Can anyone find a probability chart for weather accuracy relating to future forecast?

Lick your finger and stick it outside.

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Meaning something that shows the probability of weather report being accurate 24 hours from now. 48 hours from now. Exc. I’m just curious how accurate weather is 5 days out compared to 24 hours out.

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Around here from June through August, you can predict the forecast now: Partly cloudy, high in the 90s, chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Overnight low about 75.

Other times of the year, forget it.

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Can anyone find a probability chart for weather accuracy relating to future forecast?

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It got destroyed when Jay Grimes's jeans got washed

Always check your pockets, baws

For Southern Louisiana : Summertime: climatology works well: 24 hours out:
Temperatures 92F in afternoon to 73 nighttime. Persistence works well. 40 % chance of showers during June works well because climatology both Baton Rouge and New Orleans airports average 15-17 days of thunder. 12 days of measurable rainfall. 12days /30 days ~ 40 % .

Winter has less accuracy in a 120 hour forecast because you have progressive upper level troughs/ridges that produce their own set of weather. Low level jets and vorticity maximums can alter lift and energy over a difference of 300 miles from what was forecasted. Various model outputs can bust a five day forecast.

100% chance of weather.

they predicted epic rain events last week and they were off horribly

Solely based on personal experience

24 hours out - 50-60%
5 days out - 5-20%