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Message

re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

Posted on 3/6/20 at 4:25 pm to
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
74213 posts
Posted on 3/6/20 at 4:25 pm to
Nah, it already widespread
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
105316 posts
Posted on 3/6/20 at 4:34 pm to
Head of Romanian Orthodox Church: Congregants are allowed to use precautions when taking part in church sacraments, but if they do their faith is weak LINK
Posted by Volvagia
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2006
53474 posts
Posted on 3/6/20 at 4:34 pm to
quote:

Because 40000 of those people have this year


And if CoV infects a similar number as the flu, it’s over a million dead.

What’s your point?
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
85117 posts
Posted on 3/6/20 at 4:34 pm to
quote:

sxsw has been cancelled


Told you this would happen when Ultra cancelled... Jazzfest is next
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
85117 posts
Posted on 3/6/20 at 4:47 pm to
Welp the ship has 22 positive cases out of 40 something swabbed. 19 are crew

Brining it into port and testing everyone
This post was edited on 3/6/20 at 4:48 pm
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177371 posts
Posted on 3/6/20 at 4:51 pm to
I’ll pay someone with Covid $100 to sneeze in my mouth so I can get out ahead of this and build an immunity.
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
130323 posts
Posted on 3/6/20 at 4:51 pm to
quote:

And if CoV infects a similar number as the flu, it’s over a million dead.



Come on man.
Posted by Mr Perfect
Member since Mar 2010
17836 posts
Posted on 3/6/20 at 4:52 pm to
quote:

Jazzfest is next


stop the lies dude. you boomers make every one panic over nothing
Posted by MikeyFL
Member since Sep 2010
10335 posts
Posted on 3/6/20 at 4:54 pm to
To be honest, the current productivity of Chinese factories depend on where they are located, what kind of goods they produce, and whether or not the workers can be held in dorms separate from the rest of the population.

Thus, I have no doubt the factories you deal with are operating. However, my contacts in China, especially the ones in and near Hubei province, also tell me that there are a lot of false narratives of recovery being promoted by the Chinese government.
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
130323 posts
Posted on 3/6/20 at 4:57 pm to
The OTs favorite, Elon Musk:

quote:

The coronavirus panic is dumb
Posted by disco tiger
Everywhere
Member since Dec 2003
209 posts
Posted on 3/6/20 at 4:58 pm to
quote:

Jazzfest is next


Jazz Fest needs the local authorities to cancel the event to trigger their cancellation insurance. Thats if they purchased the infectious disease add on. A lot of insurance companies started excluding Coronavirus from policies at the end of December. If Jazz Fest isn't covered at least the authorities shutting it down gives them some Force Majuere protection on their artists contracts.
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
25829 posts
Posted on 3/6/20 at 5:00 pm to
quote:

sxsw has been cancelled


Well this is first positive news in this thread.
Posted by bbrownso
Member since Mar 2008
8985 posts
Posted on 3/6/20 at 5:10 pm to
Hope it's a ship of younger people.

News from Italy today:
CNN news blurb

quote:

The death toll from novel coronavirus in Italy surged today, marking the highest daily increase since the start of the virus outbreak in the country.

Angelo Borrelli, head of the Italian Civil Protection Agency, said today that 49 people had died in the last day, bringing the country wide death toll to 197.

The total number of confirmed cases in Italy rose by 778 on Friday, bringing the total number in the country to 4,636.

Borrelli said the median age of the people who have died from the virus in Italy is 81 years of age.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26630 posts
Posted on 3/6/20 at 5:12 pm to
quote:

median age


Very important nugget that I hope isn't glossed over.
Posted by Volvagia
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2006
53474 posts
Posted on 3/6/20 at 5:19 pm to
That wasn’t a knee jerk assessment.

In that time period, 45 million people were infected with with flu.

This accounts for around 14% of the total US population.

I then simply applied the numbers from the WHO that “nothing burger” proponent MrLSU used to cite how insignificant it is:

LINK

To the actual US census population data, assuming only 14% of them became infected. Be aware both swine flu and 1918 pandemics achieved significantly higher levels of penetration so this is an extremely conservative given.

Year by year, assuming a linear relationship between mortality data points.


Note I didn’t even “model” infections by anyone below the age of 60. To get to the figure I meationed requires not a single death by anyone below that age.

I feel like there may be people being forced to redefine what a “nothing burger” in perspective is in about 2 months time.

For fricks sake people, you don’t have to be panicking and raiding Costco to realize that the flu doesn’t:

-Cut through nursing homes annually leaving a tenth of residents dead (and still counting, still several critical patients and more are emerging as symptomatic)

-It doesn’t cause rushes on medical facilities, enough so that people are dying at home waiting to see a triage nurse like what’s happening in Italy and SK

This waiting list in SK is thousands long.

This virus clearly has distinct behavior from the flu, with enough proven evidence to not be dismissive of it.

And if you disagree on that, even if you want to claim it’s the same as the flu, you still have one unarguable difference between the two still: there is no vaccine, no method anymore to realistically slow the spread or to shield the most vurnerable.

That’s my point.


I’m not predicting a million US dead. It’s that people just keep showing their ignorance using “muh flu” as a comparison when there isn’t a honest one to be made.

This post was edited on 3/6/20 at 5:25 pm
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
85117 posts
Posted on 3/6/20 at 5:22 pm to
quote:

stop the lies dude. you boomers make every one panic over nothing



Want to bet? No way they go forward when Ultra and SXSW chose not to. The publicity should there be an outbreak when others cancelled and then went forward would be epic

And what have I said in this thread to ever drive panic. I’ve been accused of not taking it seriously
This post was edited on 3/6/20 at 5:30 pm
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
130323 posts
Posted on 3/6/20 at 5:23 pm to
Yeah except SXSW starts in a week and Jazz Fest starts in just under two months.
Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 3/6/20 at 5:28 pm to
quote:

Yeah except SXSW starts in a week and Jazz Fest starts in just under two months.

Also: one's in Austin, which is a functioning city, and the other...
This post was edited on 3/6/20 at 5:29 pm
Posted by Mr Perfect
Member since Mar 2010
17836 posts
Posted on 3/6/20 at 5:29 pm to
sure dude bet me $mrperfectgucci Cash app
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
89137 posts
Posted on 3/6/20 at 5:31 pm to
quote:

$mrperfectgucci


I was unaware I could think less of you. Thanks for this
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