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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

Posted on 3/15/20 at 8:19 am to
Posted by Volvagia
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2006
53469 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 8:19 am to
We are also 20x the number of cases reported 12 days ago.


It begs the question.....what exactly does he think is a concerning percentage?

Is his claim basically that infectious diseases don’t matter unless everybody is coughing from it?
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21764 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 8:19 am to
quote:

Chick-Fil-A closed today.


I suppose some think this is newsworthy.
Posted by Volvagia
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2006
53469 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 8:19 am to
That wasn’t as clever as it sounded in your head.
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 8:25 am to
quote:

Currently there are 0.00000907% of the US population infected by Coronavirus.


That’s a decent next level talking point you have shifted to. That one should last awhile before you have to move on to the next one.
Posted by CivilTiger83
Member since Dec 2017
2525 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 8:33 am to
If your daughter had COVID-19 she no doubt spread it to many others. This is why testing is so critical. Every single case like this can produce a slew of new cases.

We are rapidly approaching the point with the lack of testing where the best way to estimate the number of cases is to look at the number of deaths by risk category and back extrapolate.
Posted by MadDogs
Member since Jul 2018
454 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 8:34 am to
quote:

The most damning thing to the theory is that they were able to phylogenetically confirm the earliest it was in the US was around Jan 10-15.

This is the one part of the science that is hard to argue with. I've been following Trevor
Bedford who was on the front lines of initially detecting this in Washington and he has dug into a lot of these theories.

His most recent analysis shows an estimate of 10,000 to 40,000 actual cases in the US (as of Friday) and a 1 to 10 ratio between reported cases and actual cases.
Trevor Bedford Twitter
Posted by CivilTiger83
Member since Dec 2017
2525 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 8:35 am to
quote:

This is an interesting theory and I've seen arguments for as early as September. However, a number of researchers have been reviewing ILINet & WHO-NREVSS data for the US and as of 3.13.20, there still wasn't strong evidence of a high volume undetected COVID-19 in the data. Also, the earliest sequence up on Nextstrain is from mid-Jan from Washington state. The Seattle Flu Study group has been looking into the data and hasn't been able to find anything before that mid-January case.


The claim that this was circulating in the US in December seems unlikely. We would have seen cases like the Washington retirement home that was doing massive damage to high risk populations. We didn’t start to see that until late February.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88012 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 8:46 am to
I have a cough and a little short of breath. But I feel good enough to go play golf. Am I cleared to go?
Posted by S1C EM
Athens, GA
Member since Nov 2007
11594 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 8:46 am to
quote:

It’s just the latest shifting goalpost trying to rationalize this as the same as flu.


So we are in agreement?
Posted by Roscoe
Member since Sep 2007
3092 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 8:54 am to
I remember seeing some posts about positive cases tested in BR during the middle of this week. Has there still been no reported presumed or confirmed cases in EBR yet?
Posted by S1C EM
Athens, GA
Member since Nov 2007
11594 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 9:00 am to
Athens, GA, has its first two.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51716 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 9:12 am to
Dr. Fauci said on Meet the Press he would prefer a 14 day “shutdown” (not sure what all that would include) to slow coronavirus down.
This post was edited on 3/15/20 at 9:13 am
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51716 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 9:13 am to
quote:

I have a cough and a little short of breath. But I feel good enough to go play golf. Am I cleared to go?

Do you have asthma or allergies? Because pollen is becoming an issue right now, too. I have been having a bit of a flare up in my asthma lately.
This post was edited on 3/15/20 at 9:14 am
Posted by Boston911
Lafayette
Member since Dec 2013
2490 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 9:16 am to
quote:

My 19-year-old daughter did (no pics).
Why no pics? This is science we discussing here! We need to study this woman to determine if she has comorbid conditions or not,,,,a healthy person fights this off a lot better.
Posted by Pettifogger
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Feb 2012
87381 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 9:19 am to
quote:

The poliboard infestation of the OT is spreading.



They're all over the place

A good tweetstorm by Trump and half of Poli will be clamoring to shut the board down to help #flattenthecurve and string up anyone who touches their face
Posted by KillerNut9
Pearl Jam
Member since Dec 2007
34973 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 9:26 am to
quote:

Dr. Fauci said on Meet the Press he would prefer a 14 day “shutdown” (not sure what all that would include) to slow coronavirus down.


I’m guessing he’s referring to lockdowns like Italy and Spain. I’m confident this will be coming soon by states in the next week or two. Hell, Dewine said this morning that he wouldn’t be surprised if Ohio schools don’t open again for the school year.
Posted by ntrcptr
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2009
672 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 9:34 am to
Go golfing and huff on a diesel pipe while youre out and about. Your absence from the www would be greatly appreciated.

Ps, dont come back
Posted by El Magnifico
La casa de tu mamá
Member since Jan 2014
7017 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 9:49 am to
quote:

what’s happening in Italy and Wuhan? Did it mutate?
I've heard rumors there are 2 strains, China has contained the more virulent one, but it is the one that got imported to Iran, and from there to Italy.
Posted by tigerskin
Member since Nov 2004
46731 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 9:49 am to
“BREAKING: a second coronavirus patient has died in Orleans Parish, and 91 people have tested positive for the virus:”

NEW ORLEANS — Gov. John Bel Edwards reported on Sunday that a second death from Covid-19 had been reported in Louisiana.

“Health officials report 91 presumptive positive cases of coronavirus in Louisiana. At least 247 people have been tested in Louisiana, according to the health department. “
This post was edited on 3/15/20 at 10:00 am
Posted by uscpuke
Member since Jan 2004
6311 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 9:50 am to
quote:

I've heard rumors there are 2 strains


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