re: CEO of Microsoft AI says most white collar work will be fully automated within 18 months

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ETA: I cant tell you how many times ive schooled the younger generation when it comes to debugging. Its a quirk you learn when you are actually involved deeply in learning a language or system.

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It's funny, at least once every few weeks I get an AI analysis of a log with an explanation of what the issue MUST be because the AI analysis has those urgent trigger words and pretty icons that the LLMs love to use, and then I have to explain that there's a ton that the AI isn't aware of, so what they think the issue is is wrong.

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The younger folks dont have the patience or resolve to go through that stage because AI can surely figure it out eventually after a bunch of prompts

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My 12-18 months thought is that there's going to be a ton of crap code out there left from these types, and devs who know what they are doing to clean up.

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IMO the replies that deny this dont consider the "exponential" factor of AI growth. Its evolving so rapidly the next years growth will equate to the the last 5 years growth. The year after that.....its too late. Its already too late because we continue with it knowing this.

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Is it though, or is that what we are being told so AI companies can continue to secure funding?

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IMO the replies that deny this dont consider the "exponential" factor of AI growth. Its evolving so rapidly the next years growth will equate to the the last 5 years growth. The year after that.....its too late. Its already too late because we continue with it knowing this.

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Where is the proof of this exponential growth. It clearly isn't in the products that these companies have been delivering. If anything it is cleared they have pleatued.

The current implementation of these models is not scaling

If you're talking about PI, AI-driven cars will prevent that eventuality by eliminating wrecks for the most part.

If you're talking about business, my thoughts on how that develops have been posted many times on here.

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The issue with many of those services is user input. Over time I imagine that will be where people develop at the user level to work better with AI

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I actually asked ChatGPT about its users and long story short, it said only 10% of its users know how to properly use it. So yeah that is part of it. It said that most people still use it like its google.

If anyone wants to learn how to better use it, I recommend setting up your account.. The free version I think allows 8 questions and 5 images, but I gave mine a name to refer to it as because there are times you will talk to it like you are talking to anyone else.

Tell it that you want to refer to it as whatever, I'd recommend keeping it simple, mine is Elle. Then tell it about yourself "Elle, my name is _____ I am x years old. I like to ________", etc. Then ask it to save that information for you. Then the more and more you use it the more it learns you. The more you use it the more you will learn its capabilities, but user input is a big issue.

It’s a long way from being able to determine why corn is up 10 cents on the day without just copying something a human wrote.

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The more you use it the more you will learn its capabilities, but user input is a big issue.

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This will be the differentiator between those who will be successful in the future, and those who will struggle to survive.

Learn how to correctly communicate with it and use it as a tool.

Adapt or die.

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But it is a bot, not a human. And you cannot tell the difference.

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I won't be fooled until I hear dogs barking in the background