 3:18 pm to
quote:

Current percentages are based on LDH testing criteria, which means that patients basically need hospitalization. These testing criteria are much, much lower -- basically, just that a doctor ordered the test. I'd personally put the betting line at 45.

Ahh, I didn't know that. Yea, 40ish seems right then, given that info.
Posted by RollTide1987
Baltimore, MD
Member since Nov 2009
71163 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 3:19 pm to
quote:

but the case fatality rate of the Spanish Flu was 2.5%.


Also...this mathematically doesn't make any sense whatsoever. Of the 500 million people worldwide who were infected by the Spanish Flu, between 50-100 million people died. That's a mortality rate of 13-20 percent. The only way the figure of 2.5% makes any sense is if you take into account the worldwide population of 1918-20 (1.8 billion) and divide that by the 500 million infected. Only then do you get a percentage anywhere close to the one cited in the link you posted.

Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11822 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 3:19 pm to
Correct. LDH testing criteria was "Did you travel to Wuhan?" "Are you currently dying of Pneumonia?" Then we will test you.

You are gonna have a pretty high positive rate then.
This post was edited on 3/17/20 at 3:20 pm
Posted by crownNbull
Gretna
Member since Jun 2010
3315 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 3:20 pm to
Hearing a good possibility that schools are done for the 2019-20 school year. Was talking to an Orleans Parish teacher today and she told me this. I didn’t believe her so I called my sister who teaches at a public school in St Tammany and she told me the same. Didn’t believe her so I texted my other sister who is also a teacher in St Tammany and she confirmed. Wife also has spoken to a few teachers who are saying the same.

Nothing official yet
This post was edited on 3/17/20 at 3:25 pm
Posted by McCaigBro69
TigerDroppings Premium Member
Member since Oct 2014
45335 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 3:21 pm to
quote:

Hearing a good possibility that schools are done for the year. Was talking to an Orleans Parish teacher today and she told me this. I didn’t believe her so I called my sister who teaches at a public school in St Tammany and she told me the same. Didn’t believe her so I texted my other sister who is also a teacher in St Tammany and she confirmed. Wife also has spoken to a few teachers who are saying the same.


You talking school or calendar year?

Is this really that surprising if the former?
Posted by OldManRiver
Prairieville, LA
Member since Jan 2005
7581 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 3:23 pm to
That seems highly realistic to me. There's no way the "risk" of having kids in school is going to be diminished between now and end of May. If it's not considered safe now, it won't be mid April either, and if you push it any more it's pretty much end of year anyway
Posted by crownNbull
Gretna
Member since Jun 2010
3315 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 3:24 pm to
Damn it. 2019-20 school year
This post was edited on 3/17/20 at 3:26 pm
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
86244 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 3:25 pm to
Yeah I seriously doubt kids are going back to school this year
Posted by tigerfoot
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
61452 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 3:25 pm to
quote:

Hearing some really bad news about school closures. Don’t even want to repeat it yet although the source was bonafide and certain. I just want it to be wrong.
Dont do this, just put out what you heard and what is so bad. You don't have to give source, but this is just unnecessary
Posted by GatorReb
Dallas GA
Member since Feb 2009
9425 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 3:25 pm to
My wife is a teacher. We live in GA.

They are "learn remotely" or whatever they are calling it until at least April 3rd. Then the next week is Spring break. So they wont be in class again until at least 4/13. If this isnt gone by First of april i have no doubt school gets cancelled.
Posted by tigerfoot
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
61452 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 3:28 pm to
quote:

Hearing a good possibility that schools are done for the 2019-20 school year. Was talking to an Orleans Parish teacher today and she told me this. I didn’t believe her so I called my sister who teaches at a public school in St Tammany and she told me the same. Didn’t believe her so I texted my other sister who is also a teacher in St Tammany and she confirmed. Wife also has spoken to a few teachers who are saying the same.

Nothing official yet

My school nurse wife is not hearing anything, she worked a full day yesterday and is working from home today all day.

I think the friends of friends of teachers are the most prone to facebook rumor.

Not saying it isn't true, but the rumors from teachers and nurses in this parish have been 0 for 23 so far.
Posted by Ingeniero
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2013
23044 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 3:29 pm to
Yeah my brother is a teacher and has said as far as they know, the expected return date is in late April. They're still playing it by ear for extending that, but that's all that's been announced to them so far.

ETA: also saying that any work they assign remotely has to technically be optional, because it could start a fuss if someone without internet access, the proper hardware/software, etc. couldn't complete the work and got failed for it.
This post was edited on 3/17/20 at 3:32 pm
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