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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

Posted on 7/17/20 at 6:24 pm to
Posted by heatom2
At the plant, baw.
Member since Nov 2010
13093 posts
Posted on 7/17/20 at 6:24 pm to
quote:

There are 3 vaccines coming out in September, October, and November.



What % of people do you think need to actually be vaccinated? I wonder how many will, theres a lot of misinformation about vaccines these days.
Posted by escatawpabuckeye
Member since Jan 2013
1041 posts
Posted on 7/17/20 at 6:43 pm to
Anyone who is involved in actual Covid patient care actually seeing any people get this twice?

I know everything is highly anecdotal at this point but i recently reviewed a few cases at our facility of multiple patients with very suspicious symptomatic evidence with supporting positive lab results indicating recurrent infection; second time through with more severe disease.

Anyone else seeing this?
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 7/17/20 at 8:18 pm to
quote:

What % of people do you think need to actually be vaccinated? I wonder how many will, theres a lot of misinformation about vaccines these days.


It will vary. The low risk populations probably not much.

But people over 70 and in nursing homes? A lot

We don’t need that many people to be vaccinated for this to become irrelevant. It’s not the flu, it doesn’t mutate yearly. We don’t have to “guess” at the next strain.
Posted by St Augustine
The Pauper of the Surf
Member since Mar 2006
72131 posts
Posted on 7/17/20 at 9:56 pm to
quote:

Anyone who is involved in actual Covid patient care actually seeing any people get this twice?


No. But people test positive for 3+ weeks sometimes while being largely asymptomatic.

We’d only have like 15-20 covids actually requiring a good bit of care ( supplemental O2, etc) but we have a ton of memory care patients (usually 15-20 more at a time) we can’t get rid of quickly, that are largely asymptomatic causing 2-3 week logjams.

Old folks too. Lot of mid 80s to 90s.
This post was edited on 7/17/20 at 9:58 pm
Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
64517 posts
Posted on 7/17/20 at 10:17 pm to
Somebody help me out here,

When I read this thread and a few other places I’m told that there is no evidence, so far anyways, that you can get this virus twice. I see it said here in the off chance you can get it twice it’s likely to be awhile after you have it like a year or more

Then I hear “reputable” people in the world say that you CAN get it twice and that people like the President of Brazil and “people in China” have gotten it twice. Even supposedly non political ppl on sports podcasts referencing this so someone set me straight, is it now thought you can get it twice in a short time? Or are these people just being willfully ignorant??


Obviously I understand there’s a lot we don’t know such as how long antibodies might last and what can happen long term bc the virus has only been around less than a year but I’m talking about given what we know currently
Posted by St Augustine
The Pauper of the Surf
Member since Mar 2006
72131 posts
Posted on 7/17/20 at 10:24 pm to
From everything the infectious disease doctors have said at work they think it’d be pretty rare for most people and most of the “2nd positives”are likely errors at some point in the testing.
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 7/17/20 at 10:29 pm to
quote:

Then I hear “reputable” people in the world say that you CAN get it twice and that people like the President of Brazil and “people in China” have gotten it twice. Even supposedly non political ppl on sports podcasts referencing this so someone set me straight, is it now thought you can get it twice in a short time? Or are these people just being willfully ignorant??



First of all we need to clarify what you mean

1. Get sick then better... then test positive?

2. Or actually get sick twice?

These are two different things. I could see scenario 1 being plausible and actually likely. But I would expect the second “infection” or positive test to be asymptomatic or very mildly symptomatic.

Unless the patient had an immune deficiency or there was a false positive test somewhere.
Posted by borotiger
Murfreesboro Tennessee
Member since Jan 2004
14786 posts
Posted on 7/17/20 at 10:53 pm to
quote:

It’s not the flu, it doesn’t mutate yearly. We don’t have to “guess” at the next strain.


I wish this was true but it certainly mutates. This is not arguable.

We all want you to be right but there is no evidence yet to support your statement.

ETA:

To the down voters, there is more than one strain and they mutate at least twice a month.

Hell, there have even been posters on this board who reported contracting Covid-19 and were asked, on this board, "which one".

Things don't go away just because you don't like it.

As for mutating to the point that a vaccine this year won't help next year, that is unknown since we haven't had a next year yet.
This post was edited on 7/17/20 at 11:06 pm
Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
64517 posts
Posted on 7/18/20 at 1:42 am to
quote:

First of all we need to clarify what you mean


Most of them specifically explained they meant that someone tested positive for the virus (asymptomatic or otherwise), then “recovered” and tested negative for the virus, then at some point later tested positive for the virus again

They said you CAN get “sick” from this twice just like you can get strep throat twice if that makes any sense
Posted by escatawpabuckeye
Member since Jan 2013
1041 posts
Posted on 7/18/20 at 5:59 am to
the cases i've seen have been people who had symptoms and tested positive, recovered, tested negative, and then several months later came back with a big DVT/PE and other symptoms and tested positive again.

its unclear to me what happened in these cases.
Posted by Ronaldo Burgundiaz
NWA
Member since Jan 2012
6793 posts
Posted on 7/18/20 at 7:43 am to
The impact of host resistance on cumulative mortality and the threshold of herd immunity for SARS-CoV-2
quote:

In other words, the HIT declines in proportion to the size of the resistant group (Figure 1A). For example, when R0=2, HIT will be reached at 25% if half the population is resistant
Posted by Bullfrog
Running Through the Wet Grass
Member since Jul 2010
61215 posts
Posted on 7/18/20 at 8:24 am to
quote:

is it now thought you can get it twice in a short time?
No idea. There are lots of variables that will take more time to sort through if it does. Lots of unknowns.

Maybe it’s like chicken pox as a kid leads to shingles as an adult where it’s a 40+ year thing. Nobody knows.

Or affect someone like fever blisters that reappear during a stressful time. That herpes virus is for life. Not fun but you’ll live.

Time will tell. Mind your hand washing, general sanitation practices, keep informed as research arrives and good luck!
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40230 posts
Posted on 7/18/20 at 11:26 am to
How do they know yet that it doesn’t mutate yearly? Thanks.

Also I was told about 500/600 pages ago that kids would be back in school/college in the fall — and if not we would be having bigger issues. I guess we’re having bigger issues.

I’m over every bit of this.
Posted by NawlinsTiger9
Where the mongooses roam
Member since Jan 2009
39702 posts
Posted on 7/18/20 at 12:03 pm to
Hell I thought we’d be back to normal by July

Turns out us message boarders don’t really know shite I guess
Posted by S1C EM
Athens, GA
Member since Nov 2007
11594 posts
Posted on 7/18/20 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

Hell I thought we’d be back to normal by July


Yeah, that GOP_Tiger had us goin'. And now that it's clear all of his well-meaning optimism was just bullshite, he's vanished. He just KNEW the heat was going to kill it off. I knew better because the doctor my wife works for is Indian and India had been in the mid-90s the entire time and had seen no effect on spread.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35381 posts
Posted on 7/18/20 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

knew better because the doctor my wife works for is Indian and India had been in the mid-90s the entire time and had seen no effect on spread.
I mean I still think summer, both as a result of weather itself AND the changes in activities (more outdoors, schools are out, although they were already out due to pandemic) limits the spread compared to winter weather like the flu, cold, etc. That being said, COVID is too easily transmissible to think that it would somehow disappear due to this, especially this alone:
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 7/18/20 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

How do they know yet that it doesn’t mutate yearly? Thanks.


Coronaviruses are notoriously stable viruses. They get mutations but it rarely leads to changes in the function Or structure of the virus. They have core proteins that typically don’t change such as the spike protein and the ORF region. A few mutations have occurred but they haven’t significantly effected the structure of these areas. Antibodies can still recognize them and attach to them.

Influenza has always had tons of mutations and recombination of the surface proteins H and N. These surface proteins can arrange in any number of combinations and essentially form a new virus. That’s why you see the different names H1N1 or H4N9, it’s a different mixture of surface proteins that doesn’t take a lot of mutation to occur, mainly rearrangement. Think of it like a bike lock where you can spin the wheels to create any combination which would essentially be a new virus. An antibody for H1N1 can’t bind and antibody for H4N9 very effectively.

Influenza is a crazy effective virus. That’s why when people say “well the flu shot doesn’t work” they really don’t understand the difficulty involved in predicting the rearrangement of H and N for next year with enough time to create enough vaccine to distribute. If we knew the exact combination of flu for the coming year and had enough time to make the vaccine there would barely be any flu.

We don’t have a vaccine for a coronavirus because we have never needed it. Research of a vaccine costs billions of dollars and who is going to buy a vaccine for the common cold?
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40230 posts
Posted on 7/18/20 at 4:15 pm to
Interesting. Thanks. I’m praying this shite is over sooner than later — I’m seriously starting to have bad anxiety over this whole thing — every component from still working at home (which I hate), to the mask wear/don’t wear people, to my kids college graduation being virtual, to the last kid having online classes (except for one) to just every bit of it.

It needs to just be over for so many reasons for so many people.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40230 posts
Posted on 7/18/20 at 4:18 pm to
So how did five nurses who worked the covid unit not get it where I do consulting and only 1 did? They all (yes I’m assuming) used proper ppe. Why aren’t there tons of people who work at Walmart or Target or Academy sick??

Not trying to argue just trying to understand. But then again I should just give up with the trying to understand thing. Ugh this just all sucks.

Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40230 posts
Posted on 7/18/20 at 4:19 pm to
So Wawe are you going to take a vaccine when it comes out??? Just curious.
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