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Started By
Message
re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***
Posted on 4/7/20 at 4:09 pm to GeauxTigers2020
Posted on 4/7/20 at 4:09 pm to GeauxTigers2020
quote:
Maybe my opinion is skewed because this isn't a normal work from home scenario. It's not like a normal work from home where I can go meet up with friends for lunch or anything. Would be curious to see if I missed the office if I was seeing anybody outside of my roommates.
Not being able to work on the road has sucked for me since a lot of my job is doing site surveys to spec equipment out.
Sometimes it’s just nice to work from a coffee shop or something.
What really sucks is we are going to exit this right as the nice weather is done for and it’s hot as balls
This post was edited on 4/7/20 at 4:11 pm
Posted on 4/7/20 at 4:34 pm to Dire Wolf
nm
This post was edited on 4/7/20 at 4:41 pm
Posted on 4/7/20 at 4:48 pm to TheCaterpillar
Not unexpected, but we'll have a daily high for US CV-19 deaths by a good margin today - expect media to jump on it. Still slightly below the UW curve we've all been looking at.
1826 with a few states left to report. Louisiana's report of 70 ranks 8th
NY,NJ,MI,GA,CT,IL,MA coming in higher than LA today.
1826 with a few states left to report. Louisiana's report of 70 ranks 8th
NY,NJ,MI,GA,CT,IL,MA coming in higher than LA today.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 4:49 pm to BRIllini07
Georgia might get pretty bad. They are one of the worst on our models.
ETA:
Also the current 3% CFR is pretty bad. I thought by the time we had this many tests, it would be 1.5ish%.
Hopefully the antibody tests roll out so we can see the real mortality rates.
ETA:
Also the current 3% CFR is pretty bad. I thought by the time we had this many tests, it would be 1.5ish%.
Hopefully the antibody tests roll out so we can see the real mortality rates.
This post was edited on 4/7/20 at 4:54 pm
Posted on 4/7/20 at 4:54 pm to TheCaterpillar
quote:
Georgia might get pretty bad. They are one of the worst on our models.
Elaborate, please.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 5:04 pm to S1C EM
quote:
Elaborate, please.
When I was in school, I worked with a country doctor in Georgia one summer. His observation was, "not enough sense to piss in a boot".
Posted on 4/7/20 at 5:07 pm to wdhalgren
quote:
When I was in school, I worked with a country doctor in Georgia one summer. His observation was, "not enough sense to piss in a boot".
I get that, I do. I’ve been to Walmart. Still, we’re not alone in that regard. So why is the Georgia modeling bad?
Posted on 4/7/20 at 5:20 pm to S1C EM
Maybe a combination of the known health risk factors, combined with Atlanta being the biggest city in the Southeast and an airline travel hub? Plus the Albany situation has added quite a few deaths for the southern part of the state.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 5:21 pm to S1C EM
It’s not the worst, but it isn’t a great model. I’m not really sure without looking at the inputs and it’s almost quitting time.
My guess is the separate pockets/clusters (like Cartersville), combined with international travel based out of there which likely led to spread, and a large/dense “at risk” population.
My guess is the separate pockets/clusters (like Cartersville), combined with international travel based out of there which likely led to spread, and a large/dense “at risk” population.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 5:24 pm to wdhalgren
quote:
Plus the Albany situation has added quite a few deaths for the southern part of the state.
I know there are at least two patients from Albany that were diverted to Athens and that’s concerning to me.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 5:27 pm to S1C EM
Cartersville was one of our worst markets at first. There was a pretty big cluster from a church or something like that.
The Atlanta airport is what, the busiest airport on Earth? And Georgia has super large concentrations of black folks, who are more susceptible to poor outcomes. I'll look tomorrow. Sorry, time for my "sanity walk" around the neighborhood with a 32 ounce cocktail.
ETA:
I think of Georgia as Alabama and Mississippi in terms of culture and types of people (Large AA %, high obesity rates, etc.). But it is those states on steroids with a super airport funneling in people from all over the world by the thousands every day and has much higher population numbers.
I love the South, but we are some unhealthy motherfrickers.
The Atlanta airport is what, the busiest airport on Earth? And Georgia has super large concentrations of black folks, who are more susceptible to poor outcomes. I'll look tomorrow. Sorry, time for my "sanity walk" around the neighborhood with a 32 ounce cocktail.
ETA:
I think of Georgia as Alabama and Mississippi in terms of culture and types of people (Large AA %, high obesity rates, etc.). But it is those states on steroids with a super airport funneling in people from all over the world by the thousands every day and has much higher population numbers.
I love the South, but we are some unhealthy motherfrickers.
This post was edited on 4/7/20 at 5:37 pm
Posted on 4/7/20 at 5:48 pm to TheCaterpillar
quote:
I love the South, but we are some unhealthy motherfrickers.
Too true. It’s the main reason so many on this thread were extremely worried about this virus rampaging in the South.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 5:52 pm to wdhalgren
quote:translates to a bunch of democrats... 70%
Maybe a combination of the known health risk factors, combined with Atlanta being the biggest city in the Southeast
Posted on 4/7/20 at 6:06 pm to TheCaterpillar
quote:
Cartersville was one of our worst markets at first. There was a pretty big cluster from a church or something like that.
The Atlanta airport is what, the busiest airport on Earth? And Georgia has super large concentrations of black folks, who are more susceptible to poor outcomes. I'll look tomorrow. Sorry, time for my "sanity walk" around the neighborhood with a 32 ounce cocktail.
ETA:
I think of Georgia as Alabama and Mississippi in terms of culture and types of people (Large AA %, high obesity rates, etc.). But it is those states on steroids with a super airport funneling in people from all over the world by the thousands every day and has much higher population numbers.
I love the South, but we are some unhealthy motherfrickers.
You’re not wrong on any of that. Makes total sense. I know we had large groups of black folks in a few poorer areas of Athens that were out hustling and fighting each other right after Athens-Clarke County shite down. Totally stupid. And two funerals and a church service started the spiral here in Albany. Just dumb.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 6:07 pm to TheCaterpillar
One state that I didn’t realize is doing so bad is Connecticut. I think they’re projected the have the highest death rate per capita in the country. But it makes sense when you consider they’re pretty close to NY. And although they have a small population, it’s also a fairly high population density.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 6:22 pm to 1BamaRTR
Birx gave a stat that was eye opening... Not that coldn’t have figured it out, but
NYC 14/1000
New Orleans 3/1000
Most other cities 1/1000 or less
That is the infection rate... Seriously, that is it? As much that is going on, I would have guess it was at least 1-2/100 everywhere.
NYC 14/1000
New Orleans 3/1000
Most other cities 1/1000 or less
That is the infection rate... Seriously, that is it? As much that is going on, I would have guess it was at least 1-2/100 everywhere.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 6:33 pm to Lsut81
Orleans has over 4000 cases in a population of less than 400,000 - right off the bat that’s more than 10/1000
Posted on 4/7/20 at 6:40 pm to BRIllini07
She may have said Louisiana on that one... Because she said NY was 7/1000 and NYC was 14/1000
Posted on 4/7/20 at 6:46 pm to Lsut81
It's approximately 1.25% of the nola population has it.
A hair less 1% for the NOLA metro area
A hair less 1% for the NOLA metro area
Posted on 4/7/20 at 6:57 pm to Lsut81
quote:
As much that is going on, I would have guess it was at least 1-2/100 everywhere.
Just for reference, 2/100 for 360 million is about 7 million infected and 200,000 dead.
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