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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***
Posted on 3/14/20 at 10:52 am to Ronaldo Burgundiaz
Posted on 3/14/20 at 10:52 am to Ronaldo Burgundiaz
quote:
You are just being obtuse now. South Korea has 8,000ish cases and 65ish deaths.
Post the Korean data
It’s absolutely consistent with a sample you would see if it was
66% female
20% over 50
Why are you intentionally ignoring this?
This post was edited on 3/14/20 at 10:54 am
3
Posted on 3/14/20 at 10:56 am to WaWaWeeWa
South Koreas population is also vastly more dense than the US and they use mass transit far more than Americans.
Posted on 3/14/20 at 10:56 am to WaWaWeeWa
New virus confirmed within 30 mins of me.
I've been waiting my whole life for this moment
I've been waiting my whole life for this moment
Posted on 3/14/20 at 10:57 am to momentoftruth87
I’m one of the unconfirmed cases. 
Posted on 3/14/20 at 10:58 am to WaWaWeeWa
quote:
How many times does it have to be said that regardless of the number you want to believe, it has the ability to overwhelm the medical system. Then that number goes up. Meaning people die unnecessarily that need routine care.
Those are undeniable facts based on evidence that has been posted in this thread for almost 2 months and people still refuse to believe it
bullshite! Those aren’t undeniable facts. Guys like you, on both sides of the issue, are a big part of the problem. Blowhards asserting facts that just aren’t facts.
We are taking precautions against something that MIGHT happen, not against something we KNOW will happen.
Posted on 3/14/20 at 10:59 am to Ronaldo Burgundiaz
quote:
South Koreas population is also vastly more dense than the US and they use mass transit far more than Americans.
That has very little if nothing to do with the mortality rate
Posted on 3/14/20 at 10:59 am to WaWaWeeWa
14% of South Korea's population is over 65
15% of US population is over 65.
You'll have to try again, bud.
15% of US population is over 65.
You'll have to try again, bud.
Posted on 3/14/20 at 10:59 am to Ronaldo Burgundiaz
quote:
You are just being obtuse now.
South Korea has 8,000ish cases and 65ish deaths.
SK - 8,086 cases, 72 (+5) deaths, 7,300 active cases, nCFR - 0.9%. This is consistent with modeling showing a cCFR of 1.5 - 2.5%. SK is doing the most intensive tracing and testing in the world.
Posted on 3/14/20 at 11:06 am to Ronaldo Burgundiaz
quote:
14% of South Korea's population is over 65 15% of US population is over 65. You'll have to try again, bud.
Ok I guess I’m going to have to explain this again. It’s not about the overall population. It’s about the data that is being used to calculate their mortality rate.
Top is SK data
Bottom is Italy
SK cases are 62% female and 19% over 50
That’s the major reason their mortality rate looks better
Look at what percentage of deaths are from over 70 in the Italy data 30-40%
Look at what percentage of deaths are from the over 70 in SK... 35%
So they are doing almost exactly the same. Italy just has more old people infected.
Do you agree?
Posted on 3/14/20 at 11:06 am to ell_13
My hope that is that we can do enough tests to really get an idea on the hot spots across the country. The drive thru testing, if it runs smoothly, will be a tremendous help.
Let the people know if they have Covid19, and tell them to quarantine if they are younger and not at risk for severe complications.
If the majority of the citizens are social distancing and practicing good hygiene we can nip this thing sooner rather than later.
Let the people know if they have Covid19, and tell them to quarantine if they are younger and not at risk for severe complications.
If the majority of the citizens are social distancing and practicing good hygiene we can nip this thing sooner rather than later.
Posted on 3/14/20 at 11:07 am to razorbackfan4life
quote:
Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump · 9m News Conference at White House in 10 minutes.
Posted on 3/14/20 at 11:07 am to WaWaWeeWa
quote:
That has very little if nothing to do with the mortality rate
That must be why the mortality rate is the same across all countries.
Did you seriously just say demographics and density don't matter?
. You've once again outed yourself as a fear mongererThis post was edited on 3/14/20 at 11:09 am
Posted on 3/14/20 at 11:09 am to razorbackfan4life
Posted on 3/14/20 at 11:09 am to LNCHBOX
quote:
That must be why the mortality rate is the same across all countries. Did you seriously just say denials and density don't matter? . You've once again outed yourself as a fear mongerer
Denials? I don’t even know what you are talking about
How does population density effect MORTALITY of individual cases? It definitely effects spread.
Posted on 3/14/20 at 11:10 am to WaWaWeeWa
quote:
How does population density effect MORTALITY of individual cases? It definitely effects spread.
If you can't piece together why it would have an effect, I have nothing for you.
Posted on 3/14/20 at 11:10 am to LNCHBOX
quote:
If you can't piece together why it would have an effect, I have nothing for you.
That’s what I thought
Posted on 3/14/20 at 11:13 am to WaWaWeeWa
You need it spelled out that changes in the number of infected and the demographics of the infected will have an effect on the number of deaths?
This post was edited on 3/14/20 at 11:14 am
Posted on 3/14/20 at 11:14 am to LNCHBOX
Yea, the total number of deaths. We are talking about a PERCENTAGE.
You really want me to explain that?
You really want me to explain that?
Posted on 3/14/20 at 11:15 am to WaWaWeeWa
quote:
Yea, the total number of deaths. We are talking about a PERCENTAGE.
You really want me to explain that?
Why is the percentage not the same in every country?
Posted on 3/14/20 at 11:15 am to LNCHBOX
He’s talking about rate. A percentage. That percentage can be affected by demographics. A country with many more older people will have a higher death rate generally. It just depends on where the clusters pop up. Like that nursing home in Washington which made up 16 of the first 22 American deaths.
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