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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***
Posted on 3/2/20 at 3:15 pm to OysterPoBoy
Posted on 3/2/20 at 3:15 pm to OysterPoBoy
quote:
That is a bit misleading because the elderly are not as overall healthy on average as the rest of the population.
The viral target is expressed on the cell membrane at a higher frequency with age.
That is the primary driver of why the poorer outcome with age.
While true, older people tend to be less healthy, the real motivator here is that the virus is literally more virulent the older you get.
Posted on 3/2/20 at 3:15 pm to boxcarbarney
quote:
SiriusXM has announced it will launch a series of programs on its Doctor Radio channel 110 (also to be made available on-demand and on Pandora) dedicated to news and information about the spreading coronavirus.
Doctor Radio will produce hourly news updates that will also air on additional SiriusXM channels. The other programming will include a 15 minute Coronavirus: Everything You Need To Know podcast and a daily Coronavirus – What You Need To Know Now compiling that day’s information. Doctor Radio will also air a weekly call-in show on Friday’s at 2pm eastern hosted by Doctor Radio Medical Director Dr. Marc Siegel and featuring physicians from partner NYU Langone Health.
Posted on 3/2/20 at 3:19 pm to xxTIMMYxx
quote:
I don't know why people downvote this.
Because there is a group of people that can't distinguish "things will get worse" from "it is the end of the world."
Posted on 3/2/20 at 3:19 pm to Volvagia
quote:
This was never going to be an apocalyptic virus, and no one who has a clue claimed it might be.
The good thing is that deadly virus' are harder to spread because the sick are very sick and have extreme symptoms so they are easier to identify and quarantine. Less severe ones are harder to identify and quarantine so they spread more easily. The fear is one in the middle, but this one appears to be closer to the less severe side.
Posted on 3/2/20 at 3:20 pm to BallsEleven
The sixth death out of Washington was a man in his 40s with no underlying conditions
Posted on 3/2/20 at 3:21 pm to Fun Bunch
India is so dirty the virus can't survive.
Posted on 3/2/20 at 3:22 pm to Volvagia
quote:
They are currently tracking 4 infection lineages in the US last I heard, and they can approximate arrival by this method even if they don’t have the contact tracing of individuals mapped out.
What is the most common method of "contact tracing" used? Questioning those infected? Actual legwork to track down those that the ill came into contact with? This seems to be reliant upon the honesty of those verified to have the virus. So I'm assuming, out of an abundance of caution, those who had contact with a sick patient will be tested regardless of symptoms. Or is it a wait and see type deal with basic monitoring of those in contact?
That sounds like an overwhelming task and a strain on testing resources.
Forgive me, I don't know much about how they track the spread.
Posted on 3/2/20 at 3:22 pm to Darth_Vader
quote:
He’s making this thing out to be like in six moths this is going to be every town in America
I mean it depends on how literally you meant that.
Ville Platte is probably safe.
Posted on 3/2/20 at 3:23 pm to Janky
quote:
He is so excited about this. I haven't seen this much wishcasting since last hurricane season.
You just avoid the question. You or Darth can’t tell me how the virus will slow down or stop. But every time I say it’s going to take serious disruptions to our way of life to stop it, I’m called a “wishcaster”.
Posted on 3/2/20 at 3:26 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
The sixth death out of Washington was a man in his 40s with no underlying conditions
That would certainly change things if true
Posted on 3/2/20 at 3:27 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Awful. Can you link your source?
Posted on 3/2/20 at 3:27 pm to Darth_Vader
quote:
Makes me wonder if this virus has been over here longer than we though. Like (and I’m guessing) it could have come here late last year and those who got sick from it just thought they had a cold and got over it without ever going to a doctor.
This is exactly why I think you are in denial and why you characterize logical reasoning as “wishcasting”
Genetic analysis of the virus tells us exactly where it came from. We know the cases in Washington came from China. The lineage is clear. Are you aware of that research?
Posted on 3/2/20 at 3:29 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
The sixth death out of Washington was a man in his 40s with no underlying conditions
If anyone wants a denial gauge, look at the number of downvotes for literally stating a fact.
Posted on 3/2/20 at 3:30 pm to bbrownso
quote:
The much more realistic CFR is most certainly below 0.5%, he says. Source: Interviews on NDR Podcast
I think that’s a very likely possibility. Hell the CFR in China outside of Wuhan was 0.7%
All we have been saying here is that the low CFR goes out the window when you run out of resources. Then you see the CFR in Wuhan.
Posted on 3/2/20 at 3:30 pm to LegendInMyMind
Interviewing and old fashioned detective work.
And you are right, it’s only effective if you get an index case early.
Shanghai is an example of utilizing this technique to contain and roll back the spread. We are already beyond that point here in the US
But for the sake of clarity, I was NOT referring to the contact trancing investigation, but via the actual genetics of the virus. It’s being so heavily studied and sequenced we can use it as a reference to time stamp substrains.
Someone posted this chart yesterday in this thread illustrating the linkages.
>
And you are right, it’s only effective if you get an index case early.
Shanghai is an example of utilizing this technique to contain and roll back the spread. We are already beyond that point here in the US
But for the sake of clarity, I was NOT referring to the contact trancing investigation, but via the actual genetics of the virus. It’s being so heavily studied and sequenced we can use it as a reference to time stamp substrains.
Someone posted this chart yesterday in this thread illustrating the linkages.
Posted on 3/2/20 at 3:31 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
The sixth death out of Washington was a man in his 40s with no underlying conditions
Northshorebamaman still 'kickin?
Posted on 3/2/20 at 3:33 pm to NYNolaguy1
quote:
If anyone wants a denial gauge, look at the number of downvotes for literally stating a fact.
no link baw, thats why the downvotes silly
Posted on 3/2/20 at 3:34 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
The sixth death out of Washington was a man in his 40s with no underlying conditions
I wonder if he had contact with the nursing home in any way.
Posted on 3/2/20 at 3:36 pm to Volvagia
quote:
But for the sake of clarity, I was NOT referring to the contact trancing investigation, but via the actual genetics of the virus.
Thanks. I know you were referring to tracing the virus. I was just wondering about the contact tracing methods.
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