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Message

Blown Out Of Proportion
Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:42 pm
Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:42 pm
First time commenting on this Covid-19 situation. My numbers may be not accurate as these are from earlier this morning via LDH. So we have 240 cases with six deaths of which four of the deaths were from individuals over 80 years old. Not including the four elderly deaths that gives us a fatality rate of .008%. I am against the measures of the Government to close all restaurants, gyms, bars, etc. Most of those establishments were taking proper sanitary precautions to begin with. We are not dealing with Ebola where you bleed from your eyeballs here, but a virus that acts similarly to the Flu that claims the lives of folks who are elderly, just like the flu. To shutdown society is only laying the foundation to do it again down the road just as easily. The effect of limited income/no income for two to three months will cause death also, whether some folks commit suicide or start murdering people committing home invasions/etc.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:42 pm to Catchfalaya
yep, this need it's own thread
Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:43 pm to MorbidTheClown
quote:
yep, this need it's own thread
Sounds like something a virus denier would say.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:43 pm to Catchfalaya
You know, I was really waiting to hear what Catchfalaya had to say before I decided how serious this was. Thanks for this.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:43 pm to Catchfalaya
I agree with your opinion, but you can’t just remove 2/3’s the deaths because they were old. That’s not how statistics work
Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:44 pm to Catchfalaya
quote:gotta see the math on this one
So we have 240 cases with six deaths of which four of the deaths were from individuals over 80 years old. Not including the four elderly deaths that gives us a fatality rate of .008%
This post was edited on 3/18/20 at 2:46 pm
Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:44 pm to Catchfalaya
That's it. I'm going out to Gold's Gym and breaking in and doing super sets on arms. Who's in?
Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:45 pm to Catchfalaya
what a new and interesting take...we really needed to have this on the site
Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:45 pm to Catchfalaya
quote:
start murdering people committing home invasions/etc.
Pretty sure now that I'm home all day, I agree with this. I am more likely to murder someone committing a home invasion now. I don't see the issue.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:46 pm to Catchfalaya
quote:
My numbers may be not accurate
Checks out
Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:47 pm to Catchfalaya
quote:
So we have 240 cases with six deaths of which four of the deaths were from individuals over 80 years old. Not including the four elderly deaths that gives us a fatality rate of .008%.
your math is all sorts of fricked up...it's a good thing you don't post much
Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:47 pm to MorbidTheClown
quote:Absolutely.
yep, this need it's own thread
We need threads like this to be posted over and over again so that people will be repeatedly reminded of what their panic caused.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:47 pm to Catchfalaya
quote:This situation is definitely blown out of proportion, but your math skills are terrifying.
First time commenting on this Covid-19 situation. My numbers may be not accurate as these are from earlier this morning via LDH. So we have 240 cases with six deaths of which four of the deaths were from individuals over 80 years old. Not including the four elderly deaths that gives us a fatality rate of .008%.
I think you are trying to say
(6-4)/240 = .008%
(6-4)/240 = .008, which is .8%, not .008%
Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:47 pm to JDPndahizzy
talk about understatement of the year

Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:48 pm to Ronaldo Burgundiaz
quote:Also, if you discount the other 2 deaths, the death rate is zero.
I think you are trying to say
(6-4)/240 = .008%
(6-4)/240 = .008, which is .8%, not .008%
Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:49 pm to PearlJam
quote:
Also, if you discount the other 2 deaths, the death rate is zero.
and if my aunt had a dick, she'd be my uncle
Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:56 pm to Oilfieldbiology
quote:
I agree with your opinion, but you can’t just remove 2/3’s the deaths because they were old. That’s not how statistics work
True, but having the majority of deaths within a relatively small category does suggest that the reasonable and rational response would be to quarantine that group at risk instead of just shutting society down and inflicting an untold amount of economic misery on millions of people. Saving a few thousand lives isn't worth the pain that's being put on a lot of people who are not who are not in a good position to deal with it (e.g. low wage earners, small business owners).
Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:57 pm to Catchfalaya
quote:
four of the deaths were from individuals over 80 years old
It may not be a popular opinion, but in assessing the lethality of this thing and the appropriate way to respond to it, it is perfectly rational to take into account who is dying as a result of the disease. If many or most of the deaths are of the extremely aged or others suffering from co-morbidities, that is something to consider. If you want to throw the deaths of the 90+ crowd into the mortality statistics, fine. But in my view the people making the decisions need to consider this.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 5:55 pm to iAmBatman
[quote]and if my aunt had a dick, she'd be my uncle
She does.. and it’s bigger than yours .... nerd
She does.. and it’s bigger than yours .... nerd
Posted on 3/18/20 at 5:59 pm to SloaneRanger
For the first time since the week ending February 29, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has released its Weekly U.S. Influenza Surveillance Report, which shows that the death toll from the seasonal flu has reached 22,000, including 144 children.
^^!! 22,000 Flu Deaths NO WAY corona gets close to that figure.
^^!! 22,000 Flu Deaths NO WAY corona gets close to that figure.
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